Posted on 12/20/2004 8:10:43 AM PST by Tumbleweed_Connection
Massachusetts senator John Kerry could win the presidency in 2008, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for the 2004 Democratic nominee in a head-to-head contest against Republican Florida governor Jeb Bush.
In other prospective elections, New York senator and former first lady Hillary Rodham Clinton leads three Republicans: Florida’s Bush, Tennessee senator Bill Frist and New York governor George Pataki.
Rodham Clinton was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000, defeating Republican Rick Lazio by 12 per cent. She ruled out a presidential bid in 2004.
Other high-profile Republicans who may run for office in 2008—such as former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona senator John McCain—were not included in the survey. Current president George W. Bush is constitutionally barred from seeking a third term in office.
Polling Data
Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were (insert choices here), for whom would you vote?
John Kerry (D) 45% - 37% Jeb Bush (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 40% - 33% Bill Frist (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 41% - 35% George Pataki (R)
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) 46% - 35% Jeb Bush (R)
These are the same type of polls that had a "generic" Democrat beating George W. Bush earlier this year.
People are always going to pick the out of power party in these types of polls until actual lines are drawn and it is for real.
Unless we know the makeup of the respondants to this (and all polls), this information is way less than worthless, but will be trumpeted as major news in the mainstream press. For instance, If you have 1000 respondants, and its not a 500/500 split, the information isn't a true representation of reality and is therefore worthless. But then again, the mainstream press hasnt been concerned with reality in a long time, only in foistering the support of a radical agenda on the rest of us.
By '08 all these losers are going to be miraculously transformed into BIG winners . . . Yeah, right. By next year I'm going to be 20 lbs. lighter and jogging 5 miles every day. Lots of wishful resolutions at this time of year.
We're doomed, doomed I tell ya!
-snip-
If the next Presidential Election were held today, 46% of voters would vote for a generic Republican candidate over Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 39% of voters would cast their ballot for Senator Clinton.
Of course Kerry is up over Jeb in polls taken right now--people outside of Florida know little about Jeb Bush except who his family is. Kerry just ran for president, so on name and face recognition alone he has an advantage over Jeb, who hasn't been trying to get noticed around the nation. What a silly poll.
I was listening on the radio and there was a story about how much people donated to what party. I believe something like 60% of fox news people donated to democrats.
These fluff polls are to unite the hard core and keep them from running off to join other parties.
(seriously the Green party should be recruiting overtime)
What about Hillary against Condi???
Ahem
Please tell which of the 51% that voted for Bush in 2004 is going to vote for these DEM losers in 2008
The only hope the dems have is they refine their fraud techniques and that the colleges turn out enough new brain washed dumb downed boobs
Or that Hillary goes far enough to the right to DUPE some CC types
I agree. It is way too early for this.
I am sure Al Gore would have been way ahead of GWB in a 1996 poll. And, he lost.
The OD poll is done by a big time leftist by what I understand.
Wasn't there a point either in late 1999 or early 2000 where Bush had a huge lead?
Since the Civil War, the only men to be nominated and win after losing a previous election are Grover Cleveland and Richard Nixon--and Cleveland is a special case since he was a former President who had been defeated in a close election while getting more popular votes than the winner.
Kerry might want to encourage speculation about a possible second try to enhance his standing in the party, and to discourage Teresa from thinking of dumping him. If he were to win in 2008, he would be the third-oldest President ever at his inauguration (after Reagan and William Henry Harrison).
This is nonsense. Hillary will never win even against the physically unattractive McCain. Hillary physically looks like a well fed Teletubby. Appearence is so important.
Men will never let Hillary win or anyone for that matter within the next 100 years. Also men loving hetero women would not let this happen. A Teletubby as president of a superpower.. unlikely.
The results here aren't necessarily popularity, but more based on name recognition. John Kerry just spent two years building up great name recognition, and Hillary has more than she could ever want. Bill Frist and George Pataki are still only well known names to political junkies and the people they represent in Tennessee and New York. And, I think the fact that, other than the residents of Florida, the most people know about Jeb Bush is who his father and brother are, that wouldn't shouldn't be taken as gospel either. Lots of flaws with these polls. I'd actually be interested in seeing "generic Republican" vs. "generic Democrat" right now.
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