In 2006, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for grabs.
Posted on 11/06/2004 6:49:07 AM PST by An American!
33 Senators running for reelection in 2006. There will be 18 democrats, 14 republicans and 1 independent up for reelection:
Democrats in order of likelihood of being defeated
Byrd, Robert (D) West Virginia
Feinstein, Diane (D) California
Kennedy, Edward (D) Massachusetts
Bingaman, Jeff (D) New Mexico
Nelson, Bill (D)Florida
Vulnerable
Clinton, Hillary (D) New York
Dayton, Mark (D) Minnesota
Kohl, Herb (D) Wisconsin
Stabenow, Debbie (D) Michigan
Jeffords, Jim (I) Vermont
Somewhat Vulnerable
Cantwell, Maria (D) Washington
Corzine, Jon (D) New Jersey
Conrad, Kent (D) North Dakota
Nelson, Ben (D) Nebraska
Sarbanes, Paul (D) Maryland
Carper, Thomas (D) Delaware
Safe & Sound
Akaka, Daniel (D) Hawaii
Carper, Thomas (D) Delaware
Lieberman, Joe (D) Connecticut
Republicans in order of likelihood of being defeated
Hutchison, Kay Baily (R) Texas
Frist, William (R) Tennessee
Lugar, Richard (R) Indiana
Lott, Trent (R) Mississippi
Hatch, Orrin (R) Utah
Vulnerable
Allen, George (R) Virginia
DeWine, Mike (R) Ohio
Snowe, Olympia (R) Maine
Somewhat Vulnerable
Burns, Conrad (R) Montana
Chafee, Lincoln (R) Rhode Island
Santorum, Rick (R) Pennsylvania
Safe & Sound
Ensign, John (R) Nevada
Kyl, Jon (R) Arizona
Thomas, Craig (R) Wyoming
It may be that Dewhurst would lock up the Republican nomination before a serious contest could materialize. That's essentially what Phil Gramm did 20 years ago.
CA Republicans cannot seem to find anyone to run for much of anything, as the state is so gerrymandered, but that wouldn't matter for a statewide race. Notice the "R" counties in CA are much, much larger geographically than the "D" blue counties.
Bingaman unseated a former astronaut, Harrison Schmitt, in the Democrat year of 1982. He is never vulnerable though no one can explain his appeal to the typical NM voter.
For Mass., think Ambassador Ray Flynn...
Well, Bingaman does have his witches in Sedona.......
Katherine Harris would beat Nelson. Good idea!
| DEMOCRATS | REPUBLICANS |
| CERTAIN RE-ELECTION; NO OPPOSITION | |
| Akaka (HI) | Thomas (WY) |
| Lott (MS) | |
| Kennedy (MA) | Kyl (AZ) |
| Allen (VA) | |
| NOT VULNERABLE; TOKEN OPPOSITION | |
| Sarbanes (MD) | de Wine (OH) |
| Conrad (ND) | |
| Byrd (WV) | |
| Lieberman (CT) | |
| Khol (WI) | |
| Feinstein (CA) | Frist (TN) |
| Carper (DE) | Hutchison (TX) |
| Cantwell (WA) | |
| POSSIBLY VULNERABLE TO STRONG OPPONENT | |
| Stabenow (MI) | Snowe (ME) |
| Dayton (MN) | Hatch (UT) |
| Bingaman (NM) | Santorum (PA) |
| POSSIBLY TIGHT RACES OR BIG WINS | |
| Clinton (NY) | Lugar (IN) |
| Ensign (NV) | |
| PROBABLY WILL EKE NARROW VICTORY | |
| Nelson (FL) | Chafee* |
| Corzine (NJ) | |
| Nelson (NE) | |
| MIGHT HE LOSE TO DEMOCRAT? CLUELESS. | |
| Jeffords (VT) | |
| PROBABLY WILL LOSE TO GENERAL CANDIDATE | |
| Talent (MO)** | |
| LIKELY TO LOSE | |
| Burns (MT) | |
* Chafee would win reelection easily as a Democrat, should he defect to that party.
** Assumes that opponent is deceased, like many Democratic voters in this state. Senator Talent likely would win against any living Democratic opponent.
I was wondering the other day what state Schilling is from. Would love to see him run for office.
He hedged his bets, IIRC.
Are you kidding me?
Excellent post!
Of cirrosis.
"Rudy will not be on the top of the GOP ticket in '08. The Republican Presidential candidate will almost certainly be a governor from the Old South."
As opposed to the New South?
| Y2006 | DEMOCRATS | REPUBLICANS | Vulnerable | Reason | WHO |
| 1 | Akaka (HI) | No | No opposition | ||
| 2 | Bingaman (NM) | Yes | |||
| 3 | Byrd (WV) | Maybe | Age | Jay Wolf | |
| 4 | Cantwell (WA) | John Carlson or Reichert | |||
| 5 | Carper (DE) | ||||
| 6 | Clinton (NY) | Maybe | |||
| 7 | Conrad (ND) | ||||
| 8 | Corzine (NJ) | Yes | Retire for govenor. | Christie Whitman | |
| 9 | Dayton (MN) | Yes | |||
| 10 | Feinstein (CA) | Maybe | Vulnerable to the right candidate | ||
| 11 | Jeffords (I) (VT) | Maybe | Howard Dean | ||
| 12 | Kennedy (MA) | Maybe | will turn 75...Health or Retire might be only reason he is not re-elected | Joe Kennedy? | |
| 13 | Khol (WI) | Tommy Thompson | |||
| 14 | Lieberman (CT) | Maybe | Might not run. | Chris Shays | |
| 15 | Nelson (FL) | Yes | Probably retire. GOP needs strong Candidate | Jeb Bush or Katherine Harris | |
| 16 | Nelson (NE) | Maybe | |||
| 17 | Sarbanes (MD) | ||||
| 18 | Stabenow (MI) | Yes | Stabenow is weak....does the GOP have a candidate | ||
| 19 | Allen (VA) | No | No opposition | Mark Warner | |
| 20 | Burns (MT) | Yes | |||
| 21 | Chafee (RI) | Yes | Living in Blue State | ||
| 22 | de Wine (OH) | No | |||
| 23 | Ensign (NV) | Maybe | |||
| 24 | Frist (TN) | Maybe | Likely to seek Presidency in 2008 (drop out in '06) | ||
| 25 | Hatch (UT) | Maybe | |||
| 26 | Hutchison (TX) | Maybe | Might seek governorship | ||
| 27 | Kyl (AZ) | No | No opposition | ||
| 28 | Lott (MS) | Maybe | Rumor he might retire | ||
| 29 | Lugar (IN) | No | |||
| 30 | Santorum (PA) | Yes | Living in Blue State | ||
| 31 | Snowe (ME) | Yes | Living in Blue State | ||
| 32 | Talent (MO) | Yes | |||
| 33 | Thomas (WY) | No | No opposition |
Vulnerable
Allen, George (R) Virginia
??????????????????????????
Allen is a LOCK. What the HELL are you basing this on?
In 2006, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for grabs.
California falling into the Pacific Ocean is the only thing that will break Democratic control of California...
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