Posted on 11/03/2004 7:04:25 PM PST by quidnunc
By now it is well-known and a part of the 2004 election lore how the exit polls by the major television networks were wrong.
Likely this faux pas will assume its place among wartime stories alongside the mistaken calls on Florida’s vote for one side and then for the other in the 2000 election. But the inaccuracies of the media’s polling deserve more scrutiny and investigation.
Exit polls are almost never wrong. They eliminate the two major potential fallacies in survey research by correctly separating actual voters from those who pretend they will cast ballots but never do and by substituting actual observation for guesswork in judging the relative turnout of different parts of the state.
So reliable are the surveys that actually tap voters as they leave the polling places that they are used as guides to the relative honesty of elections in Third World countries. When I worked on Vicente Fox’s campaign in Mexico, for example, I was so fearful that the governing PRI would steal the election that I had the campaign commission two U.S. firms to conduct exit polls to be released immediately after the polls closed to foreclose the possibility of finagling with the returns. When the polls announced a seven-point Fox victory, mobs thronged the streets in a joyous celebration within minutes that made fraud in the actual counting impossible.
But this Tuesday, the networks did get the exit polls wrong. Not just some of them. They got all of the Bush states wrong. So, according to ABC-TV’s exit polls, for example, Kerry was slated to carry Florida, Ohio, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada and Iowa, all of which Bush carried. The only swing state the network had going to Bush was West Virginia, which the president won by 10 points.
-snip-
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Yeah, but this time the voters in the Florida Panhandle didn't fall for this OBVIOUS liberal ploy to suppress the GOP vote from Florida and west. Per Joe Scarborough on Scarborough Country (MSNBC) last evening, conservatives (probably FReepers) drove up and down in pick-up trucks near lines at polling places yelling through bull horns for the voters to remain in line and not give up before they voted. As a consequence, many Florida Panhandle voters were still in line to vote (and had been for up to five hours on Central Standard Time) when Florida was finally put in Bush's column.
Dick Morris is calling for a Congressional Investigation into why the WHOLE set of exit polling numbers were SO far off of the actual raw vote numbers in at least TEN states.
John Fund of the WSJ said specifically that Moveon.org got hold of the supposedly secret info on which precincts were to be exit-polled.
Moveon then sent floods of fake voters into those precincts; when they emerged, they 'volunteered' to be exit-polled and gave the pollsters their left-wing data.
Fund said this on the John Batchelor radio program tonight.
WE MAY HAVE WON NH and PA.
NH and PA were <1% wins to Kerry. Leaking out the info at 2pm that Kerry would win FL and OH, would have had the effect of supressing some Republication turnout in these states.
Sabotage via leaked information makes complete sense. I read on another thread here that Ann Coulter is saying basically the same thing, with confirmation of exit poll locations being leaked via postings on DUmmy prior to Election Day.
I was actually exit polled myself here in Nevada; The woman doing the polling was simply sitting at a chair outside my polling place. I walked up to her and volunteered to take her survey. Very easy for criminally inclined members of an organization like MoveOn.org to sabotage the polls if they knew ahead of time where the polling places were set-up. All that is needed is a demographically varied group of members to walk into and out of such polling places and then "volunteer" to take the exit poll...
Michael Barone floated a theory about "bussed in non-voters appearing to be voters and answering the exit poll querry cards in order to skew the #s.
The dims at it again.
I want the AP investigated about this...and not by democrats.
So since these polls are so accurate, what happens if someone is asked how they voted, and they lie?
Are there no conservative republicans in the MSM. Someone should have smelled pout this stinking rat.
If we as a body can ever agree on how to consolidate our powers, we can do good works. The power of advertiser boycott is powerful. It's where the enemies income comes from. Just food for thought. It's the wave of the future, we can get an early seat.
"Fortunately the electorate did not bite."
In the course of election day, I met two different elderly Bush supporters who had became extremely depressed and scared when they heard those skewed exit polls projecting Kerry the winner. Anyone who would falsify thse polls is playing with people's minds and health.
If the Rats had a plan to bias the polls to supress Republican turnout, why was everyone so shocked and upset when the results start to come in? You couldn't send a bunch of supporters to key polling stations without knowing something was up.
If the raw data is different from the reported /leaked numbers, then we could claim that someone in the exit polling organization might have been trying to spin the results for the Rasts but even this would likely have been known with the Kerry campaign.
What if Republicans lied and said they supported Kerry or crossover Democrats were ashamed to admit that they voted for Bush?
Does he have an email? I'd like to congratulate and encourage him to keep up the heat.
Exit Pollsters are TOAST unless they come clean with some Real Believeable Explanations.
RamS
bttttttttttt
bring in Rudy and let him olay with one of his favorites ....... RICO
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