Has anyone asked.."why do we even need exit polls?"
Another post here indicates that the man that owns the polling company oding the exit polls worked for CBS at one time several years ago in the same type of position.
The position was as a democrat shill....IMHO
Old media is one of the biggest losers this year, and will continue to decline in influence because of these continued flubs and obvious bias.
I think exit pollsters were also indicating VA, SC, & NC were going to be to close to call.
When we clicked on the television this morning, Tim Russert and Tom Brokow appeared (not our favorites by any stretch) and there was little Timmy, down in the mouth and we knew instantly that it looked good for Bush! We flipped over to Fox (which we call the democracy station) and the rest is history! Congratulations to the Bush Administration, the Freepers who got out the vote and constant encouragement and thanks to Rush, Sean, Neal, Michael et al and Fox News. America is the greatest land on God's green earth. Oh yeah, I hope Susan Estrich has a lot of egg on her face this morning. She really got our goat last evening with her "exit" poll information.
"Exit Polls" are as valuable to the study of elections as tarot cards and ouija boards.
but our guess is.......intentional!!
and Larry Sabato is blasting the pollsters BIG TIME!!! A disgrace!!!
I didn't see Estrich on FNC after it started becoming apparent that Bush had Ohio. She made two laughably false predictions in a ten minute period. I guess she decided to go get drunk somewhere, though she might have been already.
They were attempting to keep people away from the polls....that's what was with the exit polls.
Speaking of polls, where is John Zogby today?
In a cave with Osama?
They should be actively ignored.
The public analysis will be quiet, superficial, or both.
Not really. They were constantly mentioned and commented upon into the early morning hours, especially by Brit Hume. Very disappointing. Seems like this little analysis report is a CYA piece by FNC.
Here are the three reasons I think the exit polls were skewed:
1. Intentional skewed polling- no explanation needed
2. Inaccurate responses- unlike in the polling booth, the exit poll is not very private. Imagine a couple conservatives going to the polls with liberal acquaintances, and the whole group being exit polled at once. Given the usual reaction of rabid liberals to conservatives, I'd not be surprised to see large numbers of people who voted Bush to mumble "Yeah, what she said..." after their friends are asked. I'd also not discount intentional inaccurate answers just for the sheer fun of screwing with the exit poll organizations: "For President? I voted Prohibition party!" said while wearing a Budweiser t-shirt.
3. Here's what I think had the greatest effect- unlike past years, when early exit polls may have convinced some on the apparent losing side to stay home, it instead galvanized more people to be sure to stand in the long lines and be sure their vote was cast.
Maybe the exit pollsters only went to heavily Democratic precincts (the better to propagandize you with, my dear...)