Posted on 10/31/2004 1:41:04 PM PST by nj26
President George W. Bush holds a slight edge over Senator John Kerry in the final days of Campaign 2004. The Pew Research Center's final pre-election poll of 1,925 likely voters, conducted Oct. 27-30, finds Bush with a three-point edge (48% to 45% for Kerry); Ralph Nader draws 1%, and 6% are undecided.
The poll finds indications that turnout will be significantly higher than in the two previous presidential elections, especially among younger people. Yet Bush gets the boost Republican candidates typically receive when the sample is narrowed from the base of 2,408 registered voters to those most likely to vote. (Among all registered voters, Kerry and Bush are in a virtual tie: 46% Kerry, 45% Bush).
When are the new Newsweek and BG polls for today supposed to be out Princess?
""Internals look odd. Only those under 24 -- too young to know, and those over 75 are clearly for Kerry. Very strange. Moreover 10 of their sample was over 75!!
I do not get how these guys stay in business.""
I am not sure if this is the reason, but I know from local elections that the voters with the highest percentage of participation are 70+. I know there are not as many of them overall, but their participation rate may make up for that.
Just a thought.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6330851/
scroll down to mid page is an article from Joe Scarborough talking about the polls coming out tonight...with his view of Bush win!
This is good considering the poll includes Friday and Saturday.
Wouldn't it be a hoot if NADER was the spoiler again?
If so,watch Dem mobs burn down Nader headquarters!
NRO says WaPO/ABC has it at 48-48
Its stats like that that win elections.
If they are not enthusiastic, they wont make it to the polls.
Adults have cellphones. Republicans have cell phones. Republican youth have cell phones. Amish have cell phones.
So, maybe the cellphone demographic divides the same as the general population.
No kidding. He's consistent, at least. Gives them something to vote for instead of kerry.
So Dude, is this like the Red Sox curse?
Apparently, you're not concerned that a Traitor is within the MOE during wartime. That concerns me.
God, I hope so.
in this campaign, this sounds like a concession in advance.
And don't forget, you SWORE that if Bush wins, you're leaving Free Republic!!!
Tell that to the Red Sox... then get out and vote and man the get out the vote effort in your state!
| Poll | Bush/Gore Error |
Nader Error |
| Harris Poll | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| CBS News | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| IBD/CSM/Tipp | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| ICR/Politics Now | 1.0 | 4.0 |
| Gallup/CNN/USA Today | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Pew Research | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Zogby/Reuters | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| NBC News/WSJ | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Battleground | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Average | 1.1 | 1.3 |
So why don't they allocate "undecideds" among registered voters? Is it because Bush would still come out ahead?
"slight" is a demonRAT code word for we're getting our asses kicked!
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