By golly, now I know Gillespie is brilliant. He agrees with me on turnout. ;)
I really needed that extra push...I just got a call from our co-chairperson here in lower Michigan reminding me to come and make calls. I wasn't going to...I'm so tired lately..Made house to house calls yesterday and pooped...But now I'm energized once again and I'M HEADING OUT TO THE PHONEBANK... Go Bush Go...RAh Rah...
Based on today's latest polls, and figuring tossup states going to the leading candidate, even if just by 1%.
Safe/Strong/Leaning:
Bush: 222
Kerry: 186
Slightly Leaning:
Bush: 79
Kerry: 51
Total (270 to win):
Bush: 301
Kerry: 237
"My mentor was Haley Barbour, and he taught me that if we can get out our base of families, cultural conservatives, etc. we can win elections.”
Haley Barbour is a great American. He was the unsung hero in the 90's, while Newt got the limelight and the press and the credit for the Republican victories in 1994, Haley was the RNC chair who put it all together.(No disrespect to Newt, BTW).
Watching the Michigan-Michigan State overtime game made me think this election will be the same- wild! wild! wild! For those of us Sparties-AAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRHHHHHHHHHHHH....
Is the Marriage Amendment on the ballot in MI?
They helped insure Republican senate victories in 2002 in CO and MN and were the "underpolled" of that election cycle. Are they still committed to conservative candidates? How come more isn't being said about them, particularly by people like Ralph Reed? Are they going to be the stealth voters this time round?
On a multi-state strategy. “Michigan is not a state that I think Democrats wanted to be spending their resources or the candidates time in the final days of the race,” says Bush senior strategist Matthew Dowd.More believable than Maureen. :')
George W. Bush will win reelection by a margin of at least ten per cent
FWIW, I was at the Bush Rally at the Pontiac Silverdome last Wednesday and I was surprised at the Jewish turnout. They were even out front handing out bumper stickers, posters and selling "Jews for Bush" t'shirts......... Good for them, maybe they can get thru to the NY Jewish community
The Catholic volunteer effort is immense. DOMA will lead Michigan into sealing the blowout Tuesday night. Deo Gratias!
The Polish Catholics are upset with Kerry (Kerry did not mention Poland in debate as part of force in Iraq). The Jewish community is upset because Kerry's strongest supporters in Michigan are Arab-American's -- which raises concern about the security of Israel.
Then the African-American ministers are pushing against gay marriage -- trying to get people to vote for a Ban on Gay Marriage. But Kerry is in favor of Gay Marriage. These African-American ministers know right from wrong, and there not enthused into whipping up the vote for Kerry (his immorality is a factor).
Add this up, and Michigan might be a surprise with Pennsylvania. New Jersey is in play, as well as Minnesota, Iowa, and Wisconsin.
There are not enough resources to try to hold ground or gain ground in all these areas, and focus on Florida and Ohio.
Sean Connery once said he would never make another James Bond film, but he did. It was called something like Never say Never Again.
The big M of Michigan and Momentum seems to be swinging to Bush in a number of places.