Posted on 10/31/2004 9:57:14 AM PST by Andy from Beaverton
Regards,
GtG
PS another way to look at it is the "odds" are 100% since it has in fact happened.
This Redskins fan thanks you. Please know that I want the Ravens to win in every game except when the 'Skins play them.
Don't see how I can abandon the Orioles, either! God, help us all!
More seriously, it is ridiculous to believe that a football game can either indicate or control the outcome of an election.
Packers are winning 17-7
Allot of traditions have been broken this year. The only cursed team is not the Cubs for example.
For those of your worried about this statistic (since the Packers are up by 10 already) don't fear.
The Lakers always are in the finals in the year when the GOP wins....and LA was in the finals this year.
Also, the Scholastic Reader poll of kids always picks the winner...this year Bush won.
Also, no Dem has ever won the White House without winning Missouri. This year, GW is doing well in Mighty MO. Also, remember, Kerry is still running around in his Red Sox cap, which can't play well with Cardinals fans in St. Louis.
To me this one makes sense, since there could be correlation of kids reflecting the way their parents are voting.
What would John Kerry say?
I actually predicted the Packers would score 17 before I predicted they wouldn't.
What would George Bush Say?
I misunderestimated the Packers.
tHIS IS SO ANNOYING THAT THIS IS BEING HYPED. i DON'T REMEMBER THIS BEING A BIG DEAL ANY OTHER ELECTION YEAR. THEY KNOW THE SKINS SUCK. DIDN'T THE SKINS LOSE IN '72 WHEN NIXON WON IN A LANDSLIDE.
Oh my God, you think the Redskins game actually determines who will win? Why don't you read some entrails or tea leaves while you are at it. What idiocy.
The guy's research consisted in reviewing the results of football games played since 1940, and found one set of games that he could shoehorn into being a predictor of the victor. So, the Redskins gave Eisenhower the nod, helped Kennedy find those Chicago votes, and assured Nixon and Reagan their landslide victories. Do you hear yourself?
I guarantee you I could find 1000 similar predictors that have been 100 percent accurate since 1800, and they would be just as relevant. If you pay me to do it, I will find you one or two by tomorrow. My regular hourly rate is $250. Let me know if you are interested.
I guess I forgot that...
Bwaaahaaahaaa. Guess the guys' research wasn't so good after all. He forgot that sometimes there's a November game before the election? What a maroon. So much for that theory.
Calm down...some of us have a sense of humor and find enjoyment in taking life lightly.
That could be. But what you fail to recognize is that there are trillions of human interactions and activities every day. Take the ones that occur each election year, and then come up with a pattern that relates to a human endeavor such as an election, and you will find millions that correspond with the election pattern. There have only been 15 elections since 1940, that's a tiny number to find a pattern for. We could probably find a predictor for something that has occurred 1000 times since 1940, and it would still be random.
This all comes back to a sad misunderstanding of mathematics, the laws of large numbers, and statistics.
Smoot is flat on his belly with an injury right now. Typical AP drivel.
GreenBay: 20
RedSkins: 7
4th Qtr, 11:10 left to go.
This game is going to the Packers.
I'm plenty calm. People spending time worrying about whether the Redskins win or lose because of a possible effect on the election, that is an annoyance, like terrorism is to Kerry. I try to explain simple errors in thinking wherever they are encountered. Hope you understand now, and are not overly nervous about the Redskins (unless you are a Skins fan, in which case, by all means root for them).
Please tell me we aren't reliving 1976...
"On 31 October 1976 the Washington Redskins were spooked by the Dallas Cowboys in a Halloween Day home game, losing 20-7 and predicting a loss for the incumbent Republicans. Two days later, on 2 November 1976, Democratic Governor Jimmy Carter of Georgia unseated President Gerald Ford (who had been appointed Vice-President after the resignation of Spiro Agnew in 1973 and became chief executive in 1974 after President Richard Nixon also resigned)."
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