Posted on 10/12/2004 8:38:09 AM PDT by rface
Election 2004 Reuters/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: President Bounces Back Into Dead Heat Race with Senator Kerry; Race Tied at 45%; Loyalists Rally Behind Candidates; Independents Split at 39%, New Reuters/Zogby Poll Reveals.....
Presidential Candidates %pct ....... 9-Oct 11 ....... Oct 8- Oct 10 ....... Oct 7-Oct 9
Republican - George W. Bush ............ 45 ............... 44 ...................... 45
Democrat - John Kerry .................... 45 ............... 47 .................... 46
Independent - Ralph Nader ............... 1.6 ............... 1.7 ..................... .9
Libertarian - Michael Badnarik ............. .2 ............... .1 ...................... .1
Constitution - Michael Peroutka .............. .2 .................. .2 ................. .2
Green - David Cobb .......................... .1 .................. .1 ............................. .2
Other ....................................... .8 .................... .9 ............................... .7
Undecided .................................... 7 .................... 6 ....................... 7
if this is dupe, then delete:
Yeah, Mr. Zogby. I thought so...
Has there ever been a study done on who actually gets polled nowdays?
Since we all have Caller ID, who are they talking to?
Im not talking to anyone...except the RNC and I wish they would lose my number!
Remember all those polls of "independants" responding re debates?
Ergo, many of the various polls that weight each group, including Zogby, have an unintential bias in favor of Kerry.
I suspect that the bias is 3-4%
On the other hand, I expect the vote to weight 3% for the Dems this election due to the usual voting fraud plus the massive and largely successful voter registration of the uninformed. This will be tempered a bit as I don't "feel" that the black vote will go out en masse for Kerry as the race card was played heavily last election and played late this election, married women are voting in favor of Bush and the VRWC is fired up.
I suspect that the bottom line is that overall the polls have a 1-2% bias against Bush at the end of the day.
I keep getting emails from "Tom DeLay" and invitations to add my name to an ad being placed in the Wall Street Journal.
When they start off the letter by calling me "an influential businessman" I throw it in the trash.
Although, I did keep a very nice picuture of George Bush.
Zogby has no credibility with me. His anti-Bush rants and the fact that his brother heads up an Islamofascist support group makes him as bad as Al-Jazeera and Al-Reuters.
I was called by the Wash. Post on the night of Cheney v. Edwards debate - but I told them that I was too busy watching the debate to take their poll
Yeah, I got the the Delay e-mail...the other day I got 3 calls from the RNC...the last caller got an ear full from me.
Donate once and they never leave youy alone.
I must be reading the poll wrong but those percentages add up to 111.6%. AND Nader had 9% just 2 days ago??? What's up with that?
some of the #s you are adding are 0.2 and 0.1 and 0.9 etc. The way I posted them make them look lik, 2, 1, and 9. Because of "rounding error", the Oct. 9 - 11 numbers add up to something like 94%
Zogby polled me on Saturday (I think that's when it was). I lied all through the poll ;-) but I couldn't muster the nerve to say I'd vote for Kerry. Although I did fib about voting for Gore in 2000.
So if Bush bounced back to a tie from being down 3 points--he must have polled very well yesterday. Two more days of good polling and we'll see Kerry blip fall off the screen and Bush may be up by as much as 5 or 6 points!
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