Has there ever been a study done on who actually gets polled nowdays?
Since we all have Caller ID, who are they talking to?
Im not talking to anyone...except the RNC and I wish they would lose my number!
Remember all those polls of "independants" responding re debates?
Ergo, many of the various polls that weight each group, including Zogby, have an unintential bias in favor of Kerry.
I suspect that the bias is 3-4%
On the other hand, I expect the vote to weight 3% for the Dems this election due to the usual voting fraud plus the massive and largely successful voter registration of the uninformed. This will be tempered a bit as I don't "feel" that the black vote will go out en masse for Kerry as the race card was played heavily last election and played late this election, married women are voting in favor of Bush and the VRWC is fired up.
I suspect that the bottom line is that overall the polls have a 1-2% bias against Bush at the end of the day.
I was called by the Wash. Post on the night of Cheney v. Edwards debate - but I told them that I was too busy watching the debate to take their poll
Zogby polled me on Saturday (I think that's when it was). I lied all through the poll ;-) but I couldn't muster the nerve to say I'd vote for Kerry. Although I did fib about voting for Gore in 2000.