Posted on 10/10/2004 5:42:19 AM PDT by bakatare
Oct. 10, 2004 — Among the sentiments fueling the 2004 election, put anger on John Kerry's side: On the subject of George W. Bush, his supporters are riled.
Nearly half of likely voters who support Kerry are "angry" about Bush administration policies. Anger peaks in some of Kerry's strongest support groups — liberals, Democrats and the non-religious. And it far outstrips the anger Bush supporters feel about Kerry.
Viewers Divided on Debate Winner Poll: Kerry Closing In as Debate Nears Kerry Gaining but Bush Still in Lead
The Polling Unit: Archives
Bush, Kerry Go on the Attack After Debate Matthew Sparks Flooding in Louisiana Texas Debates Sex Ed Textbooks While 50 percent of liberals are angry about Bush policies, for example, just 19 percent of conservatives are angry about the policies Kerry has proposed. While 39 percent of Democrats are angry with Bush, fewer than half as many Republicans, 17 percent, are angry with Kerry. And while 46 percent of Kerry supporters are angry about Bush policies, just 19 percent of Bush voters are angry back.
Anger, though, is not the only motivating factor in politics, and the race between the two men is still close: Fifty percent of likely voters support Bush in the latest ABC News tracking poll, 46 percent Kerry and one percent Ralph Nader. That's about where it's been the last few days.
Interviews for the horse-race results in this poll were conducted during the last four days, Thursday through Saturday. Interviews on voter anger were conducted earlier in the week, Tuesday through Thursday.
Anger/Enthusiasm
There are a few likely reasons for the anger sentiments found in this survey. One is that, in an incumbent election, supporters of the challenger are by definition anti-incumbent. Another is that Bush has policies for people to be angry about (or pleased with); Kerry, by contrast, has only proposed policies.
The last is that Bush has targeted his campaign more at motivating the Republican base, while Kerry has aimed his more at appealing to the center. Both are sensible strategies given the size of the groups at play: Conservatives, a core Republican group, account for just over a third of likely voters, while liberals, a core Democratic group, account for fewer, about two in 10.
The disproportionate anger with Bush means that, across all likely voters, 22 percent are angry with his policies, while just about half as many, 10 percent, are angry about the policies Kerry has proposed. (Democratic anger at Bush, as an aside, is gender neutral: About four in 10 Democratic men and women alike are angry about his policies.)
On the flip side, the candidates are about even in enthusiasm about their policies: Seventeen percent of all likely voters are enthusiastic about Bush's, 16 percent about Kerry's. Independents are five points more apt to be enthusiastic about Kerry's policies, but that's not a significant difference given the sample size; and moderates are 12 points more apt to be enthusiastic about Kerry, but moderates are a Democratic-leaning group.
ABC 'news' is not a credible news source.
This anger from the left means they're mobilized. Unwashed hippies and soccer moms standing on street corners or knocking on doors to hand out Kerry literature. The election is all about turnout now.
Among Bush supporters, derision and pity are the predominant emotions with regard to John Kerry...
Awwww...put some ice on it!
Something that bears repeating ..
there are NO undecided voters now. Any reports of undecideds are myths..or out and out distortions.
"50% of liberals angry with Bush"....REALLY?? How surprising!(tongue in cheek) Where is the Kerry post debate bounce?? They are focusing the article on the Michael Moore liberals anger???? Sounds desperate.
True, but we like to have a good laugh every once in a while :)
"ABC 'news' is not a credible news source"
You got that right but it sure points out that a good poll for Bush is turned into a negative story about "angry" liberals. Who gives a crap what these people think or feel? They would vote for Hitler if he was a Dem. vs. Bush.
~~MSM mocking ALWAYS ~~
What about those of us who are angry at j. fonda kerry?
And the margin of error is 2.5? So that is a beyond the MOE lead for Bush. If he were to win by 4%, or about 4 million votes assuming the turnout is around 100 million, like last time, then that would be a landslide compared to 2000!
Bush and Kerry even among independents? Sound like good news to me. Plus Bush leads by 14 among men and only trails by 5 with women? Remarkable. Taking that average then, shouldnt GWB's lead be larger? I wonder how they are skewing these numbers. Unless there is a new category of "other" along with women and men. Ha ha.
Also, President Bush leads in the electoral college which is what really counts.
This article is not based on their "snap poll". It is based on their daily tracking poll which they have been running now for a week or two with The Washington Post. The margin of error on this poll is 3%, so a 4 point difference as is the case here is just barely beyond saying its a tie. Bush lost three or four points following the first debate. It could happen again based on events in the world or an error by the President so better to not get overconfident based on polls. Read Michael Barone's article today on RealPolitics.com for discussion of polls and turnout.
Men peeing on Bush/Cheney signs and being caught, Liberals breaking into or shooting up B/C headquarters around the country, the animal-like behavior of liberals is appalling to civilized people. There are SOME civilized people in the Kerry camp, but they are being pushed away because of the reputation of being a Kerry/Edwards supporter. In a society where style means more than substance, we can expect B/C to pick up votes out of shear apathy from a "...I'm disgusted to be a part of a gang of thugs" population.
ABC:
Appeasing Blind Cowards
Now if the tables were turned and Kerry had a 4 point lead the headline would read "Kerry takes a commanding lead over Bush. Expect a landslide victory on Nov. 2"
I noticed that very thing...I saw that right after I read this one: POLL: Kerry Keeps Slim One-point Lead Over Bush
It's disgusting how biased the media is. Their attempts to control the public's perceptions is so obvious.
yesterday afternoon my 10 yo daughter and i were picking up my 15 yo and her friend from an upscale Mall in Northern VA. I have a bush cheney bumpersticker on the van of course. a 30 something well dressed couple in a BMW SUV was beeping their horn at me and pulled up alongside, rolled down their windows and started screaming BOOOOO BUSH, and doing the thumbs down. We just stared at them incredulously, then my daughters starting smiling and waving and doing the thumbs up sign saying GOOOOO Bush. This contined through several lights as we exited the mall and i finally rolled down the window and in the midst of his screed about the umpteen billion dollar deficit that he was ranting about, i said, Excuse me but you need to GROW UP. We were totally amazed at the entire incident. Title it "Libs come UNGLUED".
This Poll was conducted before the last debate. Expect a post debate bounce.
I believe you must double the MOE in this situation; a vote removed from one candidate is likely to go to the other. So technically this is within the MOE. Regardless, between this poll and Rasmussen's I feel confident that Bush does in fact hold a 3-4 point advantage.
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