And the margin of error is 2.5? So that is a beyond the MOE lead for Bush. If he were to win by 4%, or about 4 million votes assuming the turnout is around 100 million, like last time, then that would be a landslide compared to 2000!
Bush and Kerry even among independents? Sound like good news to me. Plus Bush leads by 14 among men and only trails by 5 with women? Remarkable. Taking that average then, shouldnt GWB's lead be larger? I wonder how they are skewing these numbers. Unless there is a new category of "other" along with women and men. Ha ha.
Also, President Bush leads in the electoral college which is what really counts.
I believe you must double the MOE in this situation; a vote removed from one candidate is likely to go to the other. So technically this is within the MOE. Regardless, between this poll and Rasmussen's I feel confident that Bush does in fact hold a 3-4 point advantage.