Posted on 10/07/2004 10:44:38 AM PDT by MarlboroRed
hursday October 07, 2004--On the day before the second Presidential Debate, the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 47%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.
Bush leads by 3 percentage points among men and trails by just under a point among women.
Bush will carry men by at least 10 points, and lose women by about 5.
NOT, I don't believe any of these polls, lets see what happens Nov 2nd
Rasmussen had Bush/Gore at 40/48 last time. Until he proves himself, his work is still questionable.
You've got to be kidding. I know Bush will win the men's vote by 10-12%. Actually, this observant catch makes me feel better about Bush's support. I'm so glad freepers have a mind of their own.
The most telling comment in this election was from the many republuicans who said of Zell Miller's speech: "We couldn't have said it as republicans!" That says it all.
The survey was taken in San Francisco.
All polls are questionable and have much higher MOE than advertized. Attach a +/-10% to every poll and take it with a bag of salt.
Let's do ourselves a favor and just agree to ignore Rasmussen. His poll is lousy. So is Survey USA's polling. The reason for this is that they are done by an automated caller. Respondents do not speak to a real person. This skews results because people are more inclined to hang up. More hang ups mean that the ultimate sample that they take is not respresentative of the national public.
A common sense test of this hypothesis that something smells fishy with Rasmussen can be seen by the fact that his is the only poll whose results have been consistently within the margin of error. In other words, Bush and Kerry each have always ranged from about 44 to 50. In other words, the difference between any given Rasmussen poll with any other given Rasmussen poll can be explained entirely by statistical differences. Rasmussen's poll indicates that there has been no statistically noticeable movement in the electorate in nearly nine months. His is the only poll where this is the case. Anybody believe that?
This is good news for Bush because we KNOW he will get way more than that from men.
You going to start taking over where discourage left off?
It's October........where's our surprise? ;)
Nice observation
How do we know how men and women really vote? Is there any real evidence for such a large gender gap beyond polls?
Hard to argue with your point.
Well then he better UNWIMP himself before the next debate.
Style does matter in these days of REALITY and MAKEOVER shows.
Bush will win the men and win the women.
BUSH WILL WIN NOVEMBER 2!
What kind of limp-wristed girle-man would vote for Kerry?
Oh yeah, Democrats.
Exactly. Assmussen has no credibility.
His polls however has picked up trends, even if they are lagging about two days behind the trends.
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