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Poll puts Bush, Kerry about even [Details on the GALLUP/USA TODAY/CNN POLL]
CNN.com ^ | 10/3/04 | CNN.com

Posted on 10/03/2004 4:54:24 PM PDT by MarlboroRed

CNN) -- President Bush and his Democratic challenger, Sen. John Kerry, are about even among likely and registered voters in the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, released Sunday.

The poll showed Kerry and Bush tied at 49 percent each among likely voters interviewed. Among registered voters Bush had 49 percent and Kerry 47 percent. Independent candidate Ralph Nader was favored by 1 percent in each group.

The margin of error in each case was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

By contrast, Bush was ahead of Kerry among likely voters 52 percent to 44 percent in the Gallup poll conducted September 24-26. Among registered voters in that poll, the spread was 53 percent for Bush and 42 percent for Kerry. Nader had 3 percent among each group.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; deadheat; firstdebate; gallup; polls
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To: jwalsh07

The Dems really ran an ad on TV using the L word against Bush (or was it just that the Bush campaign was lying about what "global test" meant) ? If so, I agree, that is a huge mistake. Do you have a link? By the way, has the Kerry campaign explained just yet what "global test" means? I don't have a clue what Kerry meant. I know what I would mean if I used that term, but then, I ain't Kerry.


41 posted on 10/03/2004 5:41:08 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Torie

Interesting analogy.

Quite frankly, I thought Bush put in a good debate performance - for Bush, that is. I figured the public had long accepted that Bush was a lousy speaker and debater. I guess the fact that Bush was surging in the Iowa Markets and Tradesports ahead of the debate was the big warning signal about the expectations game.

Nevertheless, that "lead" Bush had must have been pretty soft to melt away in just days. I think the same can be said for Kerry's newfound "support."


42 posted on 10/03/2004 5:42:36 PM PDT by ambrose (http://www.swiftvets.com)
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To: Torie

I'll see if I can find it. It's crass man.


43 posted on 10/03/2004 5:46:41 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Always ask yourself, does this pass the Global Test?)
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To: Torie
Here's the ad.
44 posted on 10/03/2004 5:52:36 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Always ask yourself, does this pass the Global Test?)
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To: Torie

http://www.johnkerry.com/pressroom/releases/pr_2004_1003.html


45 posted on 10/03/2004 5:53:09 PM PDT by Sam Spade
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To: ambrose
"I guess the fact that Bush was surging in the Iowa Markets and Tradesports ahead of the debate was the big warning signal about the expectations game. "

Absolutely. The expectations going into the first debate were 180 out from where they should have been. I expect they will be opposite going into this next debate. Kerry folks will be looking for a kill shot, and Bush folks will be looking for survival. If Bush can avoid the Algore three bears strategy, and project the same image he did during the O'Reilly interview, he will finish the second debate in good shape.

46 posted on 10/03/2004 5:56:00 PM PDT by Rokke
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To: RFT1

Bush did fine in the debate and I like Rush. To each his own.


47 posted on 10/03/2004 5:56:25 PM PDT by Big Horn (A waist is a terrible thing to mind.)
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To: jwalsh07

Well Kerry just went for something else he said about preemption, to deflect, without explaining what "global test" meant. Rather effective I think, albeit as I said deflective. What does "preemption" + "global test" mean, coming out of Kerry's mouth? What is the grand unified theory of this sum equal? Please help me with some of this.


48 posted on 10/03/2004 5:58:25 PM PDT by Torie
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To: InterceptPoint

What does this mean??


49 posted on 10/03/2004 5:58:41 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: InterceptPoint

What does this mean??


50 posted on 10/03/2004 5:58:43 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: prairiebreeze

Usually that number favor dems by at least 10-15%.


51 posted on 10/03/2004 5:59:46 PM PDT by Perdogg
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Comment #52 Removed by Moderator

To: InterceptPoint

So Bush leads 0.573 to 0.439, roughly.


53 posted on 10/03/2004 6:02:04 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: MarlboroRed
I'm angry because the President didn't prepare properly for the debates. What kind of slip shod organization is this? First we get Bush #1 totally out of touch. Then we get Dole out of touch. Now we get Bush #2 totally unprepared after having agreed to a Liberal moderator, who alone decides which questions to ask.

The Republcan party is asleep at the wheel! (As usual)

They don't call us the stupid party for nothing!

54 posted on 10/03/2004 6:02:19 PM PDT by Dec31,1999 (www.protestwarrior.com)
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To: marines4kerry

Chicom Marines?


55 posted on 10/03/2004 6:03:07 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Always ask yourself, does this pass the Global Test?)
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To: marines4kerry

Don't ask, don't tell marines?


56 posted on 10/03/2004 6:04:36 PM PDT by MNnice
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To: Petronski

Polling on who is more intelligent, Bush or Kerry, this is horsesh**. The media has hammered at Bush just like they did with Reagan and Jerry Ford, making them look like idiots. But with Flip Flop Kerry, he gets a pass.


57 posted on 10/03/2004 6:04:59 PM PDT by Ciexyz (At his first crisis, "President" Kerry will sail his Swiftboat to safety, then call Teddy.)
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To: Bungarian; Jim Robinson
We have to POP OUT of our denial if we are going to win this election. The President looked and sounded terrible on the television, which is very bad for our, or any cause.

Clean up the mess, FIX it and get it right.

It's well known that the debates can make or break a candidate.

58 posted on 10/03/2004 6:10:29 PM PDT by Dec31,1999 (www.protestwarrior.com)
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To: Dec31,1999

It's also well known that historically the candidate that wins the opening debate, doesn't win the election.

Sorry, not jumping that cliff yet.


59 posted on 10/03/2004 6:12:50 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: Soul Seeker

slightly amend that, the candidate that wins the first debate rarely wins the presidency. According to Gallop, the one that ran this poll.

And I'm still waiting on party identification so we can compare it to the previous poll.


60 posted on 10/03/2004 6:14:18 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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