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Poll puts Bush, Kerry about even [Details on the GALLUP/USA TODAY/CNN POLL]
CNN.com ^ | 10/3/04 | CNN.com

Posted on 10/03/2004 4:54:24 PM PDT by MarlboroRed

CNN) -- President Bush and his Democratic challenger, Sen. John Kerry, are about even among likely and registered voters in the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, released Sunday.

The poll showed Kerry and Bush tied at 49 percent each among likely voters interviewed. Among registered voters Bush had 49 percent and Kerry 47 percent. Independent candidate Ralph Nader was favored by 1 percent in each group.

The margin of error in each case was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

By contrast, Bush was ahead of Kerry among likely voters 52 percent to 44 percent in the Gallup poll conducted September 24-26. Among registered voters in that poll, the spread was 53 percent for Bush and 42 percent for Kerry. Nader had 3 percent among each group.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; deadheat; firstdebate; gallup; polls
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To: MarlboroRed

Just calm down everyone

I know you got trolls here trying to stir stuff up

Bush is still a head a lil and still at or above 50 head to head and Approve so chill out and you can see the samples for yourself so take a chill


21 posted on 10/03/2004 5:11:30 PM PDT by skaterboy
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To: MarlboroRed
Surprisingly, as we speak, Bush is on the upswing in the Iowa Electronic Market. Right now it is about 60/40 Bush up from a low of 54/46 earlier in the day.

Market Quotes: Pres04_WTA.html

Quotes current as of 19:00:04 CST, Sunday, October 03, 2004.

Symbol Bid Ask Last Low High Average
DEM04_G52 0.153 0.156 0.154 0.130 0.186 0.167
DEM04_L52 0.245 0.249 0.250 0.229 0.299 0.272
REP04_L52 0.205 0.213 0.213 0.196 0.222 0.205
REP04_G52 0.381 0.389 0.391 0.342 0.400 0.368


22 posted on 10/03/2004 5:11:37 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: Bungarian

those are usually released with the breakdown of the poll, responses tospecific questions by party affiliation. Apparently they haven't released this yet.

This poll is crap. 78 non-registered voters, done on a weekend, undecideds shrink to 1% of sample?

Pure crap.

Oh well, at least it will be fun when they release a weekday poll in a week or so that's back to normal - then the DU crowd can panic.


23 posted on 10/03/2004 5:13:49 PM PDT by flashbunny (hey newsweak---poll this!)
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To: ambrose

All things considered, the first debate was a draw at best. Public opinion says Kerry won. So be it. Bush lost the opportunity to put Kerry away. I've never seen GWBush so unprepared before. The President needs to move on. He needs to get more mentally focused and lose the defensive posture. Bush can't afford to lose the next debate.


24 posted on 10/03/2004 5:15:50 PM PDT by Reagan Man (.....................................................The Choice is Clear....... Re-elect BUSH-CHENEY)
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To: flashbunny

With a 3-4 percent margin of error. We know they oversampled Republicans before, I want to see their samples here.


25 posted on 10/03/2004 5:17:26 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: MOgirl
Gallup usually bases their published results on those who say they are likely to vote and throw out the non-likely voters.
26 posted on 10/03/2004 5:19:20 PM PDT by Law is not justice but process
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To: RFT1
Yes, you are correct. I've ordered my Potassium Cyanide from Canada, and am in the process of laying out my white jumpsuit and blue tennis shoes. Just in case, you know, Bush is not prepared sufficiently. Please *ping* me with your post-debate impressions before I break the capsule.

Get either a grip or a Zoloft.

27 posted on 10/03/2004 5:19:45 PM PDT by small voice in the wilderness (Quick, act casual. If they sense scorn and ridicule, they'll flee..)
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To: MOgirl

MOgirl, your posts always make me smile. I'm glad you're here!


28 posted on 10/03/2004 5:22:24 PM PDT by EllaMinnow (Dan would RATHER lie.)
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Comment #29 Removed by Moderator

To: MarlboroRed

49 to 49 with only 2 undecided?? Never happen. This is a rigged poll.


30 posted on 10/03/2004 5:26:23 PM PDT by WayneH
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To: Vader2

For whom is it over?


31 posted on 10/03/2004 5:27:18 PM PDT by MarlboroRed
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To: Petronski
On who cares more about people, Kerry had 49 to Bush 44.

Silly result about a candidate who genuinely doesn't give a RATS a$$ about anybody but himself and his wealthy snob Euros.

Prairie

32 posted on 10/03/2004 5:27:40 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (The Democrat Party has become a national embarrassment!)
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To: ambrose
These things sort of work like Mt Helens. Slowly at first, and then a bit faster. The debate made things more fluid, and the magma is on the move. Whether it erupts depends on future events, and the spin doctors. It is just too early to really know the ultimate fallout.
33 posted on 10/03/2004 5:28:09 PM PDT by Torie
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To: MarlboroRed

The fact that Kerry's boost was due to something as fleeting as a debate tells me that his higher numbers aren't from real support, but infatuation. And that tells me they're bound to come down.


34 posted on 10/03/2004 5:31:59 PM PDT by Dave Olson
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To: Torie

Dems made a big mistake with their ad declaring Kerry the winner of the debate and George Bush a liar. Michael Moore wil love it, middle America will hate it.


35 posted on 10/03/2004 5:33:34 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Always ask yourself, does this pass the Global Test?)
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To: MarlboroRed
I will be one of the first to admit I do not like the tends the national polls have shown this weekend. But lets not forget that the national vote doesn't elect a president. Rather the vote of each of the 50 states. And I have yet seen a poll indicating President Bush is beginning to lose any of the states he is projected to win. I keep reminding myself that Kerry carries 2 or 3 of the most populated states. In sheer numbers he can win every national poll yet come up very short in the state to state count.
36 posted on 10/03/2004 5:34:29 PM PDT by Keith59
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To: Vader2

You're over you fricken Troll.

Vader2
Since Oct 3, 2004


37 posted on 10/03/2004 5:35:27 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: RFT1
As for Limbaugh, its best to get outside of the talk radio fishbowl.

And into what, the lamestream media headlight glare, perhaps?

If Bush was "lackluster" then sKerry was the epitome of a snakeoil salesman. Greasy, slimey and slippery. sKerry said words that will and are coming back to haunt him. Mostly Bush looked impatient with Kerry. Which frankly wasn't an unusual reaction to the bald-faced lied his opponent was saying.

Guess what most voters are going to remember.

Prairie

38 posted on 10/03/2004 5:35:36 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (The Democrat Party has become a national embarrassment!)
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To: Vader2

Hello Troll Boy!


39 posted on 10/03/2004 5:36:07 PM PDT by cmsgop ( Bong Hits, Fraggle Rock Reruns and DU is no way to go through Life.......... I)
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To: Vader2
it's over

For you shortly I'd wager. Since 2004-10-03

40 posted on 10/03/2004 5:40:36 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (The Democrat Party has become a national embarrassment!)
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