Posted on 09/15/2004 7:38:29 PM PDT by lainie
Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 55
Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 15, 2004
...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Ivan coming closer to the northern Gulf Coast...strong winds already moving onshore...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...including the greater New Orleans area and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion throughout the entire warning area.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to west of Grand Isle.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida.
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the large eye of Hurricane Ivan was centered near latitude 29.3 north... longitude 88.1 west or about 65 miles south of the Alabama coastline.
Ivan is moving slightly east of north near 12 mph...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane will reach the coast early on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center.
People are strongly advised not to venture out from shelter during the calm conditions of the eye...as winds will increase rapidly with little or no warning when the eye passes.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. The Dauphin Island C-man station reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 83 mph...and Pensacola Naval Air Station reported sustained winds of 51 mph with a gust to 68 mph.
The latest minimum central pressure measured by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 10 to 16 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Lesser...but still significant surge values will be experienced where onshore flow occurs west of the center.
Dangerous surf conditions...including rip currents...are likely elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast.
Rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Ivan.
Tornadoes are possible over the next 24 hours in southern Alabama... the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend area...and southwestern Georgia.
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.3 N... 88.1 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 933 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at midnight CDT and 2 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
$$
Links
nwctwx's excellent list
Weather Underground/Tropical
The Weather Channel Map Room
Intellicast Tropical Page
BoatU.S. Hurricane Tracking
this thread continuing from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1216382/posts
thanks a bunch.
MG, you can change your preferences in internet explorer so that you do not load images. Tools, Internet Options, Advanced.
The same thing happened with Charley....people's antennas are getting ripped off and people are taking cover.
You might hear some JEANNE traffic though.
The IRLP feed is silent also.
Rodger, will comply!
Ron Reagan, out in the Gore-Tex jacket in Pensacola doing his best Dan Rather impersonation for MSNBC...
High water in Mobile, AL
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA
NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA
* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT(MIDNIGHT EDT)
* AT 1112 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR HOSFORD...OR ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BLOUNTSTOWN...MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
BRISTOL BY 1125 PM EDT...
ROCK BLUFF...TORREYA STATE PARK... BY 1030 PM CDT...
OCHEESEE AND HENDERSON MILL BY 1035 PM CDT...
SNEADS AND CYPRESS BY 1040 PM CDT...
Ron Reagan? They hired that clown?
According to http://www.hwn.org the net is still open on 14.385 Mhz USB. But do to many factors including health and safety not being heard.
Fox was interving someone at the Nat Hurricane Cntr and he said the storm surge is strongest (said about 15ft in this case)when the eye makes landfall. It is the worst just to the NE of the eye. Guess because of the counterclockwise rotation. He said it was like a bulldozer and this is when you get the major damage along the coast.
I don't think it will close until til the storm downgrades....I was listening to the feed today, and heard the net control from Renton, WA, and a station in Grand Cayman, and they couldnt hear each other. So, the Snelville feed was picking them both up. But I know, all kinds of things can affect HF.....just like sometimes I can pick up 10000 in my living room, and sometimes its hard to pick it up outside, day to day.
Did watch him on MSNBC (his first hurricane). No doubt they are trying to get the "gay crowd" in the ratings. What do they have to lose since they are in last place in the neilson ratings.
Here's a nice link to streaming video, radio and assorted weather coverage.
http://www.wxnation.com/log/
I've been listening here: http://www.newsradio710.com./main.html#
It's a Station in Mobile, Alabama.
I figure it would go down around 1100 pm local time here on the northeast coast. Have an Alinco transciever hooked up to an outside dipole anteena up about 15 feet.
Why not? The members of the "gay crowd" are known experts on the subject of blowing.
LOL
I've been watching and reading intently... My prayers for everyone being affected by Ivan, whether near or far...
Exactly right. The fear is the push of water into Mobile Bay... the hope is that is goes a little further east to keep from completely swamping the city.
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