Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Hurricane Ivan -- Thursday 9/16 thread [Landfall!]
NWS/NHC, various | 9/16/2004

Posted on 09/15/2004 7:38:29 PM PDT by lainie

Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 55

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 15, 2004

...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Ivan coming closer to the northern Gulf Coast...strong winds already moving onshore...

A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana to Apalachicola Florida...including the greater New Orleans area and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion throughout the entire warning area.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to west of Grand Isle.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Morgan City to west of Grand Isle...and from east of Apalachicola to Yankeetown Florida.

At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the large eye of Hurricane Ivan was centered near latitude 29.3 north... longitude 88.1 west or about 65 miles south of the Alabama coastline.

Ivan is moving slightly east of north near 12 mph...and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track...the center of the hurricane will reach the coast early on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible prior to landfall...but Ivan is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane...category three or higher. Occupants of high-rise buildings within the Hurricane Warning area can expect higher winds than those experienced at the surface...about one Saffir-Simpson category higher at the top of a 30-story building. After landfall... hurricane force winds could spread inland up to about 150 miles near the path of the center.

People are strongly advised not to venture out from shelter during the calm conditions of the eye...as winds will increase rapidly with little or no warning when the eye passes.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles. The Dauphin Island C-man station reported sustained winds of 54 mph with a gust to 83 mph...and Pensacola Naval Air Station reported sustained winds of 51 mph with a gust to 68 mph.

The latest minimum central pressure measured by a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft was 933 mb...27.55 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 10 to 16 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Lesser...but still significant surge values will be experienced where onshore flow occurs west of the center.

Dangerous surf conditions...including rip currents...are likely elsewhere along the Florida Gulf Coast.

Rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches...with isolated higher amounts...can be expected in association with Ivan.

Tornadoes are possible over the next 24 hours in southern Alabama... the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend area...and southwestern Georgia.

Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.3 N... 88.1 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...135 mph. Minimum central pressure... 933 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at midnight CDT and 2 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am CDT.

Forecaster Pasch

$$




Links
nwctwx's excellent list
Weather Underground/Tropical
The Weather Channel Map Room
Intellicast Tropical Page
BoatU.S. Hurricane Tracking

this thread continuing from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1216382/posts


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Tennessee; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneivan; ivan
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 101-120121-140141-160 ... 981 next last
To: Milwaukee_Guy

thanks a bunch.


121 posted on 09/15/2004 9:03:17 PM PDT by lainie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 107 | View Replies]

To: Milwaukee_Guy

MG, you can change your preferences in internet explorer so that you do not load images. Tools, Internet Options, Advanced.


122 posted on 09/15/2004 9:04:16 PM PDT by Unknown Freeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 119 | View Replies]

To: Milwaukee_Guy

The same thing happened with Charley....people's antennas are getting ripped off and people are taking cover.

You might hear some JEANNE traffic though.

The IRLP feed is silent also.


123 posted on 09/15/2004 9:04:24 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 119 | View Replies]

To: Unknown Freeper

Rodger, will comply!


124 posted on 09/15/2004 9:08:16 PM PDT by Milwaukee_Guy (The Law of Unintended Consequences - No Good Deed Shall Go Unpunished!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 122 | View Replies]

To: BurbankKarl

Ron Reagan, out in the Gore-Tex jacket in Pensacola doing his best Dan Rather impersonation for MSNBC...


125 posted on 09/15/2004 9:09:13 PM PDT by lainie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 123 | View Replies]

To: Milwaukee_Guy

High water in Mobile, AL


126 posted on 09/15/2004 9:09:37 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 119 | View Replies]

To: BurbankKarl
This is old, but I don't care:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA
NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT(MIDNIGHT EDT)

* AT 1112 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR HOSFORD...OR ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BLOUNTSTOWN...MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
BRISTOL BY 1125 PM EDT...
ROCK BLUFF...TORREYA STATE PARK... BY 1030 PM CDT...
OCHEESEE AND HENDERSON MILL BY 1035 PM CDT...
SNEADS AND CYPRESS BY 1040 PM CDT...

127 posted on 09/15/2004 9:09:49 PM PDT by alancarp (When does it cease to be "Freedom of the Press" and become outright SEDITION?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 123 | View Replies]

To: lainie

Ron Reagan? They hired that clown?


128 posted on 09/15/2004 9:10:22 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 125 | View Replies]

To: All

Hmmm...looks like the NWS is using a monospaced font.

129 posted on 09/15/2004 9:10:54 PM PDT by yellowhammer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 124 | View Replies]

To: BurbankKarl

According to http://www.hwn.org the net is still open on 14.385 Mhz USB. But do to many factors including health and safety not being heard.


130 posted on 09/15/2004 9:11:31 PM PDT by eternity (From here to...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 123 | View Replies]

To: lainie; ken5050

Fox was interving someone at the Nat Hurricane Cntr and he said the storm surge is strongest (said about 15ft in this case)when the eye makes landfall. It is the worst just to the NE of the eye. Guess because of the counterclockwise rotation. He said it was like a bulldozer and this is when you get the major damage along the coast.


131 posted on 09/15/2004 9:14:37 PM PDT by TheLion
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: eternity

I don't think it will close until til the storm downgrades....I was listening to the feed today, and heard the net control from Renton, WA, and a station in Grand Cayman, and they couldnt hear each other. So, the Snelville feed was picking them both up. But I know, all kinds of things can affect HF.....just like sometimes I can pick up 10000 in my living room, and sometimes its hard to pick it up outside, day to day.


132 posted on 09/15/2004 9:14:43 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 130 | View Replies]

To: BurbankKarl

Did watch him on MSNBC (his first hurricane). No doubt they are trying to get the "gay crowd" in the ratings. What do they have to lose since they are in last place in the neilson ratings.


133 posted on 09/15/2004 9:14:53 PM PDT by eternity (From here to...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 128 | View Replies]

To: All

Here's a nice link to streaming video, radio and assorted weather coverage.

http://www.wxnation.com/log/


134 posted on 09/15/2004 9:16:41 PM PDT by seeker41
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 133 | View Replies]

To: seeker41

I've been listening here: http://www.newsradio710.com./main.html#

It's a Station in Mobile, Alabama.


135 posted on 09/15/2004 9:18:28 PM PDT by Letitring
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 134 | View Replies]

To: BurbankKarl

I figure it would go down around 1100 pm local time here on the northeast coast. Have an Alinco transciever hooked up to an outside dipole anteena up about 15 feet.


136 posted on 09/15/2004 9:19:01 PM PDT by eternity (From here to...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 132 | View Replies]

To: eternity
No doubt they are trying to get the "gay crowd" in the ratings.

Why not? The members of the "gay crowd" are known experts on the subject of blowing.

LOL

137 posted on 09/15/2004 9:19:05 PM PDT by Hunble
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 133 | View Replies]

I've been watching and reading intently... My prayers for everyone being affected by Ivan, whether near or far...


138 posted on 09/15/2004 9:20:04 PM PDT by Miztiki (Living in Hoooston and getting lost on a regular basis!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 134 | View Replies]

To: Ptarmigan
I am in Birmingham, Alabama and we are expecting rain in about 30 minutes with the worst (Ivan itself) in about 13-14 hours.

I work for a hospice as an Executive Assistant and our nurses and home health care workers have been working furiously over the past two days to visit every single hospice patient and take them extra medically necessary items and extra meds. Those patients who can't exist without power were automatically admitted to hospitals.

Hats off to the medical workers everywhere! And I know they will be called upon in the aftermath as well....
139 posted on 09/15/2004 9:20:33 PM PDT by dixiechick2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: TheLion

Exactly right. The fear is the push of water into Mobile Bay... the hope is that is goes a little further east to keep from completely swamping the city.


140 posted on 09/15/2004 9:21:18 PM PDT by alancarp (When does it cease to be "Freedom of the Press" and become outright SEDITION?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 131 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 101-120121-140141-160 ... 981 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson