----Would the eye going directly over NOLA be preferable to the storm hitting west of NOLA in terms of flooding?----
It would, but if this thing keeps tracking NW, it just might hit west of NOLA.
-Dan
Posted on 09/14/2004 10:41:58 PM PDT by lainie
I was on the phone with our daughter and we were watching the weather channel. It looked like th storm was headed directly for NO. We are near the TN River and TVA has started lowering the water levels so areas will not flood.
I was just asked to look at the radar loop in post 3 -- look carefully (nice shot, BTW): Ivan is now tracking dead North to the Miss/Alabama border. NOLA will be 80 miles from the landfall position.
About 90-100 miles. And NO will be on the "good" side.
Oh my,,I trust FR more than the weather channel. Is that bad? It is now a bit overcast, heavier clouds in BR,surface of our lake looks like a river with all the water flowing to the west. Wind in little gusts with sun coming out every few minutes. Hubby working on tree. Gave up on chain saw, it hasn't been used in a while and needed some sort of taking apart. I think our trees which are small may not get down. Kid across the street dragging canoe to lake with his lab retriever,,pretty sight. Kids are thrilled to be out of school. Over and out in BR!
Red
Looks like Pascagoola ( I know I spelled that wrong, sorry!) to me.
You are in the way of this thing??????
OMG, well, I'll be up all night now worrying about you, blam, and the rest of you people!
My Accuweather expert says 'yes', it will survive - the catastrophe will be in Mobile. Note that the circulation direction will "pull" water out of the Mississippi River. That will provide some room for the pumps to do their thing.
I think if it goes east of NO all that will happen is trees, roofs off, some minor flooding. But if it comes right over or west, all bets are off.
I have studiously avoided trying to type the name of that city. I'm going with "Miss/Ala. border".
Honey, we have room for all of you!
Just don't take any chanches! You can bring everybody.
I'm making Manhattan clam chowder tonight! There will be leftovers! ;-)
This one could be bad!
God Bless you all!
BTW my Sweet Baby and I will be married 40 years next April!
I can't believe it! Seems like just a little bit ago!
The East side of the storm is considered the "dirty" side with the higher winds and higher chance of tornados.
It looks like the System is veering northwest but the is moving more due north. I think it's going to wind up making landfall around Biloxi or just west of it.
I'm afraid I'm in a no-win situation here. My mother is trying to ride out the storm in Fairhope AL which is on the east side of Mobile Bay. My sister and brother, meanwhile have "evacuated" to Picayune, MS which may actually get hit harder than if they had stayed home near Foley, AL.
They all lived through Frederic in 1979 and this looks like it will be roughly the same.
Rick Leventhal just gave a great live report from NO on fox news. They showed quite a few people standing around Lake Pontchartrain? Lots of flooding already.
I am fine, in Baton Rouge. We get wind, power out and minor flooding. Tornadoes. The power out is the worst, last one 10 years ago we had no power for a week. But I am prepared with frozen cajun chili, gumbo, french bread, wine, and food, water. We forgot the battery radio! We do have cell phones and gas in all cars. And good books. And candles. We are way too old to worry about birth control!!! LOL
Isn't that loop a bit old? The last image on it was something like 1045 EDT.
New radar loops seems to show again at least a jog NW . . .
Hi, LP! I remember that situation with your son. Everything okay? Stay safe!
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