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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: Jeff400000
Anyone want to wager that the Kerry camp will question the fact that this major storm just happened to hit a battleground state run by the Presiden't brother, giving both a chance to boost their profile and stature in the state via effectively managing this disaster?

LOL. Idiot Dems.

Sorry to inject politics into this unfortunate incident, but, hey, sure sound and steady executive leadership by both Bush brothers can have an impact come November.

641 posted on 08/13/2004 12:17:19 PM PDT by LincolnLover (LSU Tigers: GEAUXING for Another National Title in 2004!)
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To: SGCOS

Where did you get that picture? Can't look at the directory above it to find more ...


642 posted on 08/13/2004 12:17:32 PM PDT by lelio
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To: dawn53

My sons riding it out in St. Pete also. He ignored a mandatory evacuation notice from his apartment complex. He thinks he's safe because he's on the 3rd floor.


643 posted on 08/13/2004 12:17:38 PM PDT by pegleg
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To: commish

Link to cam?!! ;-)


644 posted on 08/13/2004 12:17:52 PM PDT by Tunehead54 (Kerry is endorsed by the Communist Party USA!)
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To: BurbankKarl

No kidding?


645 posted on 08/13/2004 12:18:05 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: Howlin

Finally the Ft. Myers guys are talking about Naples. The radar had shown for a long time a band of wind just as intense as the eye barreling in on Naples.


646 posted on 08/13/2004 12:18:12 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: BurbankKarl

Morons...


647 posted on 08/13/2004 12:18:22 PM PDT by Damocles (sword of...)
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To: Nita Nupress

I agree.

If you're surfing now, you are not adventurous. You're an idiot.


648 posted on 08/13/2004 12:18:27 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: lelio

http://photos.imageevent.com/spacepiraterogue/hurricaneisabel/websize/DSC02478.JPG


649 posted on 08/13/2004 12:18:28 PM PDT by SGCOS
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To: dglang

Then pray that people are spared . . . homosexuals and heterosexuals alike . . . mmmmkay!


650 posted on 08/13/2004 12:19:03 PM PDT by jayef
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To: MplsSteve

Whoa, I meant that post for Burbnak Karl.


651 posted on 08/13/2004 12:19:31 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Dog
Thanks for the well wishes. Our house was built after Andrew (1992), so it complies with the interim hurricand building code. Sometime after 1994 the state adopted an even more stringent code. We semi-comply with that because we added hurricane shutters upstaris and removable storm panels downstairs.

Our local emergency management guru says that the single biggest danger to life comes from the yeah-hoos who go out too early after the storm, find themselves in high water, and drown. Not a chance with me!

652 posted on 08/13/2004 12:19:34 PM PDT by dukeman
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To: All

I can't believe my observation of last night that the storm was going more straight north than slightly northwest like it was supposed to be doing, which would mean it would hit further south than predicted, actually came true.

I pray that the people on Sanibel, Fort Myers etc. are ready and got out in time.

Because it is going WAY WAY WAY further south than it was supposed to have done.


653 posted on 08/13/2004 12:19:40 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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To: commish

Thanks.


654 posted on 08/13/2004 12:19:43 PM PDT by Nita Nupress ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." Hillary Clinton, 6/28/04)
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To: Nita Nupress

The storm surge pics are incredible. They interviewed the guy on channel 7


655 posted on 08/13/2004 12:20:01 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: blam
"I'm in Mobile, absolutely beautiful day for August."

Not unusual at all. An active storm in the Gulf tends to "suck in" warm air/moisture from around the region.

This is why a storm could be ravaging, say, the central Texas coast yet central Louisiana be bright and sunny.

656 posted on 08/13/2004 12:20:07 PM PDT by LincolnLover (LSU Tigers: GEAUXING for Another National Title in 2004!)
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To: All
Webcams
657 posted on 08/13/2004 12:20:10 PM PDT by Michael_Michaelangelo
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Comment #658 Removed by Moderator

To: All

Tornado warning in Collier County!


659 posted on 08/13/2004 12:20:35 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: BurbankKarl

did you see that report about the 12 guys surfing in Naples? slammed them into the seawall and pier

Oh let me be the first:

Darwin Award Nominee


660 posted on 08/13/2004 12:20:39 PM PDT by Dr Snide (vis pacem, para bellum - Prepare for war if you want peace)
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