Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
I know Sarasota County took it very seriously. Mandatory evacuation of the barrier islands yesteday. People were doing the usual stocking up; I've never seen so many stripped shelves at the grocery store. In my neighborhood, all the lawn stuff was put away.
I've had it with the media trying to point the finger of blame. Hurricanes are unpredictable. They issued warnings for the entire Gulf Coast of Florida. If people choose not to heed the warnings, what can be done?
Bush look-alike on Leno -- looks and sounds like him, making fun of him. Not that funny, IMO.
Looks like it to me to, from the JAX radar.
Huh?
I JUST heard that there were TWO people confirmed dead. It is sad when anybody loses their life, but the fact is that is a very small loss of life for such a powerful storm. We should be thankful it wasn't worse.
There are people on this thread RIGHT NOW with loved ones they can't get in touch with in a massively damaged area. Show some maturity.
You show some maturity. I lived through hurricane Andrew which was the worst storm to hit Florida. I saw the devastation and was lucky enough to have a home to go back to. The entire beach was washed up onto A1A.
Please don't try to lecture me on respect for storms or tell me that there is something WRONG with going to the beach to collect shells after a storm. OK?
OK enough, it is time to quit overspeculating and scaring people who have relatives down there. You have no more a clue than I or anyone else here what the real damage and casualties are, we just won't know much until morning. I saw the initial TV shots from Punta Gorda before night fell, and while there was some major damage, there were also plenty of intact structures visible when they were first showing their wide shots before they started staying with just the most dramatic damage shots. Also plenty of trees standing, which you did NOT see much of in the areas hardest hit in Andrew. Pretty much all the major damage reports heard from so far are along a relatively narrow line of where the eye moved up: barrier isles, Port Charlotte, Punta Gorda, Arcadia, Hardee Co., Lake Wales, Kissimmee.
The storm deepened just as fast as I have ever seen one deepen. I strongly believe it was actually a Cat 5 at landfall. I expect to hear some bad things in the morning about the regions most affected.
Every model is east tonight with the track of the storm. It looks like it will still make secondary landfall somewhere near or north of the NC/SC border.
From that point, it's a tough call.
I would imagine it might re-emerge off the coast of Virginia and could pose a threat to Long Island or Cape Cod. The NHC has the track staying inland and the storm up near CT by late tomorrow evening. BUT, Charley has been consistently east of the NHC track thus far which is why I believe it may end up affecting Long Island-Cape Cod before exiting out to sea.
VIPIR is not a computer model as the term is generally used.
It's just a fancy-schmancy cool-looking 3D way to display radar info. It's not predictive.
I really have no idea (since I didn't watch the station) how it got perceived by you or portrayed by the station as a forecast model.
And it doesn't belong to that station specfically. It's a subscription product used by stations all over the country. They're being deceptive if they describe it as such, but it would not surprise me.
Excellent find.
Do you have a link to that?
His home destroyed, Paterson walked along Taylor Road with a dazed look and blood trickling from several head wounds. "Happy Friday the 13th," he said.
One thing I've seen several stations do, as well, is use the MM5 forecast model and portray it as "our" model, which it isn't.
May have to find some archived MM5 tracks....
I'm trying not to speculate, and you are right in many regards. I am basing my belief off many statistics I have looked at today. 145mph sustained winds do a lot more damage than what I have seen on TV. No more speculation for now.
I've heard a lot of discussion today about "the cone"........the NHC loves that thing.
Started with what?
House was built in 1979, by real contractors.
Thanks, that is informative.
You are incredibly annoying.
What's YOUR opinion about the possible effect on coastal Georgia? (and should I take a nap now or later?)
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