Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Fort Meade coming, past Bowling Green now.
Bartow next.
Winter Haven? Or Kissimmee?
Going to pass up across the west side of Orlando?
no, I am not. see post 1775
AHMM:') I guess it depends on who you are getting reports from, huh? The same networks that are saying poor Jeb was supposed to know the path?
It's not dark in Florida for another hour or so.
That's good think on their part. IIRC didn't Jeb declare a state of emergency early on, too? Glad these guys are making it difficult for vendors to take advantage of people during a crisis.
***85 miles south south west of Orlando.
Eye of Hurricane.***
NO, NO! Please tell me I'm figuring it wrong. That' s Bradenton where my daughter and family are.
listening to 690WOKV online.
talking about rumors closing down bridge in Jacksonville?
Tornado - St Johns County
Ah, yes, but the rain cuts sunlight ... 8<)
In a way, it chose perhaps the single least populated area to cut through FL...
Real nasty for anybody on the Hwy 17 path itself, but even the few towns that are in its path are relatively small and relatively far apart.
You are figuring wrong. I have relatives in Sarasota (south of Bradenton) and they are ok.
WESH-TV Orlando/Daytona live stream: http://mfile.akamai.com/8073/live/reflector:24028.ram
Thanks
No, no. Check a map, or use mapquest.com to call up the little town of Bradeton.
The third post of this thread shows the radar picture of the eye, with county lines superimposed on the radar.
Now, compare the two images in two different windows at the same time.
Bradenton is right on the caost, a little south of St Pete.
The eye is about 45 miles east of there, right north of the Polk County line right now coming up on the town of Fort Meade.
They'll get winds, rain, (and maybe a tornado giving localized damage) but the real problems are well inland from that town.
A waterspout drops from the clouds over the Gulf of Mexico prior to Hurricane Charley reaching land near Sanibel Island in Fort Myers, Fla., Thursday, Aug. 12, 2004. The residents of Sanibel Island were issued a mandatory evacuation earlier in the day with the island drawbridge closing at 8:00 p.m. to traffic. (AP Photo/Palm Beach Post, Gary Coronado)
Pres Bush has declared a major disaster, freeing FEMA funds for debris removal and other relief.
9:30, a direct path to Orlando - according to TWC.
We need to watch Kerry's statements very closely. IF he shows his Puss in FLorida and you KNOW he will TOUR the damaged area (Insert obligatory Photo picking up debris and looking sad) and says how we need to help etc etc blah blah blah (AND HE WILL) then we need to watch for when the vote for Emergency Funds comes up -- HE AND EDWARDS BETTER BE IN DC TO VOTE FOR THE EMERGENCY FUNDING if they show up in Florida and promise it.
Oh my, lol, that's crazy...maybe you and my husband were switched at birth - sounds like your parents should be his. He sleeps through everything! Children crying, phone ringing, wife beating him with pillows, shoving him as hard as she can...
A couple months ago some very severe thunderstorms came through in the middle of the night while half my family was visiting, wind and thunder so strong the house shook and banged like someone was beating it with a giant frying pan. Woke up everyone but him.
No doubt someone drag racing on the lawn wouldn't roust him either. :)
This link could be interesting to watch...too bad it is getting towards dark there...
http://marcussharpe.com/Cam.htm
***You are figuring wrong. I have relatives in Sarasota (south of Bradenton) and they are ok.***
PHEW! I'm saying a prayer for YOU, just because you're such a good person. Seriously! What a relief. Thanks!
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