Marist College Poll (Bush 47%, Kerry 47% - represents a +1% for *BUSH* since convention)

Marist College Poll ^ | 8/4/04

[ambrose]

Marist College Poll. July 30-Aug. 2, 2004. N=839 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3.5), including 573 likely voters (MoE ± 4).
					.
"If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
					.
		Bush/ Cheney	Kerry/ Edwards	Nader/ Camejo	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	7/30 - 8/2/04	47	47	1	5	.
	7/12-15/04	46	47	1	6	.
					.
	Among registered voters -- with leaners:
	7/30 - 8/2/04	46	47	3	4	.
	7/12-15/04	46	47	3	4	.

[Always Right]

Darn bounce....

[ambrose]

Headline should read:

Marist College Poll (Bush 47%, Kerry 47% - represents a +1% [BOUNCE] for *BUSH* since convention)

[ambrose]

The Kerry "Bounce":

[cripplecreek]

While that is good news poll wise, I think the same sex marriage vote in Missouri is a much more solid indicator of where the election is headed.

[My2Cents]

"...And in a more significant poll, the US Supreme Court is still 5-4, in favor of Bush."

[mhx]

And a damn good thing, too.

[silverNblackcuban]

I just want to see Bush with at least a 5% lead. All these polls show a tight race. I want a blow out.

[cripplecreek]

I think it will be a blowout regardless of what the polls say.

[Willie Green]

The same poll shows Dubya trailing in the Battleground states:
Kerry Leads Bush in Battleground States, Marist Poll Finds

[gilliam]

These head to heads look great, but the electorial college looks terrible:

http://www.dalythoughts.com/ecb.htm

[dawn53]

My husband has been saying right along that he believes polls are meaningless in this election.

He believes there's a difference between what people tell a pollster and what they'll actually do in the voting booth.

I was doubting his "theory", but after that Missouri vote, which polled in the 55-60 range, but garnered 72%, I think he may be on to something.

[GulliverSwift]

Pollsters usually do the bidding of whoever pays them. Since it's media that commission most polls, the pollsters bend the results toward what their bosses want: a close race (until Election Day) with the Dem slightly in the lead.

[OldFriend]

Marist is a known left leaning polling operation.

[ambrose]

If Bush wins the popular vote, he wins the election.

[cripplecreek]

Add the fact that a HUGE majority of people aren't taking part in these polls to begin with. I don't take part in phone polls, I hang up.

[mhx]

I know I consistently lie to pollsters.

[Hotdog]

...he is...I had a pollster get me and I told her I'm Kerry all the way...NOT!...I'm going Bush all the way! Just wanted to give them some peanuts for their gallery...

[Salvey]

I think it will be a blowout regardless of what the polls say.

I do, too.

[cripplecreek]

I'm allways reminded of what Bernard Goldberg said about Richard Nixons election. None of his media friends believed that Nxon could possibly win because they didn't know anyone who was voting for him. He won 49 states that year.