Posted on 07/21/2004 9:06:41 AM PDT by Nascardude
Wednesday July 21, 2004--The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Polls shows President George W. Bush attracting 47% of the vote while Senator John Kerry earns 46%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.
It is likely that Kerry's position in the polls will improve over the next week or so in response to the Democratic National Convention.
New Rasmussen Reports data shows that 43% of Americans now believe the U.S. is safer today than it was before 9/11. That's a seven-point improvement since the formal transfer of sovereignty to Iraq. Later today, at 3:00 p.m. Eastern, we will report on whether voters believe the U.S. would be safer if we had avoided the War with Iraq and left Hussein in power.
Yesterday, we released a Partisan Economics summary. Most Democrats say the U.S. is in a recession while Republicans overwhelmingly disagree.
A separate survey released yesterday found that 51% of workers say they receive comparable pay for comparable work. Thirty-seven percent (37%) do not. There is no difference between men and women on this issue.
Our recent state releases included Alabama, Arkansas, California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, and Washington. Bush improved relative to Kerry in eleven states. Kerry improved relative to Bush in ten states.
Believe me, I have to friends in high and low places.
<We should start to see that effect (if there is one) in tomorrow's Rasmussen. If it does hurt Kerry, his lowest Ras numbers should be on Friday - two days worth of post-Trousergate sampling, but going into the weekend (where Rats poll stronger) and into the DNC Circus.
They can't get Kerry up to 53% without taking Bush down to 40% (there will usually be at least 7% undecided or you have to factor in 3% for Nader). That 40% number for Bush will be hard to justify with his job approval running between 50 and 53%. Only a major mis-step by Bush could bring it lower than 50% in the next two weeks. Nope, it isn't going to happen.
That struck me too...Democrats believe we are in a recession!!! Lol...I hope they are simply lying to the pollsters, b/c if they seriously believe that, they are dumber than I give them credit for.
Let me guess, unnamed administration officials right?
It's time to rip the lungs out of the DemocRATS NOW!
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We should start to see that effect (if there is one) in tomorrow's Rasmussen. If it does hurt Kerry, his lowest Ras numbers should be on Friday - two days worth of post-Trousergate sampling, but going into the weekend (where Rats poll stronger) and into the DNC Circus.
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There is no evidence Democrats poll better on weekends. Urban legend.
53% is what Reagan had when he won 49 states. I'll take 55% in this strange year for a big win.
I see. Sort of Paul Revere in reverse. Good to know.
Going on 7 years on FR.
Actually, it is true. Just like if you only poll from 8:00-5:00. There will be a slant in the data favoring liberal candidates thus usually Democrats.
Well, let's settle this here and now.
If you did say that -- and since you're intent on reminding us about it -- no doubt you have something to back that up.
How about linking just one post you made back then saying that.
We can wait.
Actually, you haven't even been here six years yet.
And that means absolutley NOTHING.
I'm just a lowly "troll-scat" newby, but even *I* can see COURAGE is not incorrigible!
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There is no evidence Democrats poll better on weekends. Urban legend.
Actually, it is true. Just like if you only poll from 8:00-5:00. There will be a slant in the data favoring liberal candidates thus usually Democrats.
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Ha. We have a double whammy here. I have to justify my comment and you would have to justify your rebuttal.
And of course I don't remember where I saw the data. Common sense tells me there's no weekend bias, just like it should tell you the same for 5-8 PM.
It's like systems in the stock market. If such a system would work because a bias exists for exploit, everyone would exploit it and no bias would remain.
If there were a polling bias on weekends and from 5-8, pollsters would adjust their reported numbers to compensate.
Shrug. There is no evidence there is a bias in reported results for polls taken on weekends.
LOL!!! COURAGE!!
Dan Rather has it, too.
Three straight days of Bush at 47% after being down, plus job approval slowly climbing. All good.
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