Posted on 07/19/2004 7:55:28 AM PDT by WoodstockCat
Just heard on 1190 WGKA here in Atlanta that Herman Cain will be on the Micheal Medved show this afternoon.
Ping for Herman Cain!
ping
According to yesterday's AJC, Zogby did a poll that showed Herman behind Isakson by 46 - 16 with 30% undecided. If those numbers are anywhere close, Isakson wins tomorrow without a runoff. We just have to hope that Zogby is off - WAAAAY off.
Same people said Barnes would win reelection in 2002.
The even tougher number in that article was less than 50% of the voters knew who Cain is.Most people will not vote for a candidate they know nothing about.He will have a better shot in 2 years if he runs for Congress or Lt. Gov.
>Same people said Barnes would win reelection in 2002.<
Not true. The polling in the Barnes race was earlier in the race and did not show as big a spread.People who were paying attention on the Republican side saw Chambliss and Perdue comming on in October.Barnes got lazy and did not hire a polling firm that understood the state.He also got overconfident and stopped polling to soon.
"He will have a better shot in 2 years if he runs for Congress or Lt. Gov."
I believe that Herman is 59 years old. I can't see him running for Lt. Governor. Congress would be more likely.
Has anyone heard how Thune is doing against Daschle? I heard someone (can't recall who) predict just last week that the Democrats would pick up 2 seats in the senate. That is hard to believe in light of the situation in the south, where 5 southern Democrats aren't running for reelection. I would think that the Republicans could pick off a minimum of 2 of those and, quite possibly, 4 or even 5.
Bump for Medved the best National Talk Show Host.
Since the Demonrats need 2 seats to take over control of the Senate (formally... they already obviously control it now), I'd guess that was a Demonrat rallying his troops.
There is no way in hell they will gain 2 Senate Seats barring some sort of national disaster for the R's.
Realistically, the worst that could happen is that we break even.
Worst case would be that we lose 3 of our 4 open seats, and gain 3 of the 5 southern seats, and don't unseat any vulnerable incumbents. We have the advantage of having no truly vulnerable incumbents, while they have at least 2, possibly 4 depending on who you talk to.
What part of Georgia does Cain live in? Is it possible he'll have a House seat to run for in 06?
"What part of Georgia does Cain live in? Is it possible he'll have a House seat to run for in 06?"
"But to answer your question, I think Cain lives in the Atlanta suburbs, and the only safe seats he could run for will have Republican incumbents who won't be going anywhere."
Herman lives in Henry county, which is in the southeastern part of greater Atlanta metro. Henry is split between at least 2 of Georgia's congressional districts - the 13th and the 8th. He lives in the part that is in the 8th, which is currently represented by Mac Collins. That district will probably be represented by Lynn Westmoreland 2 years from now. The 13th is represented now by David Scott, an African American Democrat who has no serious opposition this election cycle. Scott is a moderate, not nearly as liberal as John Lewis or whoever wins the 4th CD - either Cynthia McKinney or Liane Levitan. However, it would make more sense (to me, at least) for Herman to run in the 13th in 2 years if he wanted to try for a house seat.
Having said all that, I think it is unlikely that he would run for the house even if he falls short in this year's senate race - and I still hope he prevails tomorrow. Many people here believe that he has a good chance to win a runoff. However, he has to make it into a runoff first. Tomorrow will be exciting. I will be at Herman's party tomorrow night - let's hope it is a celebration.
"That district will probably be represented by Lynn Westmoreland 2 years from now."
Westmoreland is the frontrunner in the Republican primary now; that district will almost certainly go Republican this cycle. The other possibility is Dylan Glenn, a very attractive African American Republican.
I thought he had to break 50%?
"I thought he had to break 50%?"
That is correct, but if he is already at 46% with 30% undecided, he only has to get a small proportion of the undecideds to break his way to win.
It does not look as though the Christian Coalition has gotten out the message.
how sad :(
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