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REAGAN-LIKE LANDSLIDE EYED
New York Post ^ | 6/10/04 | DEBORAH ORIN

Posted on 06/10/2004 12:19:49 AM PDT by kattracks

June 10, 2004 -- NOW is a good time to look back at the landslide win that sent Ronald Reagan to the White House in 1980, because lots of analysts think 2004 could turn out the same way — close for a long time and then suddenly breaking wide open. In 1980, the break came just days before the vote, when Democrat Jimmy Carter finally agreed to debate. Reagan came off as sunny instead of scary and when he admonished Carter with a smile, "There you go again," it was all over.

Like President Bush, Carter faced voters nervous over both the economy and foreign policy and wondering whether it's time for a change — in Carter's case, skyrocketing inflation at home plus the endless Iran hostage crisis.

But there's a big difference, since Carter kept getting bad news on both fronts, while Bush is starting to get good news on both the economy, with a surge in new jobs, and Iraq, with international support for the June 30 transfer of power.


(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: landslide
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To: ThanhPhero

Atheists do not need to "develop logical reasons to support his ideas of right conduct". that is just nonsense. Are you saying that Christianity is the opposite of logic, or operates in a logical vaccuum? I certainly hope not.

We all have the same fundamental concept of right and wrong, and it comes from society and our culture as a whole, as well as a general inborn genetic disposition towards our own kind. I recognize that some aspects of our culture and society stems from Christianity, but I doubt very much that its absence would make any difference at this point.

I think what is important in a politician is a dedication to protecting the right to religious freedom for all people of all persuasions, rather than special consideration for any one particular religion.


101 posted on 06/10/2004 5:33:41 AM PDT by counterpunch (<-CLICK HERE for my CARTOONS)
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To: nathanbedford; counterpunch; Jack of Diamonds; guitfiddlist; risk
They hate Bush because he is Billy Budd and, as an innocent, he is a figure of reproach which must be destroyed because he represents the truth which would destroy the Great EGO.

Well they see him as either the innocent or the crafty Skull and Bones manipulator. Either way, he's wrong to them. One urbanite complained that he only appeals to the flyover states. This neophyte wanted to erradicate the Electoral College so that the states with big cities could decide our presidents once and for all.

Well a lot of those mountain and plains folk enlisted in the services after 9/11. I guess we need them after all, don't we? And we need their simple common sense, too. I think we need it more than ever.

102 posted on 06/10/2004 5:36:46 AM PDT by risk
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To: kattracks

Is the NY Post saying Kerry will win in a landslide based on how the 1980 election went? Carter was the incumbent (Bush) and Reagan (Kerry) beat him in a lanslide. Using that as a guide - the incumbent loses.


103 posted on 06/10/2004 5:37:34 AM PDT by familyofman (laying in the dark, where the shadows run from themselves)
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To: Jack of Diamonds
But you don't mind suckling on the giant teet of tax-payer funded government jobs, now do you. How very ingenious of you. It's a very smart person who can manage to slam the efforts being made to save your civil servant a**, blame the President for making you a victim, AND lament your misfortune at not having a true conservative to support. You are an abomination. And a pathetic excuse for a public servant.

Jim, I will self-ban myself over my response, if you wish. My tolerance level for fools is running low. Regards, SVITW

104 posted on 06/10/2004 5:37:49 AM PDT by small voice in the wilderness (Quick, act casual. If they sense scorn and ridicule, they'll flee..)
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To: kattracks

We have truth on our side. One or two debates and it'll be all over. Dubya will eat them alive over their recent statements, actions, and the issues.


105 posted on 06/10/2004 5:42:38 AM PDT by RightthinkinAmerican (Lefties are getting a little too much rope. Anyone wanna watch them hang themselves?)
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To: Freesofar

Exactly. A lot of Dems (old Harry Truman dems, who aren't rabid liberals like the rest) say they'll vote Kerry now, but won't have the stomach to actually do it.


106 posted on 06/10/2004 5:43:58 AM PDT by RightthinkinAmerican (Lefties are getting a little too much rope. Anyone wanna watch them hang themselves?)
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To: RightthinkinAmerican; counterpunch

I think a lot of socialist-leaning sheeple are willing to talk about their voting intentions. I think a lot of patriots slam the pollster's call back on the hook after saying it's none of anyone's business how they vote.


107 posted on 06/10/2004 5:47:22 AM PDT by risk
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To: counterpunch
It is my recollection that Blacks voted in excess of 90% for Gore.

It had occurred to me that I was double counting Gays and Jews so you can adjust my numbers by 03 x 03 = 0.09% if you want to bother - I did not.

You are right, Hispanics have exceeded Blacks and now count for 13%, making my point stronger. I will say that if Bush loses this election the real tragedy of lost opportunity will be the failure to cut into this block by exploiting the Estrada nomination on Spanish radio, a campaign which I advocated at the time to the extent of posting myself hoarse. A 15 to 20 point shift here could put the Rats out of power for a generation. Alas.

You are also right that there are stirrings within the Jewish electorate, but I have seen no data which suggest a big swing although plenty of pundits have opined.

I believe my larger observation remains valid and one which makes a landslide for Bush an unrealistic hope.

Interestingly, the media pundits do not often make note of these numbers, preferring to remain on the safe turf of geographical analysis of red and blue states when talking about the 50 - 50 split which is hardening within the nation. But the racial analysis tells us why we have the red -blue geographical split.

Either we Republicans break through to Hispanics or demographic attrition will strangle the Southern strategy as surely as did Grant and Sherman and confine the Party to minority status for at least a generation.
108 posted on 06/10/2004 5:52:00 AM PDT by nathanbedford
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To: kms61

I'm with you, a nail-biter to the end (just like a Patriots game), and then Kerry's lawyers filing lawsuits for recounts.


109 posted on 06/10/2004 5:52:32 AM PDT by theDentist (Thanks Ron... we'll take it from here.)
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To: little jeremiah

Factories will have to pump up production of Prozac........

Hey...good point...buy pharmaceuticals.[sic]


110 posted on 06/10/2004 5:59:20 AM PDT by Dog Anchor
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To: counterpunch
The "morality" of the Buddhist is the morality of nonattachment. It is no morality at all. One does not do murder because that attaches one to one's victim and to the world. What other people do is of no concern to the Bhuddist so long as it does not impinge on himself. Charity, either as alms or as good deeds, also attaches one to the recipient and is, thus, a liability. In most of the Bhuddist realm,that Bhuddism is rare. Most is practical paganism and ancestor worship where "morality" springs from preservation of family.

Among Moslems the focus on family is extreme and seems to indicate survival of the old paganism.

In Asia large business was mostly impossible except as enterprise of the ruler or of strictly family concerns until the Christians came. Viet Nam now has about 10% indigenous Christians and they make up the core of the business class because they can trust each other without having to have family connections. The nonChristians have learned to work with the Christians and do it the same way.

The Chinese, for all their great flowering of enterprise are still pretty much stuck with the ruler's businesses and family businesses. The great Chinese businesses outside of China proper hit ceilings where they need to take on foreign CEOs or Financial officers and it doesn't work. The Family cannot learn to trust the foreigner and the foreigner cannot work well in such a milieu.

Islam is the most exaggerated of family cultures. There is no trust in anything outside of the family. The religion doesn't help development because it specifically renders it "moral" to cheat a nonMoslem and to take from a nonMoslem at every opportunity.

All non JudaeoChristian major religions produce lying as the main everyday method of interaction beyond the family. In Hindu paganism and in the various paganisms of Africa and Asia, to tell a nonfamily person a true thing is to give him power over oneself and one's family. Truthtelling is a liability. Bhuddism is not a major religiion in this reckoning because the great majority of its nominal adherents are, in fact, pagans or Confucianists and Daoists.

Confucianism and its partial replacement, Maoism, produce obedience to the center, to the ruler and trust only vertically , none laterally outside of the family.

Congress cannot make any law respecting an establishment of religion. Under God in the pledge is not an establishment of religion. Neither is prayer in the schools. Establishing religion is making one religion the only legal religion or taxing to support a religious organization or it is an official religious test to hold office.

The morality that makes modern society possible is the morality of Torah extended to the world by Christianity. That morality cannot be sustained solely by legislatures and courts and Wise Men who study and decide what is useful without a background of JudaeoChristianiat. The more Christianity is pushed out of our public life the more are the laws that must be made to regulate life and the finer and finer are the aspects of life that will be the subject of laws.

111 posted on 06/10/2004 6:02:59 AM PDT by ThanhPhero (Ong la nguoi di hanh huong den La Vang)
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To: counterpunch

You have your fundamental concept of right and wrong because you swim in a Christian sea. It is the background of the whole society. Without that foundation there is no moral reason for the rulers to not decide that a certain class of people is detrimental to proper development and to eliminate that class. Great nations have gone that route through rationalism.


112 posted on 06/10/2004 6:07:39 AM PDT by ThanhPhero (Ong la nguoi di hanh huong den La Vang)
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To: RightthinkinAmerican
One or two debates and it'll be all over.

Your statement makes total sense... but while you, I and all FReeper's see this election as a simple act of common sense, the politically ignorant are deeply challenged.

They are bombarded every day with the socialist blather and doubt of the network media. Every bit of good news from Iraq to the economy is tainted with a disclaimer of... 'too early to assess'... 'numbers are incomplete' or 'the-jury's-still-out'.

To me, I smell a landslide for 'W'... but then again, I thought Bush the Elder could defeat a rapist.

113 posted on 06/10/2004 6:09:23 AM PDT by johnny7 (“He had those little, baked bean teeth.” -George 'Can't stand ya' Costanza)
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To: Jack of Diamonds

Right now W's domestic policy is irrelevant. If we do not survive as a nation we have no chance to affect domestic policy. That should be understood by liberals, too.


114 posted on 06/10/2004 6:11:41 AM PDT by ThanhPhero (Ong la nguoi di hanh huong den La Vang)
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To: nathanbedford

Hispanics have always been considered "up for grabs".
While they lean more Democrat, I do not believe they reach nearly 75%. The difficulty with the hispanic vote has always been about getting out their vote. It's very low. They could be a very powerful voting block, but they just don't get out to vote in very high numbers.

I believe that Schwarzenegger got a higher percentage of the hispanic vote than the Democrat who is one of their own, Cruz Bustamante.

Of course Arnold is somewhat of a special case, but it still speaks volumes, considering his challenger.


115 posted on 06/10/2004 6:11:48 AM PDT by counterpunch (<-CLICK HERE for my CARTOONS)
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To: Allegra
I cannot wait to see what Saturday Night Live does with this year's debates. That show came back from the dead with the 2000 debates.
116 posted on 06/10/2004 6:12:26 AM PDT by Xenalyte (It's not often you see Johnny Mathis in the wild.)
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To: ThanhPhero

From time to time I see ridiculous aryanesque justifications for why Christianity is "superior" to all other religions, like yours. And like yours, they all are also premised on ignorant medieval concoctions of what other religions are really all about.

But hands down the majority of these kinds of diatribes come from islamists.


117 posted on 06/10/2004 6:17:42 AM PDT by counterpunch (<-CLICK HERE for my CARTOONS)
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To: Jack of Diamonds; trussell; jmstein7; Constitution Day; Poohbah; Zavien Doombringer; jriemer; ...
OKay, let's play, "Stop The Tape!", here...

I'm conservative.

No, you're not. You state you're a DoD civilian. You're union. You're a Socialist.

I'd love to vote a conservative into the White House. If one was running that had a chance to win, I'd vote for him.

I hear this from every self-righteous paleo-FReeper in this forum. Parroting others, and activating a sleeper account, is not the way to establish a bona fides.

I do not really hate Bush

Of course you don't.

I blame him for making me have to vote for a 'rat because his domestic policy really sucks for the middle class majority in this country.

The next sentence is the key...

That and as I'm a Civil Servant in the DoD, the Rumsfield plan is an abomination.

Oh, concern for the middle class is your primary concern?? Sounds more like keeping your tenure and your taxpayer-funded pension is.

No one makes you vote. There is no gun to your head making you vote.

118 posted on 06/10/2004 6:19:14 AM PDT by Old Sarge (2004: Win One More For The Gipper!)
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To: counterpunch
You think the Buddha Siddhartha Gautama, Lai Tzu, or Confucius had no moral foundation???

The Buddha Siddhartha Gautama had no moral foundation. His insight leads to nonattachment which is only partially in agreement with what can be called morality. It has some similar effects and some very different effects and does not really affect the great majority of nominal believers because they cannot follow the path of nonattachment and there is no morality beyond family and survival of self for them. Bhuddism is the path of a very tiny group of people who have the self discipline for it. Practical Bhuddism is mostly paganism and propitiation of the gods which has no bearing on how people treat one another.

119 posted on 06/10/2004 6:19:25 AM PDT by ThanhPhero (Ong la nguoi di hanh huong den La Vang)
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To: ThanhPhero
You have your fundamental concept of right and wrong because you swim in a Christian sea. It is the background of the whole society. Without that foundation there is no moral reason for the rulers to not decide that a certain class of people is detrimental to proper development and to eliminate that class. Great nations have gone that route through rationalism.

Germany was a Christian nation, and they saw it fit to eliminate all non-christian people.
The Spanish Inquisition and the Crusades also were based on the same conclusion because of, rather than inspite of Christianity.
120 posted on 06/10/2004 6:20:53 AM PDT by counterpunch (<-CLICK HERE for my CARTOONS)
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