Posted on 04/10/2016 7:38:07 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The rap on Ted Cruz has been that his strength is limited to (1) caucus states and (2) states with large proportions of evangelical Christians. But Cruz undid that analysis with his double-digit victory over Donald Trump in Wisconsin last week.
Cruz beat Trump 48 percent to 35 percent in a primary election (so much for the caucus argument). And he did so by besting the New York billionaire among virtually all groups, whether defined by income, age, or educational attainment. Trump did manage to win, by 9 points, that quarter of the Wisconsin GOP primary voters who described themselves as moderate or liberal; but Cruz beat Trump by 21 points with the remaining three-quarters who described themselves as somewhat or very conservative.
With a broad-based win in Wisconsin, Cruz demonstrated he has a realistic path to winning the GOP nomination at an open convention. If Cruz can win a handful of key Midwestern and Western states—Indiana, Nebraska, South Dakota, Montana, and California—he can keep Trump from getting the majority of delegates that are needed to win the nomination....
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
I’m sorry. I just keep getting the image of Hillary Clinton as POTUS and the idea that the economy, social morality and entire country will fall further and further down the crap hole it has fallen into this past decade and I become almost rational in my approach to politics.
Can you forgive me?!
This is the truth as I see it, my own preferences aside:
We have so many dumbed down people in the country, and women who want the first female president, that beating the dem candidate will be a longshot with either Trump or Cruz. Could happen, but odds are it won’t.
However, if party elites give this nomination to anyone but the frontrunner entering the convention, and that will clearly be Trump and everybody knows it, the GOP will lose members for many, many years. If Trump is nominated, Cruz supporters might not vote for Trump in the general, but they would not bolt the party thereafter because they would have no reason whatsoever to feel cheated. On the other hand, if Trump goes in leading and is denied the nomination, his supporters might not support Cruz in the general, but MUCH more importantly, will leave the party in droves because they will have a good argument that they were cheated.
So, if keeping members of the party is important, frontrunner needs to be nominated.
If the GOP is interested in flexing its muscles and proving a point, they will cheat in the second or third place guy and lose the party as a viable entity. If they bite the bullet, swallow hard, and respect the will of those who voted in the primaries, and nominate the frontrunner, they will save their party to fight another day, and hopefully learn a valuable lesson in the process. The very worst thing that can happen is to be seen as cheating, and that will be the perception if anyone other than the frontrunner is nominated. Does anybody really doubt that?
As for the general, yes it’s a longshot with either candidate, but it is an impossibility if the second or third place finisher is nominated. In order for anyone to be seen as the legitimate nominee, that person will have to reach the convention with the most delegates. Not talking rules here, just reality. Yelling and screaming at each other won’t change this.
GWB has the same degree as Trump, but couldn't distinguish himself with a successful business.
When we needed a businessman in 2008, we got a professor.
:-/
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