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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Ted Cruz Set to Claim Illinois Delegate Prize”

” Although the latest polls show Trump with a lead in Illinois”

Classic Cruz fan edit.


2 posted on 03/14/2016 1:16:44 PM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: VanDeKoik

Now read the article. And Breitbart is Trump county, as you know.


4 posted on 03/14/2016 1:17:41 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: VanDeKoik

Translation: He will get some delegates, THUS MAKING HIM THE WINNER!1!!!


5 posted on 03/14/2016 1:18:10 PM PDT by 20yearsofinternet (Border: Close it. Illegals: Deport. Muslims: Ban 'em. Economy: Liberate it. PC: Kill it. Trump 2016)
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To: VanDeKoik

Just like when GW beat Gore but lost the “popular” vote.

The race is for delegates not “state wins”.


8 posted on 03/14/2016 1:18:44 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: VanDeKoik

This ground game has never materialized. I guess having a bunch of government types go to vote is considered ground game like Wyoming. So far I have not seen this ground game he brags about.


9 posted on 03/14/2016 1:18:58 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: VanDeKoik
“Ted Cruz Set to Claim Illinois Delegate Prize”
” Although the latest polls show Trump with a lead in Illinois”
Classic Cruz fan edit.

Or reasoned analysis. Trump underperforms his polling leads almost every time, even when the vote is just 1-2 days after the poll.

Iowa was supposed to be a 4.7 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he lost by 3.3 (8 pt drop in the Trump lead at the actual vote)
Jan 26-31 polls (CBS, NBC/WSJ, Quinnipiac, Emerson), Feb 1 vote...

SC was a 17.1 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he won by "only" 9.9 (7.2 pt drop)
Feb 16-19 polls (FOX, SC House, Emerson), Feb 20 vote...

OKL was a 11.4 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he lost by 6.1 (17.5 pt drop)
Feb 28 Monmouth and SoonerNews9 poll, Mar 1 vote

VA was a 14.5 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he won by 2.8 (11.7 pt drop)
Feb 26 CBS poll, Feb 24 Monmouth poll, Mar 1 vote (Roanoke had him up 23 on Feb 24)

TN was a 18.0 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he won by "only" 14.2 (3.8 pt drop)
Feb 23 poll Mar 1 vote

VT was a 15.0 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he won by 2.3 (12.7 pt drop)
Feb 17 VPR poll Mar 1 vote

Alaska was a 4.1 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he lost by 2.9 (7 pt drop)
Alaska Dispatch poll, Mar 1 vote

Texas was a 9.0 point win for Cruz just days before the vote... and Cruz won by 17.1 (8.1 pt drop)
Feb 26-28 polls (CBS, NBC/WSJ, Monmouth, Fox26), Mar 1 vote...
(Emerson and ARG had Trump within 3 and 1 point respectively on Feb 28)

KS was a 6.1 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he lost by 24.9 (31.0 pt drop)
Mar 3 poll, Mar 5 vote

ID was a 11.2 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he lost by 17.3 (28.5 pt drop)
IdahoWeekly Mar 6 poll, Mar 8 vote

MS was a 24 point win for Trump just days before the vote... and he won by "only" 17.3 (6.7 pt drop)
Feb 29 poll, Mar 8 vote

An average last-moment drop of 12.9 points in these 11 states. When it comes time to actually vote, Trump's leads crumble by double digits.

Caucus states and primaries, before and after candidates drop out, liberal and conservative states, all with one common theme... Trump isn't pulling as many actual large vote wins as poll votes and impressive rallies...

Polls may not be accurate (another common Trump supporter dismissal), but the trend is clear... Trump's leads underperform the polling, and by significant numbers.

31 posted on 03/14/2016 1:35:23 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: VanDeKoik

Rush said today that even if Trump wins all the states tomorrow Cruz can roar back to win the nomination. Rush must be senile.


49 posted on 03/14/2016 1:55:35 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: VanDeKoik

Will Cruz be standing with Black Lives Matter as he did before?


68 posted on 03/14/2016 2:13:42 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: VanDeKoik

>> Classic Cruz fan edit.
Read on.


69 posted on 03/14/2016 2:13:55 PM PDT by libertylover (The problem with Obama is not that his skin is too black, it's that his ideas are too RED.)
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To: VanDeKoik

Trump has Illinois sewn up.


73 posted on 03/14/2016 2:17:54 PM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: VanDeKoik

Can you even read?


136 posted on 03/14/2016 5:23:37 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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