Posted on 03/09/2016 7:34:43 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
That's the message David French has for the GOP establishment:
Here's what the math says: John Kasich and Marco Rubio, you have no hope of becoming the GOP nominee. Even if you win your home states, the only thing that will do is maintain the four-person dynamic under which Trump thrives. Even if you are fortunate enough to work cooperatively to deny Trump an absolute majority of delegates, do either of you -- in your right mind -- believe that a convention dominated by Trump and Cruz delegates is going to unite behind you? They'd sooner riot (and I'm only partially joking).
We've given the multi-candidate "blind ambition tour" exactly 23 states and one territory to work, and here's the score: Trump 15, Cruz 7, Rubio 2, and Kasich . . . zero. I think that's a sufficient sample size. Let's try something else...
...Let's try uniting around the person who's beaten Trump more than anyone else -- a person who happens to be a constitutional conservative, who would replace Justice Scalia with a judicial superstar, who is unquestionably pro-life, who is unyielding in his defense of religious liberty, and who actually understands the dynamics of the global economy, trade policy, and national security.
...Is it more likely that Trump loses two-man races in the winner-take-all states with Rubio and Kasich united behind Cruz? Or is it more likely that Trump keeps winning a four-man race with his solid, unyielding 35 percent?
...I have a feeling, however, that this appeal will fall on deaf ears -- and not just deaf candidate ears. The party elders and donors who traditionally intervene to talk sense into failed candidates are also sitting on the sidelines, paralyzed perhaps by their hatred of Ted Cruz...
...After 24 contests, the pattern is emerging. Cruz battles Trump for first, while Rubio and Kasich tend to battle each other for last. This is true in the South, the West, the Northeast, and the Midwest. Can conservatives finally get serious? Can we finally unify, now, before Trump starts sweeping winner-take-all states with 35 percent of the vote? If not, then a foolish GOP will richly deserve its fate. I'd like to remind readers that Scott McKay predicted this very scenario in August of 2015. His American Spectator article -- entitled "Could Ted Cruz End Up as the Establishment Candidate?" -- assessed poll data, fundraising ability, and organizational structure and arrived at that conclusion.
We could see a situation where Trump is ahead on the strength of his performance in the early states and still leads in the polls, though he might have commenced fading in the face of the various challenges befalling a presidential candidate and the terror gripping the party of having to nominate a bull-in-a-China-shop like the real estate magnate has not subsided. But while the establishment might believe Trump is beatable, they could be without candidates to beat him.
And at that juncture, the unthinkable might become inevitable; namely, that the RINO/Chamber of Commerce GOP establishment might well see Ted Cruz as their only hope to stop Donald Trump from getting the Republican nomination.
McKay predicted that the GOPe would end up begging Cruz to save them from Trump.
We'll see how much sway the doddering, incompetent, open borders losers at the RNC have over the remaining two vanity candidates. They should be begging Rubio and Kasich to drop out immediately.
But, given the RNC's wondrous track record this cycle, I wouldn't count on anything sensible happening.
No it’s not. Go look.
Unite behind the second place guy. Got it. Love how he just assumes every vote Trump didn’t get just naturally belongs to Cruz.
No.
Yes. The Gope is vanquished. Did we ever think we would see them solemnly align behind Senator Cruz to defeat Brave heart? I see this as Death Throws. I have fought here for Trump. But I am so filled with emotion at the victories of Cruz and Trump in battle. There is nothing left but carcass of the liberal capitulating RINO Gope. They are the liars. They are the deceivers. God Bless Ted Cruz. God Bless my Donald Trump. . Let the better man win and slaughter the criminal hillary.
It’s liberal logic.
BTTB
first there was the Corker bill, then TPP, but Neil Bush has just about clinched it for me
Or unite behind trump and buy a bigger tent.
Trolling, trolling, trolling....
‘cause the polls are swollen,
Keep them doggies trolling,
rawhide......
Does anyone really think Ted Cruz, if President, will abolish the IRS and the tax code, given the lobbyists and special interests who have a stake in it.
That means no more mortgage tax deductions for you suburban home owners.
OTOH, compared to today's GOP, Nelson was a MAN'S MAN and a CONSERVATIVE! LOL
Amen.
The choice is Cruz or Trumo.
There is no chance at all that Rubio or Kasich can win the nomination. Every day they stay in the race, they are aiding Trump’s candidacy. If they truly support Trump, then good for them. If they don’t, then they should be aware that they will be remembered in the history books for throwing the race to Trump because of their egos.
I’ll die before I will ever vote for another ‘establishment’ person, and that includes the ‘untrusted’ liar from Texas that wears the Canadian crown!!!
GO.TRUMP.GO!!! ALL THE WAY TO THE OVAL OFFICE!!!
In the General election, Cruz can’t win FL or PA.
Next.
According to who?
100,000 voters in Idaho is not insignificant.
But rather it really matters at this point is a good question. (even from Hillary’s fat lips.)
The GOPe is going to die one way or the other -— they can help to choose their executioner(s)...Trump and/or Cruz.
“. . . but Neil Bush has just about clinched it for me.”
That is a HUGE problem for Cruz. He needs the support of people (GOP-e) he personally loathes, as do we. Their support forces some to go to Trump who might otherwise gravitate to Ted naturally. Yet, Cruz needs Rubio and Kasich out of the running to have a chance. The last thing he needs, though, is fodder for a conspiracy theories.
Additionally, let’s say Cruz defeats Trump fairly by getting enough delegates without backroom shenanigans, will Trump OK with that, or sabotage the whole deal, assuring Hillary her rightful place? Obviously some on this Board hate Ted and will never vote for him. But, others may be less vehement and be influenced by Trumps attitude.
Just musing.
Oldplayer
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