Trump 36.3
Cruz 19.6
Rubio 14.6
Bush 10.9
Kasich 9.0
Following relatively weak performances in Iowa and New Hampshire, Bush is looking to rebound in South Carolina, but the poll suggests his momentum has been blunted, showing his support falling to 10.9 percent. [Down 2 percentage points]
Normally I do not put too much emphasis on polls, even though they are hard not to watch them. So I end up watching them, no matter what, but still in the back of my mind it is “do not put too much emphasis on polls”...
But going over all of them tonight, it seems Trump is going to win South Carolina. Which is great. Unlike other Presidential elections, I think the results of the early states are going to pretty much wrap it up. South Carolina is going to more than just important.
Tomorrow is the debate, I know those who are really into this are watching the debates and really consider them important.
Yet, I think after a couple more, pretty much most Republicans other than the adamant supporters of this or that candidate who are scoring every little thing in hopes they can run with it to try and damage another candidate, yet for most of the base I think the debates will soon reach their saturation point. Folks are going to get “debated out”, enough already, they know what is the main points of each candidate. So unless one or the other does something REALLY stupid and just SCREAMS headlines, they are going to soon be tuning out the debates and only reading any screaming headlines if and when they happen.
The saturation point when any particular debate is going to give a notable up beat for one or the other is about over - the only one I think who could try to eek out a few more bonus points is Rubio perhaps, that’s about it, but this debate tomorrow will be the “next to last” one that is going to have any real impact one way or the other.
It Trump comes out tomorrow just fine, he is going to win S.C.. After that, the debates will get less, and then a lot less, attention from the voters. Doesn’t matter the tensions involved between the top tier.
I got more than a sense, Trump wins S.C., after the that, one more big win and this is over.
Does everyone understand what this means? In the South Carolina primary the winner gets 29 delegates guaranteed. The remaining 21 delegates will be given to the person who wins each of the seven congressional districts. It stands to reason that if trump is this far ahead he stands to win all seven districts as well. This means that he could very well sweep all 50 delegates in South Carolina. Then whoever takes second third fourth etc. is meaningless.
I’m predicting trump will win all 50 delegates in South Carolina next week.