Posted on 01/19/2016 6:45:46 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Glancing at the latest Real Clear Politics polling average for Iowa, you see Donald Trump has retaken the lead in The Hawkeye State, 27.8 percent to Ted Cruz's 26.7 percent.
Those results are certain to set off another wave of brash rhetoric and bold predictions from The Donald himself, but before he or his supporters get too excited, the bigger picture needs to be taken into account.
Ted Cruz supportersFor example, pollster Nate Silver's very reputable FiveThirtyEight group now gives Cruz a fairly sizeable chance to beat Trump in a little less than two weeks.
Kristen East of Politico reports, "Ted Cruz ha[s] the greatest chance of winning the Iowa caucuses two weeks from Monday, a new polling-based forecast from FiveThirtyEight shows...
(Excerpt) Read more at conservativehq.com ...
If you are defending hyperliberal Ericson,
perhaps you should look in the mirror.
Still keeping that Trump is anti-establishment lie going? You’re going to have to start walking that back pretty soon.
... Erickson made his prediction before the Palin effect today.
I don’t think there will be a Palin effect. I can’t believe she is supporting a buffoon. I would be amazed if a single Cruz supporter changed his/her mind.
We have a candidate with superior knowledge and class.
You have a low info candidate with no class and no consistency.
Why in the world does anyone settle for an extremely cheap imitation when they could have Cruz.
Very good..keep in mind no Iowa Polls really since Trump started unfairly trashing Cruz. I have not seen a iowa poll post debate
I really think Trump lost ground, am speaking pre Palin endorsement. There should be a Iowa poll coming out showing us movement prior to Palin but post debate
As for Palin I thought she made a fool of herself today, and I did not hear the old Palin applause roar , and virtually no applause as she was speaking.
I think Cruz wins Iowa
Look for an alternative to FR.
It is pretty obvious to me no matter WHAT Trump would do as a Prez, there would be a contingent here that would defend him to the death, as they have faithfully done time and time again during this primary, very reminiscent of a Praetorian Guard. That doesn't bode well for opposition to any anti-conservative opinions he may develop or revert to. It is becoming obvious to me that he is playing people, including many here at FR, and I'd rather switch than fight and move on to the next spark of Internet opposition to ANY establishment authoritarianism that rears its ugly head. I was initially opposed to Trump, then quickly swung over to his side (and often defense), but he's just about swung me back again on his own and with zealots here defending his every action, as he (and they) demonstrate just about every day that he will say anything, do anything, to meet his goals, NO MATTER WHAT they are (or will be). Simply put, I don't trust him anymore.
“Cruz has a very good chance in Iowa, for what little it’s worth.”
Trump has now gone “all-in” in Iowa, and if he doesn’t win there his campaign is likely to collapse.
Do you? Is that something you ponder as you go about your day?
Do you? Is that something you ponder as you go about your day?
Cruz seemed to appreciate Palin’s endorsement for Senate in 2012.
In fact, he credits her with his senate win.
So Palin was for for him, but now is bad for Trump.
I guess we will see.
I look forward to your opus upon Trump’s inauguration.
Was this poll before or after Governor Branstad and Sarah Palin?
Excellent imagination.
Mike Huckabee won Iowa in 2008, and Rick Santorum won in 2012 ... just to demonstrate how inconsequential the state has become in GOP presidential campaigns.
thank you, i needed the encouragement
There was very little noise from that crowd at all today. Either the acoustics were bad, it wasn't mic'ed properly, or those in attendance were asleep.
Very flat crowd.
I look forward to your excuse making and nodding in general agreement when he goes off in an obvious anti-constitution, anti-competition, anti-conservative, socialist direction. I won't be posting here, but I certainly will check in to confirm my suspicions.
Since you’re not from Iowa and I lived there half my life, I’ll excuse your ignorance of Terry Branstad.
After much serious thought, I have come to the conclusion that ...........someone will win in Iowa, after reading carefully the posts and opinions of many on FR, I have determined that the consensus is that this means everything............or nothing. One thing Iam 100% sure of is that close to 50 % will be very happy and close to 50% will be unhappy. That is my prediction and I feel fairly, well somewhat confident in it’s accuracy, sort of.
“Excellent imagination.”
Common sense guided by experience. What I have, you lack.
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