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The Polls May Be Underestimating Trump's Support
The Atlantic ^ | December 9, 2015 | Henry Olsen

Posted on 12/09/2015 12:07:00 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Donald Trump’s persistent lead in the GOP presidential-preference polls has been a great source of confusion for the chattering classes. But Trump is actually just the latest manifestation of a more global trend: Data suggests the appeal of anti-immigrant policies to working-class voters is much deeper than most American elites want to believe. And because Trump draws the bulk of his support from less-educated, working- and middle-class voters, he may be positioned to do even better still—for now. Polling data from Europe shows that parties with similar voter profiles to Trump’s consistently do better in both online polls and at the ballot box than in live-interview polling. And currently Trump is far ahead online.

Why does this happen? It starts with working-class voters across developed countries being under severe economic pressure because of competition with foreigners at home (immigration) and abroad (EU/trade). They respond to people and parties who tell them this state of affairs isn’t inevitable, and they are often impervious to cries of racism. Their lives are just plain harder than they used to be and working-class voters don’t see elites doing much—or wanting to do much—to make them better. Donald Trump is simply the American version of Nigel Farage, Geert Wilders, and many other European leaders of working-class, anti-immigrant parties who profit from stoking the flames of resentment because there is so much kindling available to light....

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; elections; immigration; muslims; polls; trump; trumpwasright
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To: Louis Foxwell

In other words, people who got enough education to get a good middle-class job but not so much education as to render themselves mired in academic idiocy.


41 posted on 12/09/2015 2:10:02 PM PST by dirtboy
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

From the Institutional Left...


42 posted on 12/09/2015 2:41:13 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Among people I’ve spoken with, it’s close to 100%. Most prefer Cruz, but would vote for Trump in a minute if he were the nominee. In MD and PA, I know of two businesses that are using radio and billboards to advertise for Trump. I’ve never seen that before.


43 posted on 12/09/2015 3:44:40 PM PST by cyclotic (Liberalism is what smart looks like to stupid people.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“And because Trump draws the bulk of his support from less-educated, working- and middle-class voters...”

And the left draws the bulk of its support from drooling welfare scum, castrated 50 IQ leftist apes in universities and fat-ass Morlock bureaucrats.

Let’s have a fight and see who wins.


44 posted on 12/09/2015 4:11:01 PM PST by sergeantdave ( If not you, who? If not now, when?)
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To: nopardons

Unless I’ve missed a policy update, as a member in good standing with FreeRepublic for a decade, I can say whatever the hell I want in any thread I choose to participate in.

If Cruz were leading and you commented on a thread espousing a personal preference for Trump the very last thing you can expect from me is an attempt to silence you.

Nothing in my post attempted to dissuade the reader from backing Trump to endorsing Cruz. In my particular case, I don’t think Cruz will be the candidate despite my personal preference, so I will gladly back Trump when the time comes.


45 posted on 12/10/2015 10:32:41 AM PST by Heavyrunner (Socialize this.)
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To: Louis Foxwell

Has anyone mentioned Donald J. Trump is part of the working class? Sure he lives in Trump Tower, but he works very hard building and working with the people who put the buildings together.


46 posted on 12/13/2015 8:09:59 AM PST by tillacum
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