Posted on 08/26/2015 2:51:57 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
When Donald Trump's campaign collapses, as it almost certainly still will, Cruz is well positioned to fill the void.
While Donald Trump continues to inspire what he calls the silent majority (and everyone else calls the racist rump of the GOP) and the other assumed front-runners Walker, Rubio and Bush flounder and flop around, another candidate is quietly gathering support from a discrete, but powerful, GOP constituency. As Peter Montgomery of Right Wing watch pointed out earlier this week, Ted Cruz is making a huge play for the religious right. And they like what theyre seeing.
Montgomery notes that influential conservative Christian leaders have been getting progressively more anxious about the fact that theyve been asked to pony up for less-than-devout candidates like McCain and somewhat alien religious observers like Mitt Romney when they are the reliable foot-soldiers for the Republican party who deliver votes year in and year out. With this years massive field from which to choose including hardcore true-believers Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal and Rick Santorum, these religious leaders are looking closely at all the candidates, but are homing in on Cruz.
Montgomery writes:
One big sign came late last month, when news that broke that Farris and Dan Wilks had given $15 million to Keep the Promise, a pro-Cruz super PAC. Not coincidentally, David Lane told NBC News last year that, With Citizens United you can have somebody who gives $15 or $20 million into a super PAC and that changes the game. The billionaire Wilks brothers from Texas have become sugar daddies to right-wing groups generally, and to David Lanes Pastors and Pews events specifically.
A couple weeks later, Cruz stopped by the headquarters of the American Family Association. Lanes American Renewal Project operates under the AFAs umbrella, and Cruz sounded like he was reading Lanes talking points. Cruz told AFA President Tim Wildmon that mobilizing evangelical Christian voters is the key to saving America, saying, Nothing is more important in the next 18 months than that the body of Christ rise up and that Christians stand up, that pastors stand up and lead.
Cruz held a Rally for Religious Liberty in Iowa last week that had the influential Christian right radio host Steve Deace swooning with admiration as Cruz carried on about Christian persecution. He thundered, You want to know what this election is about? We are one justice away from the Supreme Court saying every image of God shall be torn down! to massive applause from the audience.
The religious right feels battered after their massive loss on marriage equality. And they expect their candidates to do something about it. It appears theyve decided the destruction of Planned Parenthood is that crusade and Cruz is only too willing to play to the crowd. According to the Washington Post:
Sen. Ted Cruz, who has assiduously courted evangelicals throughout his presidential run, will take a lead role in the launch this week of an ambitious 50-state campaign to end taxpayer support for Planned Parenthood a move that is likely to give the GOP candidate a major primary-season boost in the fierce battle for social-conservative and evangelical voters.
More than 100,000 pastors received e-mail invitations over the weekend to participate in conference calls with Cruz on Tuesday in which they will learn details of the plan to mobilize churchgoers in every congressional district beginning Aug. 30. The requests were sent on the heels of the Texas Republicans Rally for Religious Liberty, which drew 2,500 people to a Des Moines ballroom Friday.
The recent exposure of Planned Parenthoods barbaric practices . . . has brought about a pressing need to end taxpayer support of this institution, Cruz said in the e-mail call to action distributed by the American Renewal Project, an organization of conservative pastors.
Not to put too fine a point on it, Cruz says he plans to shut down the government this fall unless Congress agrees to stop all funding of Planned Parenthood. And hes making a big bet that his campaign will benefit from it:
Cruz implored more than a thousand pastors and religious leaders on Tuesday to preach from the pulpit against Planned Parenthood and rally public support for an amendment defunding the family provider in the must-pass federal budget bill in November. If Congress attaches the defunding amendment to the budget instead of holding a vote on the standalone bill, it cannot keep funding Planned Parenthood without shutting down the whole federal government.
Here is the challenge, the presidential hopeful explained on the national conference call. The leadership of both parties, both the Democrats and Republicans, want an empty show vote. They want a vote on Planned Parenthood that has no teeth or no consequence, which allows Republicans to vote for defunding, Democrats to vote for continuing funding, and nothing to change. But the leadership of both parties have publicly said they do not want the vote tied to any legislation that must pass.
It will be a decision of the presidents and the presidents alone whether he would veto funding for the federal government because of a commitment to ensuring taxpayer dollars continue to flow to what appears to be a national criminal organization, Cruz said.
As I said, the religious right is bursting to reassert its clout in the GOP and this is where theyve decided to stand their ground. Cruz is going to lead them into battle.
Thats not to say that hes running solely as a religious right candidate. Byron York reports that at a GOP candidate event last Monday in South Carolina featuring Cruz, Ben Carson and Scott Walker, Cruz received the most thunderous ovation. His speech wasnt solely focused on the Christian persecution angle but he delivered what York called an almost martial address beating his chest about Iran and railing against sanctuary cities with the same fervor he delivered his put-away line: No man who doesnt begin every day on his knees is fit to stand in the Oval Office!
York asked 53 people afterwards who did the best and 44 said Cruz, 6 said Carson and 3 said Walker. (Poor Walker is so dizzy from his immigration flip-flops that hes stopped talking about it altogether, which the crowd did not like one little bit.) Cruz, on the other hand, has a way of making everything from EPA standards to the debt ceiling sound like a religious war which pretty much reflects the GOP bases worldview as well.
Cruz is a true believer, but hes also a political strategist. He has said repeatedly that his base is Tea Party voters and religious conservatives. In key Republican primaries like Iowa and South Carolina nearly 50 percent of the voters define themselves as conservative evangelicals. Cruz is betting that he can turn them out to vote for him.
Nobody knows whats going to happen in this crazy GOP race. If Trump flames out, his voters will scatter and it will matter who has lined up the other institutional factions in the party. While everyone else spars with Trump and tries to out-immigrant bash each other, Ted Cruz is quietly working the egos and the passions of the millions of bruised conservative Christians who are desperate for a hero. When all the smoke has cleared the field he may very well be one of the last men standing.
Oddly enough, despite the efforts of the GOP leadership to rig the primary, Trump might actually win. But before the groans go up, there is one thing that Trump might do that would be of immense value to conservatism.
If Ted Cruz is amenable, Trump could appoint him to the SCOTUS, as a replacement for a liberal justice. The impact of this would be immense.
There would no longer be 5-4 decisions decided by the fickle justice Kennedy. They would either be 6-3 in favor of the conservatives, or 5-4 in favor of the conservatives. The liberals would no longer get decisions in their favor.
This would mean:
1) The end of Obamacare.
2) The bureaucracy slapped down.
3) Subordinate liberal federal judges put in their place.
In short, with Cruz as a justice, the SCOTUS would be an entire branch of government supporting conservatism.
Were Mr. Trump and Mr. Cruz to do so, this alone would make Trump’s presidency remarkable.
You need to keep up.
I'd have to look, but I don't think Cruz comes in #2 in any poll. I know he was #3 in one---out of perhaps 10. His campaign is not doing well, and I love his positions, but he personally just isn't moving the dials much.
Perhaps I'm missing the whole show. Perhaps all the candidates have thought this thing through...
There are little snippets of stories that have Cruz showing up in unlikely places adding legs to his platform. He seems to be doing the strategic things necessary to run a national campaign without worrying about today's headlines or polls.
He also makes the right...for the most part...comments for national consumption about issues near and dear to the people who will let this country survive.
He understands polemics as his history suggests and his schooling of Megyn Kelly shows. He understands the foundation of the greatness of the United States, how strong AND fragile it is. I would like to see him adopt the Trump bombast saying, "Make me President, and America's best days will start tomorrow!" I think that may be Trump's real appeal today.
If he gets the final nod, he could probably raise about two billion in about fifteen minutes to finance his campaign.
Cruz has displayed sincere courage time and again in the Senate.
I think Trump will likey crater before the Iowa cauci. If that happens, Cruz is a natural to take his place. When he forecasts an optimistic future for the people of the United States, he will be an unstoppable juggernaut.
Don't forget my disclaimer. MY history is, when I want a guy to win, it's a kiss of death.
P.S. I'll take Trump in a New York minute over ANY putative Democrat and MANY who claim to be Republican including Bush, Pataki, Graham, Kasich and a few more. Whoever winds up on top still has to win a year from November.
...and she hit every branch on the ugly tree on the way down.
The Dark Horse (Cruz) is still beating the pants off the Stalking Horse (Bush).
I have a different take on things....I don’t think Trump really wants the job. He’s enjoying spouting off, and the popularity it generates, but he’ll hand-off to Cruz before the election.
Actually Trump has been echoing Cruz, but Trump commands more attention.
My first choice is Cruz, but Trump is far better than most ofthe rest of the GOP field.
I would change “when it collapses” to “IF it collapses”. Thus far I see no sign of a collapse.
There is a lot to be said for what Rush is doing. He has a ginormous audience and his praising Trump is very valuable.
This is not August, 2016.
I will stay loyal to Cruz until November, 2016.
Note Bene: I said nothing about how I feel about Trump.
I'm not that optimistic but would enjoy it immeasurably. He has to withdraw before Iowa.
If Trump were to endorse Cruz, I would consider him a patriot.
I do think the nation is running out of time. If we don't find the reincarnation of Reagan, about now, we will have gone all in on an open, inside straight.
According to the Left's playbook, one can never be too far Left.
Cruz needs Trump right now ... throwing those high/hard blocks and taking the vicious hits while Cruz advances the ball quietly toward the goal line.
..... Man, am I looking foward to opening kick-off or what! (tho' I think the Niners will be very fortunate to win 6 this year)
I stopped reading at Salon.com.
Two questions:
How was Trump polling just 3 months ago?
And two, when is the first primary/caucus?
Jeb is still ahead of him, but headed down.
If the two non-politicians leave the race Cruz is in very good shape.
It does not help our candidate, Cruz, to cut down the Trump supporters. We should all be listening to each other as we debate, in peace. We are all conservatives.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=0
Trump trailed by 2 in IA to Walker back on July 26, and trailed Bush by the Mason-Dixon FL poll 28-11, but just the day before in the PPP FL poll he was up 19-17 over Walker with Bush at 12.
Go here for poll histories. I'm sure I missed one or two, but the overall trend has been steadily upward for Trump, not just nationally, but in every single state poll except WI (I think). There, Walker leads big.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html
I think you’ll be voting for the same ticket in Nov. 2016, Trump-Cruz (which will be a waste of Cruz’s talents, because we need him as Atty Gen to arrest this tribe of vipers).
Even though it is old hat, I am always interested that you never hear places like Salon or the NYT refer to the “fanatical left”.
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