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Nate Silver: No, the Democrats don’t have a lock on an Electoral College majority
Hot Air ^ | May 12, 2015 | Noah Rothman

Posted on 05/12/2015 7:15:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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1 posted on 05/12/2015 7:15:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Same clown who was completely wrong in the UK elections.


2 posted on 05/12/2015 7:17:28 PM PDT by max americana (fired liberals in our company last election, and I laughed while they cried (true story))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The utterly disgraced far-left pundit, Nate Silver, is trying to pose himself as fair. The reality is that he’s 100% for the ‘RAT candidate in every single election. He’s a pointy-headed, pencil-necked metrosexual...and really, not at all bright in spite of the reputation that liberals have bestowed upon him.


3 posted on 05/12/2015 7:20:30 PM PDT by re_nortex (DP - that's what I like about Texas)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The only way the Democrat party takes another Presidential election is if the Republican party runs another Democrat in an R jersey like McCain and Romney.

If they want to lose again, nominate Jeb Bush.

If they nominate Ted Cruz, everybody wins.


4 posted on 05/12/2015 7:20:48 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: max americana

I don’t get what’s so impressive about him. He predicted a handful of swing states. Big whoop.

If we nominate the same usual milquetoast middling candidate, we’ll see the same results. If we nominate someone who inspires conservative turnout, we see different/better results. We’ve tried it the establishment’s way the last few times. Got lucky with Bush in 2004. But something has to change.


5 posted on 05/12/2015 7:25:16 PM PDT by MarkRegal05
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Well I am still dejected, as I there would have to be a nationwide awakening to actually thinking on their vote for a Republican to win office.


6 posted on 05/12/2015 7:26:40 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: max americana
We'd be wise to remember that 30 years ago there were much less Hispanics voting.
We need to get out the Evangelical vote in a huge way, reach at least SOME of the Young and Hispanic and Jewish and Asian voters that voted for obummer.
Regardless of their stance on gay marriage, I cant imagine the under 30 crowed will universally give their vote to dems just based on that. Teach them about how easy it was to get a great job under Reagan. Jews cant be thrilled with Obummer's mistreatment of Israel. Asians have to be shown they have NOTHING in common with other minorities, etc.
7 posted on 05/12/2015 7:29:05 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: MarkRegal05

To be honest, Silver has been pretty much on, but has been off the last 2 years. I do think that he takes pride in his statistical work and does not take these last screwups lightly. I remember 2012. He did not predict the GOP overperforming in the 2014 midterms, but he did predict a losing night for the dems (of which the left ignored and screamed at him about).


8 posted on 05/12/2015 7:30:15 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: KC_Conspirator

Iirc...
He predicted 51 seats most likely with 52 plausible and 54 possible but unlikely.


9 posted on 05/12/2015 7:45:43 PM PDT by Bogey78O (We had a good run. Coulda been great still.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; stephenjohnbanker

Here’s the prediction:

Hillary and Faucahontes REALLY bloody each other and split the Dems between the new left and the old but form a ticket with Thighness as Pres and Faux as VP

The GOP repeats its last two elections by the book hoping third time is a charm with their establishment candidates flooding the primaries.

Of them, Walker emerges but will not overcome Cruz and a THOROUGHOLY fed up base. The battle for the top spot will be epic and Cruz will win because he has the guts to fight. Thus a Cruz/Walker ticket.

The sheer volume of cash spent will dwarf anything predicted today as the left pulls out all stops to deep six the evil racist homophobes. There will be 24/7 WARS by the MSM to crucify the Repub ticket on subjects that have yet to be invented.

The result will be a solid but non landslide win for Cruz/Walker, a now COMPLETELY divided America that ends up in violence beginning as the returns come back in and then the “fun” really begins.

Thats my prediction.


10 posted on 05/12/2015 7:49:38 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart
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To: Norm Lenhart

Basically it comes down to Florida and Ohio and right now I give the edge to GOP.


11 posted on 05/12/2015 7:51:25 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MarkRegal05
Got lucky with Bush in 2004.

If it had not been for the Swiftboat veterans exposing Kerry for the liar he is, Bush would've lost the 2004 election.
12 posted on 05/12/2015 7:52:40 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: dp0622

The number of hispanic citizens eligible to vote legally is still only 10% of the electorate. There are 20 million people out there who have given up on voting because there has been no one to vote FOR. Most campaigns have been about voting AGAINST.

Reagan Democrats are still out there, disgusted by the communists running their party, but not wanting to vote for plaid pants country club candidates that the GOP has offered.

Give them a Constitutional conservative and watch what happens.

Ted Cruz is aiming to bring in those millions that have given up voting.


13 posted on 05/12/2015 7:52:57 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I question the accuracy of a lot of the predictions for GOP/Dem Electorial College numbers. The reason being the Obamacare crap, illegal crap and the Trade/Iran crap. Both ways.

Ultimately I think we end up a lot more purple in the end. And in that purple, the states will see more blue to the cities and red to the rural areas. Yes, even more than the near completeness now. The city populations will be the driver of the purple.


14 posted on 05/12/2015 7:56:02 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart
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To: Bogey78O

I think thats right. Even with those predictions the left was yelling at him.


15 posted on 05/12/2015 7:56:30 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Dan in Wichita

If I had known in 2004 that he had cut border and interior enforcement and that he was going to back McCain/Kennedy, I wouldn’t have voted for him again.


16 posted on 05/12/2015 7:56:40 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Cruz/Rubio (Not Martinez) is the strongest ticket available. It would be the equivalent of what was Clinton/Gore for the Dems but without all the scandals and evironmental whackism. It would be 2 young men with similar ideas doubling down.

All of a sudden the Democrats are in trouble in CO, NV, and NM. And Oregon won’t be a picnic for Hillary either.

If the GOP can’t win FL with this ticket then this whole exercise is pointless anyway, but Cruz/Rubio would be a lock. NC and MO wouldn’t be close.

VA would return as a Red State. NH would be a real battleground along with IA, OH, MI and WI.

PA would still tilt the slightest of blue and it would take a good deal of voter fraud to keep it that way because that state would be in play too. Those guys would dominate the suburbs even more than Bush did in 2000/04 when it was close.

Cruz/Rubio is an Electoral College landslide for conservatives waiting to happen.

Yeah Yeah, Walker/Rubio would be ok too, but not exciting as Cruz/Rubio and all of the states would be much closer.


17 posted on 05/12/2015 7:57:25 PM PDT by parksstp (Cruz it or lose it. Ahead with Ted. 2016)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

That made my night. :)

That dems start with an almost 15 percent lead because of blacks hurts, but you are right. A Massive turnout among conservative white voters would be unstoppable.

In a recent poll, republicans, independents and even DEMOCRATS said they want the republican candidate to be more conservative


18 posted on 05/12/2015 7:57:32 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

NOT EVEN CLOSE

The Republicans, if they perform as they did in 2014 - which means NOT RUNNING AWAY FROM CONSERVATIVES (or to put it another way...see my tag line) - have a LOCK on the South - will not even be close.

They also can EASILY lock-up the purple states (i.e., Florida, Ohio, Virgina, Colorado)...if they give whites something to vote for. Those are basically red state, and they will swing back.

Then comes the blue-leaning states (Michigan, Wisconsin, PA, and even possibly NJ and MN). Win one or two of them and it is OVER...and that is also VERY EASY as most whites in those states are FED UP with this bunch in DC and WILL NOT listen to their puppet-union-bosses in 2016 - and WILL VOTE REPUBLICAN if the Republican seems to stand for something.

...Cruz.


19 posted on 05/12/2015 7:59:05 PM PDT by BobL (REPUBLICANS - Fight for the WHITE VOTE...and you will win (see my home page))
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To: Lurkinanloomin

“The number of hispanic citizens eligible to vote legally is still only 10% of the electorate.”

What is the percentage of the electorate that are Hispanics here illegally and voting anyway??


20 posted on 05/12/2015 8:02:20 PM PDT by Sasparilla (If you want peace, prepare for war.)
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