Mitt Romney Is In Excellent Position To Steal New Hampshire From A Collapsing Obama

Business Insider ^ | August 14, 2012 | Brett LoGiurato

[2ndDivisionVet]

Mitt Romney continued his surge on President Barack Obama in New Hampshire over the past month and now trails the president by just 3 points in a new WMUR Granite State poll released Monday.

The poll finds that Obama leads Romney, 49 percent to 46 percent. That's a point closer than last month and 6 points closer since April, when Romney basically locked up the nomination.

And it's clear Romney has some advantages deeper into the poll. Three key stats should worry Obama heading into the final three months of the campaign.

First, Obama's favorability ratings have plunged in the state over the past six months. In February, his positive-negative favorability rating stood at 53-40. That's now down to an even 47-47, a 13-point swing in six months. What helps him keep his lead is a 41-49 favorable-to-unfavorable rating for Romney.

Here's a look at Obama's favorability ratings:

(GRAPH AT LINK)

The second point is the "enthusiasm gap" that has become a theme in the presidential race. Romney leads by 3 points among voters "extremely interested" in the race, while Obama has a huge lead among the voters who are just "somewhat/not very interested."

[2ndDivisionVet]

I was told by Chrissy Matthews and the rest of that bunch that Mr. Obama had this in the bag.

[datura]

By November this will seem comical.

[2ndDivisionVet]

How so?

[Shadow44]

There’s still plenty of interest in the circular firing squad that wants to continue eating their own instead of defeating Obama.

[DJtex]

I am struck by Obama’s 36% approval rating among white voters. I think this will hurt him in New Hampshire and Iowa particularly.

Obama makes this worse with White Independents with his class warfare and politics of envy and entitlement. The ads and the speeches will turn off older, white voters who make up the largest contingent of the American electorate.

Many, many of my manual runs of the Electoral College map show the critical role NH could play in this election. Obama recognizes the leaky ship he is sailing, spending three days in Iowa this week. I frequently get down to a CO+NH or WI+NH making up for the possible loss of VA.

I hope it's a blowout but Romney must play it out as if it will turn on a single electoral vote. Incidently, for us a 269-269 tie is as good as 270+ for Romney since we win the tie-breaker in the U.S. House.

[drypowder]

I hope I'm wrong about this but my take, the obozo is a lot like Sadam Hussein. One of the last things Sadam did was to order the destruction of Iraq's oil fields. Now consider the recent mega purchasing of ammo by various US government agencies and the current training of the US military to police the streets of America. The obozo has no plans to go quietly, if he goes at all.

[Milt3726]

I live in NH and drive 70 miles to work every day. I don’t see very many Obama bumper stickers on cars and on lawns. But I do see lots of Romney bumper stickers. I’m sure NH will go for Romney!

[Durus]

I think so too. It’s also looking likely that we will have we will have a Republican Governor...and it’s about time.

[Road Glide]

[[ Many, many of my manual runs of the Electoral College map show the critical role NH could play in this election. Obama recognizes the leaky ship he is sailing, spending three days in Iowa this week. I frequently get down to a CO+NH or WI+NH making up for the possible loss of VA. ]]

I predicted this (and was the first to do so, even among media columnists and talkers), back in April:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2872829/posts?page=50#50