Posted on 03/24/2012 12:48:12 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Republicans hold their presidential primary in Louisiana today. Rick Santorum leads all the polls by double digits. If as expected, he wins, Santorum will need to win 39 of the 46 delegate races — 85% — just to offset Mitt Romney’s 42-10 shellacking of Rick in the delegate count in Tuesday’s primary in Illinois.
If through some miracle Rick Santorum took all 46 delegates in this proportional primary — an improbability — he would still not break even in the delegate race because Romney picked up 20 delegates in Sunday’s winner-take-all primary in Puerto Rico.
And even if he breaks even from now through the convention, Rick Santorum loses in Tampa 1,200-900 as Mitt crosses the 1,144 delegate threshold to cinch the nomination sometime in May.
In a certain sense, this is true. The Moral Majority is history, and so is Rick.
I think he was saying that if Newt wants a brokered convention, then Romney would have to be stopped before he gets to 1144.
As it stands, a brokered convention is unlikely. It is also extremely unlikely that Rick or Newt will win.
You will have to settle for a Mormon statist or a muslim communist.
yee hah
You mean he will like that more than Newt’s vote to set up the Department of Education?
Or the fact Newt is a Rockefeller Republican and ran his campaign in the south??
“(Newt)...keeping Rick’s vote totals under 50%, allowing Romney to pick up more delegates than he would otherwise in a two man race. This has been mathematically proven ad nauseum, but you Newt supporters refuse to look at the math.”
Maybe the Newt supporters think Santorum will fold up like a cheap suit to be Romney’s VP if Newt drops out.
That simply isn't a rational argument. Santorum has an 88% rating from the American Conservative Union while Romney's record is to the left of Bill Clinton.
It is this sort of thinking that has allowed the left-wing of the Republican party to choose the nominee.
Rick would get destroyed in an epic landslide defeat that would take our House majority down with it.
That notion isn't supported by the polls. Santorum has consistently only behind Obama by a few more percentage points than Romney and polls have showed him ahead of Obama in swing states.
Santorum is just not a serious general election option and pretty much the only folks that don't understand this are the same block of voters that cast ballots for silly presidential candidates like Mike Huckabee and Pat Robertson.
Huckabee would have beaten Romney easily and would be doing far better against Obama than Romney is doing.
You're RINO side is showing. You either have a problem with Santorum's Christianity or with a candidate taking a strong stance on social issues.
You're living a fantasy world if you think that is going to happen. Romney detests conservatives and is backed by an establishment that wants to move the party to the left. He has repeatedly shown he has one guiding principle -- doing what is best for himself. That means doing what the polls tell him and bowing to media pressure in order to get more favorable media coverage.
He will leave the Republican party and conservative movement in worse shape than it was under Bush, all while pusing through leftist legislation, like replacing Obamacare with Romneycare and giving as a VAT tax in deal with Democrats to reduce the debt.
To call you naive is understatement.
Santorum took 13; Romney took 7 [Full numbers at top of this LINKED source page]
The remainder will be decided in a caucus:
....."Saturday 24 March 2012: 20 of Louisiana's 46 delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's Louisiana Presidential Primary. [Caucus and Convention Rules, Adopted May 21, 2011, Rule No. 19. (d) and 20. (b)]
* 20 National Convention Delegates are allocated proportionally to those Presidential candidates receiving 25% or more of the statewide primary vote. Fractional delegates are rounded to the nearest whole number (rounding rules to handle too many or too few delegates are unknown).
* If no candidate receives 25% of the vote, the 20 delegates will attend the Republican National Convention officially unpledged to any candidate. These delegates will be elected at the State Convention where the participants at the State Convention will alone determine if presidential preference is to be a factor in such choice and, if so, how it is to be applied.
____________________________
Saturday 28 April 2012: District Caucuses convene to choose delegates to the State Convention. The participants will alone determine if presidential preference is to be a factor in such choice and, if so, how it is to be applied.
Saturday 2 June 2012: The State Convention convenes at 10 am in Shreveport to elect delegates to the Republican National Convention.
* 18 National Convention district delegates-- 3 from each of the state's 6 Congressional Districts are elected in the Congressional District meetings. The participants at the State Convention alone determine if presidential preference is to be a factor in such choice and, if so, how it is to be applied. These delegates are official designated as uncommitted. [Rule No. 19. (c) and 20. (a)]
* 20 National Convention At-Large delegates are elected according to the results of the primary. [Rule No. 19. (d) and 20. (b)]
* 5 National Convention delegates are nominated by the Executive Committee. These delegates are official designated as uncommitted. [Rule No. 19. (e) and 20. (b)]
The 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Louisiana's Republican Party, will attend the convention as unpledged delegates by virtue of their position."
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.