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Why Trump is leading and what it really means
The Daily Caller ^ | April 16, 2011 | John Ziegler, director of Media Malpractice

Posted on 04/16/2011 12:17:45 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

After the 2008 election, I spent an enormous amount of time and money documenting the media-induced ignorance of Obama voters for my documentary film, “Media Malpractice: How Obama Got Elected and Palin Was Targeted.” The video I shot of Obama voters on Election Day has been seen by over 2.5 million people (not including millions more via television coverage) on YouTube.

The two scientific polls I commissioned to back up the video proved beyond any shadow of a doubt that Obama voters were frighteningly misinformed about basic facts like which party controlled Congress. While McCain voters weren’t exactly “A” social studies students, at least they fared significantly better.

I have always believed that, in general, Republicans are far more informed than Democrats. I thought this was true mostly because very few people are born “conservative” and therefore some sort of education process has to take place for one to emerge from the natural human state of being a liberal.

However, the emergence of Donald Trump as the sudden “frontrunner” for the Republican presidential nomination has made me question just about everything I thought I knew about GOPers.

How in the world a soulless self-promoter who has declared bankruptcy several times, defaulted on huge loans, claimed that George W. Bush was “evil” and the worst president of all time, had a pro-life conversion that makes Mitt Romney’s seem credible, praised Obama in 2008, recently donated to liberal Democrats, once supported universal healthcare, possesses no apparent knowledge of basic civics, already threatened to run as an independent and ensure Obama’s reelection, and probably doesn’t even have the money to self-finance a legitimate campaign, got to this position literally overnight is one of the most depressing developments in the history of the party.

While I am not yet panicked that somehow Trump will be the eventual nominee (though after watching Obama win in 2008, my view of what is politically possible has expanded enough to at least include that among the theoretically possible outcomes), there is no doubt that even if Trump never actually gets in the race, he has already had a profound and permanent impact on it.

Before I get into what Trump’s rocketing to the top of the polls really means, I wish to examine how this has happened.

Obviously, the primary reason that this has occurred is that we have become such a bizarrely celebrity-obsessed culture (and therefore our ratings-driven media is totally celebrity-driven) that if one is well known enough, then literally nothing is off the table. It is almost as if we have created an unofficial class of royalty whose members are automatically taken seriously in almost any endeavor simply because they are one of the “chosen people.”

What makes this development particularly offensive is that there isn’t any distinction between fame and infamy anymore. Being well known is just about all that matters, regardless of how or why it happened.

So when Trump approached CPAC with the proposal to speak (for what would become an episode of his Golf Channel reality show), he already had at least half of the credentials needed to qualify for a spot on the podium: He was famous enough to “trump” his extremely questionable “conservatism.” While obviously I can’t prove it, based on what I know about how things are done at CPAC (as a former co-sponsor), I would be surprised if some sort of “donation” from Trump didn’t smooth over any lingering doubts that they may have had about handing over the conference to such an obvious fraud.

How Trump caught fire

Instead of being ignored or banished to media Siberia as anyone else who has tried to promote “birtherism” has been, Trump, thanks to his celebrity and the perceived power of his alleged fortune, was able to actually make the issue seem legitimate. This gave him a political base with which to make noise in the polls.

Once the polls started to move in his direction (even though his “supporters” were probably too busy constructing tinfoil hats to know much about the real Trump), this created the perception of a “movement” and “momentum.” This of course was all the media (thanks again to the fact that Trump is famous and therefore ratings friendly) needed to rationalize covering him as if he was legitimate, which of course further increased his standing.

The most stunning example of this phenomenon was when Sean Hannity gave most of two episodes of his Fox News show this week to his “Trump Interview.” The conservative talk show host sat on his hands and watched (no doubt distracted by thoughts of how good his ratings would be those nights without having to do much work at all) as Trump made numerous statements that would have caused someone who truly cares about who will be the Republican presidential nominee to immediately take Trump down. Instead, I have no doubt that Trump, now armed with a seal of at least “no disapproval” from a rock star like Hannity, will continue to rise in the same opinion polls he is already routinely leading.

Trump is now in a position where he could be extremely dangerous. Conservatives are aching for someone with the gonads to take it to Obama and really shake things up in Washington if he happens to win. Many are so fed up that they are willing to jump on almost any bandwagon that even appears to be headed in that direction, even if the driver, like Trump, is totally unreliable. Others have given up to the point where they may be backing Trump simply for the entertainment value (heck, if the ship is sinking you might as well make sure there is some fun music playing on the deck as it goes down).

Trump will now start to attract the non-crazy crowd and will be so formidable in the polls that he is here to stay until/unless he says he isn’t running, or he inevitably/hopefully gets killed off in Iowa (can a guy who doesn’t like to shake hands really compete in Iowa?!). Because he has no substance and his supporters don’t seem to care, Trump will not be vulnerable to the standard political attacks. Only losing big or not running at all can stop him now.

Why Trump has already hurt the nomination prospects of Palin, Romney and Pawlenty

Will he run? Who knows? But he is certainly putting on an extremely convincing act that he is (why else the pro-life conversion and the sudden embrace of Christianity?), and thanks to these poll numbers, he almost seems forced into making a go of it. Regardless, his presence has already had a potentially decisive influence on the race’s outcome.

There is no doubt that, in different ways, Trump has had a deep and negative impact on the nomination prospects of Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty.

No one knows if Palin is even running (for the record, I am still pretty sure she has not yet ruled it out), but Trump has attracted many of the “give me someone with balls and the celebrity to use them” crowd that might naturally be Palin supporters. Whether they would return to her if she were to announce is unknown, but the fact that they have at least temporarily abandoned her in polls saps her cause of energy and leverage.

Obviously Trump also steals the mantle of “successful business guy” that would otherwise go to Romney. Since Mitt’s entire strategy is based on getting to 35 percent and outlasting everyone else with his cash, Trump’s emergence is a deathblow to him.

There is also little doubt that Trump has sucked a lot of the oxygen out of the air which would ordinarily go to Pawlenty. Pawlenty is closest to actually announcing and is most in need of an increase in recognition, which could easily spark a victorious run based on the notion that he possesses a unique biography that can work in both a primary and a general election.

There is an adage that a society tends to get the government it deserves. If the same is true of political parties and their presidential nominees, based on how easily at least a quarter of Republicans have already been duped into supporting Donald Trump, four more years of Obama might actually be better than we deserve.

*******

John Ziegler is currently a documentary filmmaker who most recently released a movie on the 2008 election called, “Media Malpractice… How Obama Got Elected and Palin Was Targeted.” He has also been in radio talk show host in Los Angeles, Philadelphia, Louisville and Nashville. Ziegler has written two books and has appeared live on numerous national television shows including the Today Show, The View, Fox News Channel, CNN and MSNBC.


TOPICS: Issues; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012; certifigate; eligibility; naturalborncitizen; obama; palin; pawlenty; romney; sarahpalin; trump
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Comments?
1 posted on 04/16/2011 12:17:48 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I think Ziegler nails it. Politics today is FAR more about celebrity, personality & charisma than it is about anything else, to especially include ideology. I bet most people in the US couldn't accurately describe the differences between conservatives, democrats, libertarians and communists.

Trump is popular because he's exceedingly well-known, charismatic, filthy sticking rich and not afraid of a fight - probably in that order.

2 posted on 04/16/2011 12:21:41 PM PDT by OldDeckHand
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
It means tired of the old GOP and the entire Democratic machine and looking for someone that has fire in the belly. Trump has that and speaks out, although not exactly right in everything, but this is a real man with gonads.
3 posted on 04/16/2011 12:21:45 PM PDT by Logical me
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This guy might be helping

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trumps-political-pit-bull-meet-michael-cohen/story?id=13386747

4 posted on 04/16/2011 12:23:09 PM PDT by evad (SHUT IT DOWN!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump sucks. Anybody backing him on FR knows nothing about conservatism.


5 posted on 04/16/2011 12:23:09 PM PDT by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Trump?
Romney?

Trump in a heartbeat.

6 posted on 04/16/2011 12:23:24 PM PDT by lewislynn ( What does the global warming movement and the Fairtax movement have in commom? Misinformation)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Because he is entertaining.


7 posted on 04/16/2011 12:23:50 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
It's not about what kind of president Trump would make. It's about his willingness to speak truth to power. People are more fed up than we thought. Trump's not afraid of the government-media-academic establishment like so many GOP "leaders" seem to be. People admire courage. This is instructive for others. Will they learn from it?

8 posted on 04/16/2011 12:24:14 PM PDT by Genoa (Just show it)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I don't know. The whole thing's starting to look like the theater of the absurd. Actually kind of funny.

I hope Obama gets bounced and I like Trumps attacks on him and the MSM but I hope Palin pulls it out somehow.

9 posted on 04/16/2011 12:24:22 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Very astute analysis.

I don't see him impacting Pawlenty that much, although I suppose anyone who sucks up publicity probably takes it from a legitimate presidential candidate.

Otherwise, I completely agree.

10 posted on 04/16/2011 12:25:42 PM PDT by OddLane
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To: DeusExMachina05

Exactly.


11 posted on 04/16/2011 12:26:56 PM PDT by OddLane
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
It won't mean much when enough people go to Mark Levin's Show from Friday 4/15 and move the scroll bar forward to 15:30!
12 posted on 04/16/2011 12:28:20 PM PDT by Baynative (Truth is treason in an empire of lies)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Me thinks that the reason that the pundits of all stripes are atwitter was kinda answered in 1972, Pauline Kael's infamous quote "I don't know anyone who voted for Nixon."

Surprise, elitists.

All we are saying ♩♪♫
is give release a chance ♩♪♫

13 posted on 04/16/2011 12:29:10 PM PDT by WilliamofCarmichael (If modern America's Man on Horseback is out there, Get on the damn horse already!)
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To: DeusExMachina05

“Trump sucks. Anybody backing him on FR knows nothing about conservatism.”

I know that anyone who curls up in a ball will and considers themselves above a nasty reply to the Brown Clowns lies will never win! Right now I see only one person!


14 posted on 04/16/2011 12:29:42 PM PDT by Cheetahcat ( November 4 2008 ,A date which will live in Infamy.)
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To: DeusExMachina05

I do not back him for ANY presidential run, but I support our Constitution and I support all of his attacks on the muslim boy hussein regarding his continued eligibility issues.


15 posted on 04/16/2011 12:29:47 PM PDT by bobby.223
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

No, it’s not about celebrity status. It’s about standing up to Obama and media without flinching. I cannot even estimate the number of Democrats who voted for Obama that are now telling me that they love Trump because he is standing up to Obama, Democrats who feel that they were betrayed by Obama, that fell for his hope and change garbage.

I know die-hard Democrats who now believe that they voted for a Muslim, who wants to destroy this country. They wouldn’t believe it before the election, but they believe it now.


16 posted on 04/16/2011 12:30:27 PM PDT by Eva
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The author’s credibility is undermined, despite his obvious credentials, by his dismissal of anyone who raises the issue of Soetoro/Obama’s NBC status as a “tinfoil hat” wearing “birther.” He gives no explanation for this dismissive attitude toward a genuine issue being raised.


17 posted on 04/16/2011 12:31:10 PM PDT by AmericanVictory (Should we be more like them or they more like we used to be?)
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To: DeusExMachina05

Well Trump is onstage with All West in Boca. My great Uncle is there and tweeted.

Blame idiots who watch TV for Obama’s powerr and the power of celebrity. Idiots potsing here about Great and Fox Al Waleed being their friends. ALL TV support Obama including Fox. Trump has the guts to take on Obama.


18 posted on 04/16/2011 12:31:35 PM PDT by Frantzie (HD TV - Total Brain-washing now in High Def. 3-D Coming soon)
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To: EGPWS


19 posted on 04/16/2011 12:31:41 PM PDT by JoeProBono (A closed mouth gathers no feet - Visualize)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump is catching fire with some because he isn’t cowed by the Dems or anyone else.

And he is catching fire with others because he isn’t Palin, and anyone who isn’t Palin is exciting to them.

Trump is not particularly conservative, not particularly principled, not particularly consistent in his beliefs. But he has stood up and asked questions that the main-stream media have preferred to ignore and thats good. If he mounts a third party run, he is playing into Obama’s hands though, or Hillary’s hands, and that means four more years of you-know-what. Trump may be another case of the enemy trying to pick our candidate, like McCain, or he may be another Perot.


20 posted on 04/16/2011 12:32:39 PM PDT by marron
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