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Hot Air April Primary Results: And the Winner Is…
Hot Air ^ | April 4, 2011 | Patrick Ishmael

Posted on 04/04/2011 8:42:02 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

After casting almost 7,000 total ballots — a new high — Hot Air readers have again made Sarah Palin their top choice for the Republican nomination for President. Palin took 33% of the vote, followed by Herman Cain at 11%, Mitt Romney also at 11%, Tim Pawlenty at 9%, and Rand Paul with 7%, only a few dozen votes ahead of Michele Bachmann.

Remarkably, despite the big volume differences in our monthly polls, the percentage breakdown from month to month hasn’t moved around wildly, with 1.) distinct trends developing for some candidates and 2.) generally reasonable voter realignments as candidates enter and exit the field.

Notable:

1.This is the first time Chris Christie has not been featured in the Presidential question.

2.Christie’s votes appear to have been spread fairly widely. Of the 574 voters that explicitly said they’d formerly backed Christie, the redistribution went as follows:

3.This is the first time Mitt Romney has not received 6% of the vote or finished in 5th place. This month, he nearly doubled his vote and climbed two positions into third. Significant jump.

4.Rand Paul votes are as real as any other candidate’s in the survey. He appears to be competitive.

5.Donald Trump made a bit of a jump from March. In March, he took 1% of the vote; in April, he’s taken 4% of the vote, which is roughly equal to the combined April vote totals of Mike Huckabee, Jon Huntsman, and Newt Gingrich.

The Vice Presidential race has tightened considerably. Allen West continues to lead the pack at 19%, but with a reduced lead over Marco Rubio, Bachmann, Paul Ryan, and Cain.

The monthly chart makes this tightening a bit clearer.

With a larger number of participants, it’s not surprising we also got a larger number of readers interested in commenting on the site. Last time, nearly 700 people indicated they wanted to join the site. This time, nearly 1800 readers indicated they wanted to comment at Hot Air; like last time, if I find out when this is going to happen and you gave me your email, I’ll definitely try to give you an early heads up. (If you’d like to pass along your email, I’ve left the form open. Fill it out with your email address included, and if you’ve already voted once before, please indicate that as well so I know it’s not intended to be a double-vote.) How’s the President doing with regard to Libya? Not good. (But it does make for an elegant graph, I must say.)

What do readers think we ought to be doing in Libya? There was one very popular answer.

And the survey’s demographics:

As you can imagine, you can crunch these numbers a bunch of different ways: how conservatives who vote Palin think about Libya, how libertarians who vote Romney feel about Obama, etc. If you’re interested in a specific situation, holler at me over on Twitter and I’ll try to help you out. Most interesting tidbit this month for me? If Palin decides to forgo running for President, her voters (the ones that responded to the “second choice” question, anyway) say they will vote for the following:

Food for thought. Again, if you have questions or comments, I’m on Twitter.


TOPICS: Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012; bachmann; cain; daniels; mitt; newt; palin; polls; romney; sarahpalin; trump
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Surprised? So the MSM is full of $#*+, but we knew that, didn't we?
1 posted on 04/04/2011 8:42:05 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

While I do like Palin, there’s a part of me that would love to see a Paul/Paul ticket in either order. Just the idea of a father/son combo running would be pretty cool.


2 posted on 04/04/2011 8:45:10 PM PDT by jeltz25
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
ineluctable

3 posted on 04/04/2011 8:47:02 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("...crush the bourgeoisie... between the millstones of taxation and inflation." --Vladimir Lenin)
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To: jeltz25
That has got to be one of THE dumbest posts I have EVER seen posted to FR, in almost 14 years.

There's a NEPOTISM CLAUSE, which was instituted after the Kennedy brothers fiasco. I'm not certain that it covers the president and Veep, but if it doesn't, it should ! And Ron Paul is an idiot and a hypocrite!

4 posted on 04/04/2011 8:48:52 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

the only bad news is that my greatest tv moment ever of Katie Couric anchoring CBS’ 2012 election coverage and just watching her as they put that graphic up that says “Sarah Palin 45th President of the United States of America” doesn’t look like it will happen as she’ll be gone in June of this year. Oh well.


5 posted on 04/04/2011 8:50:49 PM PDT by jeltz25
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To: jeltz25

She and Keith Olbermann will cover it over at Al Gore’s news channel, I suppose.


6 posted on 04/04/2011 8:52:41 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet ("You cannot invade the US There would be a rifle behind each blade of grass." Yamamoto)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Those laying at the bottom of those colorful charts look like “Pick up sticks”....HA!


7 posted on 04/04/2011 8:54:14 PM PDT by caww
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To: nopardons

simmer down, it was meant with tongue firmly planted in cheek. I said a part of me, a very small part. Who knows maybe we could have Jeb with Bush41 as his VP, I think he’s still eligible.


8 posted on 04/04/2011 8:54:17 PM PDT by jeltz25
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To: jeltz25
Ye gods and little fishes.........can't you be serious?

That's even an even dumber combo than your first "dream team"!

Do you enjoying making a complete and utter fool of yourself, for all to see ?

9 posted on 04/04/2011 8:59:02 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: jeltz25
...as she’ll be gone in June of this year.

There's a silver lining if ever I saw one!
10 posted on 04/04/2011 9:00:45 PM PDT by Trod Upon (Obama: Making the Carter malaise look good. Misery Index in 3...2...1)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; 1_Rain_Drop; 4woodenboats; 6323cd; Abbeville Conservative; abigail2; ...

$BILLION DOLLAR WINNER

11 posted on 04/04/2011 9:01:44 PM PDT by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want to be on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: jeltz25
Just the idea of a father/son combo running would be pretty cool.

I can't believe that - you're just looking for another 'first' and not the best person to lead our country. That's not the way conservatives do things.
12 posted on 04/04/2011 9:06:53 PM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: onyx
$BILLION DOLLAR WINNER


You betcha!
13 posted on 04/04/2011 9:09:41 PM PDT by presently no screen name
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To: jeltz25

I like junior (Rand) but the old man is nuttier than a fruit cake.


14 posted on 04/04/2011 9:19:04 PM PDT by bwc2221
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

But but but...

Palin is damaged goods - she’s ineluctable!


15 posted on 04/04/2011 10:23:24 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Going 'EGYPT' - 2012!)
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To: nopardons

I’d like to see Bill and Chelsea have a crack at the highest office in the land. Or Juan and Megan. Heh heh.


16 posted on 04/04/2011 10:28:35 PM PDT by toddausauras
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To: toddausauras
Oh good Lord.......................................

Why not Jimmy and Amy Carter, then?

Of course, both Bill and Jimmy are INELIGIBLE, but what the heck ?

Perhaps you'd prefer Todd and Trig Palin, since the Constitutional requirements don't appear to mean much, to you.

17 posted on 04/04/2011 10:34:07 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: jeltz25

“there’s a part of me that would love to see a Paul/Paul ticket”

Sure, why not double down on crazy...


18 posted on 04/04/2011 11:15:31 PM PDT by Boogieman
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To: nopardons

Actually, jimmuh Carter is not ineligible, except for any mentally fit clause.


19 posted on 04/04/2011 11:19:10 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: Yaelle

True............sadly. But those who are posting ridiculous replies,to a perfectly good thread, don’t deserve a factual, well thought out reply.


20 posted on 04/04/2011 11:24:23 PM PDT by nopardons
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