From: The ABC News Exit Poll
The 1996 figure was 17%.
But I won't be getting back to you until tomorrow, I have things I must do tonight.
I would answer "no" to that question. I am Conservative but not Christian. Furthermore, many Christians who are Conservative might not consider themselves part of that 'movement' but instead consider themselves strictly Conservatives, or independent of the movement (which is widely viewed as the Falwell Religious Right movement).
Do you have figures that prove the point that CONSERVATIVES -- not RELIGIOUS CONSERVATIVES -- are staying home?
The 1996 figure was 17%.
Thanks for the research, Poohbah.
After looking at the poll, I would estimate the MOI to be around 7%. Repeatedly there is a non-sensical 5% on polarizing questions such as (not really an example, but for demonstration of some of the responses) "Who would make the better President?" who answered one candidate and voted for the other.
And that consistent 5% of illogical answers doesn't even account for the statistical error in extrapolating results from a sample across the entire voting population.
If Al Gore wins today, what best describes your feelings about what he will do as president? | |||||
Excited | 17 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
Optimistic, but not excited | 31 | 82 | 14 | 0 | 3 |
Concerned, but not scared | 27 | 22 | 74 | 0 | 3 |
Scared | 23 | 4 | 94 | 1 | 1 |
If George W. Bush wins today, what best describes your feelings about what he will do as president? | |||||
Excited | 21 | 4 | 95 | 0 | 1 |
Optimistic, but not excited | 29 | 11 | 87 | 0 | 1 |
Concerned, but not scared | 21 | 82 | 13 | 0 | 4 |
Scared | 26 | 94 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Regardless of how you voted today, which of these candidates do you think would do a good job handling an international crisis? | |||||
Only Gore | 35 | 92 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Only Bush | 27 | 5 | 93 | 0 | 1 |
Both would | 29 | 40 | 57 | 0 | 2 |
Neither would | 7 | 35 | 48 | 2 | 12 |
Regardless of how you voted today, which of these candidates reflects your own personal view of the role of government in society? | |||||
Only Gore | 29 | 95 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Only Bush | 33 | 4 | 95 | 0 | 1 |
Both do | 17 | 50 | 48 | 0 | 2 |
Neither does | 18 | ||||
. . . This poll has a built in 4-5% error based on either votes from insane or irrational people, people selecting answers at random, or voters being intentionally dishonest. |
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A 4% difference between '96 and 2000 is not statistically significant. |