Posted on 06/12/2002 9:26:39 AM PDT by ElkGroveDan
Edited on 04/13/2004 2:40:22 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]
FIRST STRIKE: After five days of "positive" ads, Gov. Gray Davis unleashed the first in what will likely be a series of attack ads on Republican opponent Bill Simon -- and with good reason.
There's a new poll floating around Sacramento that shows the embattled Davis trailing Simon by a whopping eight points.
(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...
We've seen this act before.
There are no other kinds of Republicans. They're all RINOs.
Even Ron Paul. He's a Republican in name only, while actually being a libertarian. The rest of them are Democrats pretending to be Republicans.
Me too. Worked for campaign firm in the past so I'm biased with all ads, but I do think I can make a generalization...I just looked to my wife to gauge the 'non-informed' voter initial reaction. Both of us didn't think it was very good.
Good thing for us is Davis is spending money...and not very well. His negative ad, which I haven't seen, may need some 'answering' from Simon before it becomes truth. Think you can pass that along to ElkGoveDan?
This is one of those relatively rare elections in which the "lesser of two evils" argument won't wash for a lot of liberals. Davis has been so horrible and so corrupt that quite a few voters will be unable to "hold their noses" and vote for him no matter what. They won't vote for Simon, but they may vote for a third-party candidate, or skip the top of the ticket, or stay home altogether. Camejo could pick up a sizable anti-Davis protest vote.
To a lesser extent, Libertarian candidate Gary Copeland may also grab some anti-Davis voters. Copeland has not been shy about publicizing his Druid religion, and focussing on issues (such as the Drug War) that will likely resonate more with liberals than conservatives. Copeland and Camejo have been jointly participating in a series of debates around the state to drum up publicity, and the increased visibility for both of them could cost Davis several critical percentage points in the November balloting.
We can argue the numbers all day - all polls contain a margin of error for a reason. But I've seen six polls now (both registered and likely voters) - Davis' total vote percentage in order from oldest to most recent poll was 42%, 41%, 37%, 38% and 43% - then this 34% came out after the slew of "bad news for Davis" stories over the past month.
Like I said earlier, his numbers make Rod Grams' numbers look strong. Of all the incumbents in the country running for re-election, I think Grayout is the last one I'd wanna be. And that includes Bob Smith-NH and Tim Johnson-SD.
...With his huge war chest of funds, he may be able to do enough attack ads to smear Simon significantly, but he runs the risk of honking off the people who already don't like him even more so he can't win them back...He already did. He charged that Simon should NOT be trusted with managing the money!!! SIGH.
I thought I've heard a political satire :)
I spoke to two clients yesterday, both work for the state, dyed in the wool democrats, who NEVER have anything nice to say about republicans, and they are spitting mad at grayout davis, seems he has dissed them one too many times. probably will not be able to bring themselves around to vote repub (one can hope) but they more than likely will sit this one out. :-)
The one about Davis and Condit in S&M orgies...........no wait....California..........nope.....better keep that quiet........could help Davis....... :>)
Simon has answered the ad in the press, and the Sacramento Bee did a write-up and all but called Davis a liar. AdWatch
Simon would be wise to watch his numbers and Davis' numbers. If there is any rise in Simon's negatives, they should rethink about starting the campaign early; otherwise, let Davis spend one-third of his warchest on ineffective, too early, poorly done ads and we'll clobber him in September.
I've been hearing a lot of that from State Employees. I think they'll be on Davis' bandwagon in November; however, will they be willing to give up every weekend in October to help walk precincts, energize voters, engage in rallies? That might be too much for them when they don't even like the guy.
We need the energy and the excitement and we will win.
Go Simon!
Go Simon!
Great idea...I've been promoting this for a while now. A typically casual democrat that would never vote Republican could sure be lead into voting Green.
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