[Elsie]

If 990 religions in a row are false, the chances are pretty good that religion 991 will be false as well. And by the time you get to testing religion 1000, it stands to reason it'll be false, too.

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Faulty logic..........

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If 990 coin flips in a row are tails, the chances are pretty good that flip 991 will be tails as well. And by the time you get to flipping coin 1000, it stands to reason it'll be tails, too.

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Just change the wording and you'll see...........

[fourdeuce82d]

If 990 religions in a row are false, the chances are pretty good that religion 991 will be false as well. And by the time you get to testing religion 1000, it stands to reason it'll be false, too.

Faulty logic..........

If 990 coin flips in a row are tails, the chances are pretty good that flip 991 will be tails as well. And by the time you get to flipping coin 1000, it stands to reason it'll be tails, too.

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Just change the wording and you'll see...........

Ummm...no. If I flip a coin 990 times, and it comes up tails each time, I'm thinking I'm dealing with a loaded coin. I can't *prove* the coin is loaded, and given the nature of relgion, I can't prove that any or all them are false- but I reserves the right to be dubious...

[mn12]

If 990 coin flips in a row are tails, the chances are pretty good that flip 991 will be tails as well. And by the time you get to flipping coin 1000, it stands to reason it'll be tails, too.

Are you saying that any given religion has a 50/50 chance of being correct? And its correctness is determined by chance? Interesting...

[jejones]

No, not faulty logic. It is certainly possible for a random coin toss to turn up 990 tails in a row; indeed, if you flip it an infinite number of times, it will. On the other hand, the a priori probability of such a run is 2^-990, or something like 10^-300 (using the caret to mark exponentiation), so that faced with that run, it would be wise to check whether the coin in question was really fair or the tosses really random.