Posted on 02/26/2022 6:51:47 AM PST by Roman_War_Criminal
So I have both the embedded video, and the link to the rumble platform, depending on which version serves you better (streaming/buffering/etc.). Also below are the notes I use to talk through things.
PUTIN INFLUENCES
1. Whereas Mr. Yeltsin had cajoled, blustered, and flattered, Mr. Putin spoke unemotionally and without notes about his determination to resurrect Russia’s economy and quash Chechen rebels. Flying home, I recorded my impressions. “Putin is small and pale,” I wrote, “so cold as to be almost reptilian.” He claimed to understand why the Berlin Wall had to fall but had not expected the whole Soviet Union to collapse. “Putin is embarrassed by what happened to his country and determined to restore its greatness.” Former Sec. of State Madeleine Albright (On Putin in NYT 23FEB2022) (My emphasis)
2. Aleksandr Dugin’s Fourth Political Theory: The Fourth Political Theory (Russian: Четвертая политическая теория, Chetvertaya Politicheskaya Teoriya) is a book by the Russian political analyst and strategist Aleksandr Dugin, published in 2009. In the book, Dugin states that he is laying the foundations for an entirely new political ideology, the fourth political theory, which integrates and supersedes liberal democracy, Marxism, and fascism.[1] In this theory, the main subject of politics is not individualism, class struggle, or nation, but rather Dasein (existence itself).[2] (Source)
(Existence as in TO BE or NOT TO BE) and deals with the post-modern world, the post-communism, and post-fascist regimes. Seems to imply a multi-polar regionalization of sorts- Greater Africa, Greater Europe, Greater Pacific Asia, Greater South America, Greater China, Greater Eurasian Project, Greater America, etc.
“Eurasianism is a toxic combination of ideas taken from metaphysics, symbolism, esotericism and racism,” says writer Claude Forthomme. “It has deep roots in Dugin’s bizarre ethnocentric historical vision in which Russia occupies the central place and the West the periphery. Western liberalism is totally rejected and the Russian people are promoted to rule the continent. Dugin argues that he arose at the dawn of time and predates all other peoples. Therefore, it has the right to rule over other peoples on the Eurasian continent”.
Major Tweets & Quotes
“China standing firmly behind Russia. Major "New World Order" vibe. Today is the day that any last shreds of American global hegemony died.” Clint Ehrlich- geopolitical analyst
"When the U.S. drove five waves of NATO expansion eastward all the way to Russia's doorstep..., did it ever think about the consequences of pushing a big country to the wall?" – spokesperson as reported by China state-affiliated media
“So until a new world order is established in which the US is weaker and its role diminished, we will be in more or less acute political conflict with them.” Quoting State Duma Foreign Affairs Committee- Aleksey Pushkov (close ally to Putin) (Source)
What does this mean?
Weak US: The New World Order for the West- Great Reset, Agenda 2030
Weak US: The New World Order for Russia/China- means a weak and subservient West
Putin announces "special military operation" against Ukraine.
Blames NATO expansion, neo-nazism.
Urges Ukrainian forces to surrender.
Warns rest of world to stay out of conflict or face consequences
Missile strikes being reported.
Russian forces advancing from Crimea.
This is a blitzkrieg.
Explosions being reported throughout Ukraine, including in Kiev.
Some regions have gone silent.
This is not a limited intervention.
The timing of the invasion is significant.
It was launched both on Defender of the Fatherland Day AND during the U.N. Security Council Meeting.
Hard to understate the symbolism.
LARGE explosions being reported in Kiev.
Hearing this directly from people on the ground.
Russia is trying to seize Kiev from the air.
Putin’s moves expose weakness and divided position of NATO from the EU
Diplomats tell us the following sanctions are tricky:
- ITA, AT, DE concerned about broad banking-sector sanctions
- ITA resistant to sanctions that include railways
- ITA wants carve-out for luxury goods
- BEL wants carve-out for diamonds + broad reluctance to sanction energy sector
PREDICTIONS
America has a horrible record of predicting where it will fight its next war. As former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates famously said:
When it comes to predicting the nature and location of our next military engagements, since Vietnam, our record has been perfect. We have never once gotten it right, from the Mayaguez Incident (Khmer Rouge-Cambodia ship seizing) to Grenada, Panama, Somalia, the Balkans, Haiti, Kuwait, Iraq, and more—we had no idea a year before any of these missions that we would be so engaged.4
1. MUTUAL PAIN: Both the US and EU are going to feel these sanctions as well (higher gas prices, higher consumer price for consumer goods, etc.)
US Oil Suppliers (Imported to the US) (Keystone Pipeline?)
i. 1. Canada- 4.5M BPD
ii. 2. Mexico- 700,000 BPD
iii. 3. Russia- 595,000 BPD
iv. 4. Saudi Arabia- 555,000 BPD
v. Total 8.5 million BPD
vi. Current average gas price: $3.54
vii. Current average gas last year: $2.66
2. REPERCUSSIONS: Severe sanctions could trigger a major response from Russia- could be a strategic nuclear strike, a massive cyber-attack, a strategic attack on our currency, or something related to our outstanding debt
3. 4TH POLITICAL THEORY: Russia will only take what it can hold or control. It will seek to put a pro-Russian government inside of Ukraine and will ensure that Ukraine never breaks away again. Same with the Baltic States- he wants to scare them into some form of submission. Do not see an invasion of them unless some other triggers (permanent bases in Poland, Lithuania, Estonia, or Latvia) demand Russian action
4. AWAKENED TIGER: China with its own weakening economy, and generational population challenges, is going to jump into the fray WRT Taiwan
5. UNABLE TO SUSTAIN TWO MAJOR REGIONAL CONTINGENCIES (MRCs): Will stress our ability to fight multiple conflicts in multiple domains. As of 2018, a new report from the Heritage Foundation’s 2019 Index of US Military Strength who states the threat to U.S. interests from abroad remains “high,” as America faces challenges from what the Pentagon has deemed the “4+1 threats” — Russia, China, North Korea, Iran and terrorism.
Anti-American forces believe they have cracked the code on how to bring us down- promote two or three conflicts at the same time.
Russia- land and air conflict, cyber
China- maritime and air conflict, cyber
Triggers subsequent conflicts with N. Korea vs S. Korea
Triggers subsequent conflicts with IRAN moving into IRAQ
US Military
A Strong Force Showing Its Age. The U.S. Army is currently the world’s most powerful army, but it is also too small to meet even the modest requirements of the 2018 National Defense Strategy (NDS), much less the standard of being able to handle two major regional contingencies simultaneously, which most experts believe is necessary. It also is not sufficiently modern. Heritage Military Strength Assessment
Force Too Small to Execute the NDS. Army leaders have consistently stated that the Army is too small to execute the National Defense Strategy at less than significant risk. As of September 30, 2021, the Army had an authorized total end strength of 1,012,200 soldiers:
485,900 in the Regular Army,
189,800 in the Army Reserve, and
336,500 in the Army National Guard (ARNG).37
Total Army: 1, 012, 200
Total DOD Active: 2,140,300.00
Total DOD (including civilians: 2,914,800.00
THOUGHTS
1. Sanctions backfired: from Russia’s perspective, if the US was willing to put sanctions on Russia for simply recognizing the breakaway regions, why not go ahead and take the rest of Ukraine?
The US under Joe Biden project abject weakness
the debacle of the Afghanistan withdrawal
US Economy is slowing down, weakening, due to massive debt, causing the dollar to weaken (Inflation)
US politicization of US military policies remains hyper-focused on non-existential threats (CRT, white supremacy, social justice, climate change, LGBT inclusivity, transgenderism, etc.)
US Military has reduced its manpower from 540K to 440K then back up to 480K (FY2020), spread thin by two decades of ME wars, wars which were exclusively focused on counterinsurgencies operations, and plagued by budget cuts and inflation.
Hollywood and Corporate America kowtowing to china economically
Societally, we are killing ourselves with political correctness
Joe Biden/Kamala Harris seen as illegitimate and inept
The US is no longer energy independent
End Times Ping
FReemail me if you wish to be added to or removed from the End Times Ping List.
Excellent unbiassed analysis from Pete Garcia on what is going on in Ukraine and the world and how it relates to Prophecy.
Maranatha!
One interesting thing is to see if the Chechnyan fighters enter this conflict. They hate Zelenskyy, but they might hate Putin and Russia even more. They are not principled soldiers, and are known to be bloodthirsty revenge seekers. They are considered fearsome fighters, but the joke is that they might fight along side you one day, and use their weapons on you the next...There are many aspects of this as a religious war - Different Orthodoxies involved - Russian and Greek. How do you see the religious aspects of this war, Roman person?
I have read Alexandr Dugin’s works and believe that Putin is following his example. I seriously believe that Putin is spooked more by the “Great Reset” of the Global Elitists, than anything else.
“One interesting thing is to see if the Chechnyan fighters enter this conflict”
The Chechnyans are ruthless but don’t forget they once threatened Russia big time. Putin was able to solve that problem and bring them into the fold. It took time but he proved to be just as ruthless as they were and I suspect their choice was either submit or be destroyed. They submitted.
Today Chechnya is a productive member of the Russian Federation.
That was exactly my point. The Chechynyan oligarchs are no doubt great buddies of Herr Putin, but I am not so sure that the little people are. If I were Russian, I would trust them as much as the Ukrainian Military that Putin has been trying to get to “off” Zelenskyy.
Quite possible. Because he has come out against it publicly, there's more than likely a very large bounty on his head. If he isn't successful in defeating them, my belief (personal opinion only, mind you) is that he won't live very long.
That might put an interesting alternative spin on Ezekiel Chapter 38. For years, most people have been wedded to the idea that Russia will come storming down from the uttermost north on a mission to fulfill Putin's alleged dreams of world rule. But what if that mission is not one of conquest, but actually one of avenging his assassination by some crackpot, lunatic, or fanatic in that region who believes "Russia bad" with the same fervency that the left in America has hated Pres. Trump since 2016?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.