As I said, regarding the church growth, it continues to grow. It is not decreasing.
According to the National Council of Churches in 2008, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints is the second-fastest-growing church in the United States by growth rate.
The growth of the Church is pretty constant now at about 300,000 per year. This means, as the total numbers grow larger (about a million every three years) the percentage grows smaller. So what has declined for the Church is the rate of growth holdiong between 1 1/2 adn 2 1/2 percent for the last several years, down from 4-6 percent in prior decades. I believe 1857 was the last year the Church actually had a negative growth rate, where it lost more members than it found.
If you look back over the years at the baptimsal records of the Church for children whose families are members being baptised into the church, plus those who are baptised as a result of the missionary effort of the church, you find the following:
If you stretch it back further, given the records of the Church, you find the following:
Putting it into a table renders this:
LDS CHURCH GROWTH - HISTORY
Year | Membership | Number change | Percentage growth |
---|---|---|---|
1829 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
1830 | 280 | 274 | 4566.67% |
1831 | 680 | 400 | 142.86% |
1832 | 2,661 | 1,981 | 291.32% |
1833 | 3,140 | 479 | 18.00% |
1834 | 4,372 | 1,232 | 39.24% |
1835 | 8,835 | 4,463 | 102.08% |
1836 | 13,293 | 4,458 | 50.46% |
1837 | 16,282 | 2,989 | 22.49% |
1838 | 17,881 | 1,599 | 9.82% |
1839 | 16,460 | -1,421 | -7.95% |
1840 | 16,865 | 405 | 2.46% |
1841 | 19,856 | 2,991 | 17.73% |
1842 | 23,564 | 3,708 | 18.67% |
1843 | 25,980 | 2,416 | 10.25% |
1844 | 26,146 | 166 | 0.64% |
1845 | 30,332 | 4,186 | 16.01% |
1846 | 33,993 | 3,661 | 12.07% |
1847 | 34,694 | 701 | 2.06% |
1848 | 40,477 | 5,783 | 16.67% |
1849 | 48,160 | 7,683 | 18.98% |
1850 | 51,839 | 3,679 | 7.64% |
1851 | 52,165 | 326 | 0.63% |
1852 | 52,640 | 475 | 0.91% |
1853 | 64,154 | 11,514 | 21.87% |
1854 | 68,429 | 4,275 | 6.66% |
1855 | 63,974 | -4,455 | -6.51% |
1856 | 63,881 | -93 | -0.15% |
1857 | 55,236 | -8,645 | -13.53% |
1858 | 55,755 | 519 | 0.94% |
1859 | 57,038 | 1,283 | 2.30% |
1860 | 61,082 | 4,044 | 7.09% |
1861 | 66,211 | 5,129 | 8.40% |
1862 | 68,780 | 2,569 | 3.88% |
1863 | 71,770 | 2,990 | 4.35% |
1864 | 74,348 | 2,578 | 3.59% |
1865 | 76,771 | 2,423 | 3.26% |
1866 | 77,884 | 1,113 | 1.45% |
1867 | 81,124 | 3,240 | 4.16% |
1868 | 84,622 | 3,498 | 4.31% |
1869 | 88,432 | 3,810 | 4.50% |
1870 | 90,130 | 1,698 | 1.92% |
1871 | 95,596 | 5,466 | 6.06% |
1872 | 98,152 | 2,556 | 2.67% |
1873 | 101,538 | 3,386 | 3.45% |
1874 | 103,916 | 2,378 | 2.34% |
1875 | 107,167 | 3,251 | 3.13% |
1876 | 111,111 | 3,944 | 3.68% |
1877 | 115,065 | 3,954 | 3.56% |
1878 | 125,046 | 9,981 | 8.67% |
1879 | 128,386 | 3,340 | 2.67% |
1880 | 133,628 | 5,242 | 4.08% |
1881 | 140,733 | 7,105 | 5.32% |
1882 | 145,604 | 4,871 | 3.46% |
1883 | 151,593 | 5,989 | 4.11% |
1884 | 158,242 | 6,649 | 4.39% |
1885 | 164,130 | 5,888 | 3.72% |
1886 | 166,653 | 2,523 | 1.54% |
1887 | 173,029 | 6,376 | 3.83% |
1888 | 180,294 | 7,265 | 4.20% |
1889 | 183,144 | 2,850 | 1.58% |
1890 | 188,263 | 5,119 | 2.80% |
1891 | 195,445 | 7,182 | 3.81% |
1892 | 200,961 | 5,516 | 2.82% |
1893 | 214,534 | 13,573 | 6.75% |
1894 | 222,369 | 7,835 | 3.65% |
1895 | 231,116 | 8,747 | 3.93% |
1896 | 241,427 | 10,311 | 4.46% |
1897 | 255,736 | 14,309 | 5.93% |
1898 | 267,251 | 11,515 | 4.50% |
1899 | 271,681 | 4,430 | 1.66% |
1900 | 283,765 | 12,084 | 4.45% |
1901 | 292,931 | 9,166 | 3.23% |
1902 | 299,105 | 6,174 | 2.11% |
1903 | 304,901 | 5,796 | 1.94% |
1904 | 324,289 | 19,388 | 6.36% |
1905 | 332,048 | 7,759 | 2.39% |
1906 | 345,014 | 12,966 | 3.90% |
1907 | 357,913 | 12,899 | 3.74% |
1908 | 371,472 | 13,559 | 3.79% |
1909 | 377,279 | 5,807 | 1.56% |
1910 | 398,478 | 21,199 | 5.62% |
1911 | 407,291 | 8,813 | 2.21% |
1912 | 417,555 | 10,264 | 2.52% |
1913 | 431,607 | 14,052 | 3.37% |
1914 | 454,718 | 23,111 | 5.35% |
1915 | 466,238 | 11,520 | 2.53% |
1916 | 477,321 | 11,083 | 2.38% |
1917 | 488,038 | 10,717 | 2.25% |
1918 | 495,962 | 7,924 | 1.62% |
1919 | 507,961 | 11,999 | 2.42% |
1920 | 525,987 | 18,026 | 3.55% |
1921 | 548,803 | 22,816 | 4.34% |
1922 | 566,358 | 17,555 | 3.20% |
1923 | 575,896 | 9,538 | 1.68% |
1924 | 597,861 | 21,965 | 3.81% |
1925 | 613,572 | 15,711 | 2.63% |
1926 | 623,909 | 10,337 | 1.68% |
1927 | 644,745 | 20,836 | 3.34% |
1928 | 655,686 | 10,941 | 1.70% |
1929 | 663,652 | 7,966 | 1.21% |
1930 | 670,017 | 6,365 | 0.96% |
1931 | 688,435 | 18,418 | 2.75% |
1932 | 703,949 | 15,514 | 2.25% |
1933 | 717,619 | 13,670 | 1.94% |
1934 | 730,738 | 13,119 | 1.83% |
1935 | 746,384 | 15,646 | 2.14% |
1936 | 760,690 | 14,306 | 1.92% |
1937 | 767,752 | 7,062 | 0.93% |
1938 | 784,764 | 17,012 | 2.22% |
1939 | 803,528 | 18,764 | 2.39% |
1940 | 862,664 | 59,136 | 7.36% |
1941 | 892,080 | 29,416 | 3.41% |
1942 | 917,715 | 25,635 | 2.87% |
1943 | 937,050 | 19,335 | 2.11% |
1944 | 954,004 | 16,954 | 1.81% |
1945 | 979,454 | 25,450 | 2.67% |
1946 | 996,505 | 17,051 | 1.74% |
1947 | 1,016,170 | 19,665 | 1.97% |
1948 | 1,041,970 | 25,800 | 2.54% |
1949 | 1,078,671 | 36,701 | 3.52% |
1950 | 1,111,314 | 32,643 | 3.03% |
1951 | 1,147,157 | 35,843 | 3.23% |
1952 | 1,189,053 | 41,896 | 3.65% |
1953 | 1,246,362 | 57,309 | 4.82% |
1954 | 1,302,240 | 55,878 | 4.48% |
1955 | 1,357,274 | 55,034 | 4.23% |
1956 | 1,416,731 | 59,457 | 4.38% |
1957 | 1,488,314 | 71,583 | 5.05% |
1958 | 1,555,799 | 67,485 | 4.53% |
1959 | 1,616,088 | 60,289 | 3.88% |
1960 | 1,693,180 | 77,092 | 4.77% |
1961 | 1,823,661 | 130,481 | 7.71% |
1962 | 1,965,786 | 142,125 | 7.79% |
1963 | 2,117,451 | 151,665 | 7.72% |
1964 | 2,234,916 | 117,465 | 5.55% |
1965 | 2,395,932 | 161,016 | 7.20% |
1966 | 2,480,899 | 84,967 | 3.55% |
1967 | 2,614,340 | 133,441 | 5.38% |
1968 | 2,684,073 | 69,733 | 2.67% |
1969 | 2,807,456 | 123,383 | 4.60% |
1970 | 2,930,810 | 123,354 | 4.39% |
1971 | 3,090,953 | 160,143 | 5.46% |
1972 | 3,218,908 | 127,955 | 4.14% |
1973 | 3,306,658 | 87,750 | 2.73% |
1974 | 3,409,987 | 103,329 | 3.12% |
1975 | 3,572,202 | 162,215 | 4.76% |
1976 | 3,742,749 | 170,547 | 4.77% |
1977 | 3,969,220 | 226,471 | 6.05% |
1978 | 4,166,854 | 197,634 | 4.98% |
1979 | 4,404,121 | 237,267 | 5.69% |
1980 | 4,639,822 | 235,701 | 5.35% |
1981 | 4,920,449 | 280,627 | 6.05% |
1982 | 5,162,619 | 242,170 | 4.92% |
1983 | 5,351,724 | 189,105 | 3.66% |
1984 | 5,641,054 | 289,330 | 5.41% |
1985 | 5,919,483 | 278,429 | 4.94% |
1986 | 6,166,974 | 247,491 | 4.18% |
1987 | 6,394,314 | 227,340 | 3.69% |
1988 | 6,721,210 | 326,896 | 5.11% |
1989 | 7,308,444 | 587,234 | 8.74% |
1990 | 7,761,179 | 452,735 | 6.19% |
1991 | 8,089,848 | 328,669 | 4.23% |
1992 | 8,404,087 | 314,239 | 3.88% |
1993 | 8,689,168 | 285,081 | 3.39% |
1994 | 9,024,368 | 335,200 | 3.86% |
1995 | 9,338,859 | 314,491 | 3.48% |
1996 | 9,692,441 | 353,582 | 3.79% |
1997 | 10,071,783 | 379,342 | 3.91% |
1998 | 10,354,241 | 282,458 | 2.80% |
1999 | 10,752,986 | 398,745 | 3.85% |
2000 | 11,068,861 | 315,875 | 2.94% |
2001 | 11,394,522 | 325,661 | 2.94% |
2002 | 11,721,548 | 327,026 | 2.87% |
2003 | 11,985,254 | 263,706 | 2.25% |
2004 | 12,275,822 | 290,568 | 2.42% |
2005 | 12,560,869 | 285,047 | 2.32% |
2006 | 12,868,606 | 307,737 | 2.45% |
2007 | 13,193,999 | 325,393 | 2.53% |
2008 | 13,508,509 | 314,510 | 2.38% |
2009 | 13,824,854 | 316,345 | 2.34% |
2010 | 14,131,467 | 306,613 | 2.22% |
Finally, here is a link to a talk given by an Evangelical leader in the Tabernacle in Salt Lake in 2004 (I believe). He is a part of a group, Standing Together, seeking to try and promote understanding and dailogue, despite his disagreements with various doctrines:
An Evangelical Leader Speaks in the Tabernacle
IMHO, such efforts on both sides help us work together and understand each other better.
Have a good evening.
Jeff, even if we were to concede your older stats, that's what they are...older stats.
You know the number of Lds missionaries dropped off from about 60,000 to 52,000 several years ago -- about a 15% drop.
And look what came out about 10 days ago:
* Number of faithful Mormons rapidly declining (Salt Lake City ABC 4 News)
* Mormons opening up in an Internet world [& Losing members accordingly] [Mormon church owned Deseret News]
* Special report -Mormonism besieged by the modern age [Lds church is hemorrhaging in member losses] [Reuters]
Marlin K. Jensen, among the Top 16 in the Lds General Authority hierarchy, is in fact the very source cited in all three of the above articles.
ALL: An Lds general authority has more up-to-date stats that what Jeff has cited.
The above three articles coupled with other sources show that Mormons are losing members in at least THREE primary areas:
(1) Per the Reuters article linked above:
...census data from some foreign countries...show that the retention rate for their converts is as low as 25 percent.
(2) From the SLC ABC source linked above: Elder Jensen told the news outlet times have changed, and "attrition has accelerated in the last five or 10 years." Some church members ABC 4 talked to said they see the faithful leaving. ... From the DesNews article linked above: He began to hear the same thing from ordinary Mormons who had friends or family who were having problems. He also heard from people at BYU how it was a problem there as well. People were encountering things about church history and losing their faith...
IOW...it's not the "fringe" Mormons described above. We're talking about BYU/"ordinary" Mormons -- "the faithful" -- who are leaving in droves.
(3) Young adult Mormon males: ...according to a recent survey from Trinity College called Mormons in the United States, 1990-2008 (Salt Lake Tribune, 12/15, p. A1), there appear to be many more Mormon women than Mormon men in the state of Utah. Consider these statistics: In 1990, a total of 53 percent of the Mormons in Utah were females (55% in the rest of the country). Eighteen years later, though, in 2008, there were 60% LDS females in Utah compared to 40% males (52% in the rest of the country). In other words, if youre female in Utah, theres a good possibility you will be sitting home on Saturday night. Imagine, this equals three women for every two men in Utah. Go to a Saturday night dance and there are 60 girls to only 40 boys.
Source: Two men for every three women? [Utah social ratios enough to re-institute polygamy?]
For GOD's sake; WHY????
What has Darkness to do with LIGHT?
WHAT?
What's to 'understand'?
We KNOW what MORMONism is built upon and we KNOW what MORMONism thinks of Christianity!
Begone, Foul Demons!
The lds-org denies that Jesus is the Creator, that everything was created THROUGH Him, BY Him and FOR Him.
Jeff, when a religion denies fundamental definitions of the Identity of Jesus Christ, it is unacceptable, which simply means that I can't receive, accept, believe, or agree with their teachings.
Please seek the truth of the True Christ.
Jeff - the passage from GP states that - it goes no farther. You NT citation is cherry picked in that the context is that only believers are made alive.
As I said, regarding the church growth, it continues to grow. It is not decreasing.
It grows, latest studies indicate by BIC, not so much converts. As I pointed out, mormons are leaving the church recently in droves worse than ever seen. Considering the reluctance to remove people off the roster, maintaining names until they are impossibly old, etc, it is easy to inflate the numbers. In a Feb 2012 The Christian Post article, mormonism trails a number of other churches with a weak 1.42% growth. Factor in your own GA's admission that retention rates of 25% yields an even lower growth rate. SLC Trib reports shrinking missions and difficulties gaining converts.
If one would look at the table you posted all is not well in zion. Here is the last couple of decades
Growth has dropped from 4.45% down to 1.93% in 2010 and as I noted before, 2011 growth decreased further to 1.42% In fact, since at least 2006, many other denominations have been growing faster than mormonism.
Add that to the recognized ACTIVE rate of less than 50% - well, so much for the lds growth being a sign of God's blessing.
The growth of the Church is pretty constant now at about 300,000 per year.
Only over stated by 100,000 Jeff, look at your own chart. You've not been at or above 300K since 1999, and the trend is downward, not steady.
If you look back over the years at the baptimsal records of the Church for children whose families are members being baptised into the church, plus those who are baptised as a result of the missionary effort of the church, you find the following:
Mormon social science website reinforces my points - with only a 20-50% retention rate, that continues to drop. Further from the same site, a study actually shows a net decrease in people exiting versus those baptized
http://www.mormonsocialscience.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/US-LDS-Membership-Balance-Sheet_0.xls
Your charts and figures don't show these realities Jeff. There is little doubt in that you GA's statements on the mass exodus from mormonism is making serious inroads into polytheistic mormonism. I leave you with the word from YOUR leadership -
Church historian Elder Marlin K. Jensen attended a Q&A set up by Phil Barlow at Utah State University. He was asked the following question.
"Has the church seen the effects of Google on membership? It seems like the people who I talk to about church history are people who find out and leave quickly. Is the church aware of that problem? What about the people who are already leaving in droves?"
http://mormonism-unveiled.blogspot.com/2012/01/elder-marlin-k-jensen-confirms-mormon.html
Of course, these numbers are always self-reported Jeff, and NEVER verified. They count people who are members who never attend anymore. They count people until age 100 who are dead.
The truth, based on other sources is that there is a hole in the bottom of the bucket. You fill the top, counting every drop, and ignore all that leaks out the bottom as people learn the whole truth.
What truth, some may ask?
Mormon Cult Deception Method:
1. Convince you of their sincerity
2. Trick you into expressing faith first in the Book of Mormon by praying and asking for a sign (this takes you off the objective ground of Biblical truth and puts you into subjective ground of feelings - where you will have to forever remain to stay in mormonism.)
3. Convince you that the Bible has errors in its translation - though they won't tell you what is an error...
4. Trick you into expressing faith in the prophet Joseph Smith - totally based on feelings and not facts, evidence or logic
5. Trick you into expressing faith in the Restoration of the Gospel - totally made up need and a contradiction of the Bible's promises to the Church (see Galatians Chapter one)
6. Get you all the way into the baptismal font...
..........................................................
7. ONLY THEN... you will learn the true DEVIANT doctrines of
Mormonism. At this point, it is too late! You only have
feelings as a basis of truth! You will believe anything.
..........................................................
Such as the following truths taught in mormonism ...
The 3 Mormon Earth gods:
... The mormon Heavenly Father used to be a man, but became God. You will have to swallow that God could sin!
... The Jesus of mormonism was a created spirit being who became one of the three mormon earth gods
... The mormonic Holy Spirit is also a created spirit being. He doesnt have a body because he is on probation! Yes, he was naughty. He sinned.
... In short, the mormon earth gods are sinful, created spirit beings. But there is more...
The FOURTH Mormon Earth God (plus 5th, 6th, 7th, etc.):
...The Mormon Heavenly Mother God
Yes, sadly, believe it or not, it turns out there is a mormonic Mother God
... SHE and the father god have celestial sex and produce offspring continually
... SHE is eternally pregnant
... SHE pops out spirit children who will some day get a human body on earth
... SHE is probably not alone. Mormons still believe and teach eternal polygamy.
The Mormonic Pantheon of gods:
... There are BILLIONS or TRILLIONS of mormon gods on other planets.
Hindus have approximately 350 million gods. They are
pikers compared to mormons.
How do they get so many gods? They manufacture more all the
time:
... Any mormon male can be a God with his own planet, plural mother goddesses, and spirit kids to worship him.
... Becoming a mormon god means lots of works to attain the god-level. This is why you see mormons working so hard. Now you know why.
... Speaking of levels, heaven has three levels.
... All the trillions of gods in the mormon pantheon get together regularly over spring break in Kolob Beach to counsel together
What will your life be like as a mormon?
... you have to give 10%?
... You will give up the total sufficiency of the death of Christ for your sins and rely on your own "worthiness" - which the Bible calls "filthy rags"
... your bishop is there to ask if you gave your FULL tithe
... your bishop is also there to ask many probing, personal, embarrassing questions
... Did we mention you will
... you will have to complete Masonic Temple rituals that involve strangers touching your private parts
... you will forever have to base your life on the false foundation of feelings that contradict the clear teaching of the Bible
... You will have to wear magic underwear 24/7/365
Once inside the Morg, you have to accept it ALL to move up the chain towards Godhood. ... It is nothing more than a Celestial Amway Organization
THAT IS THE REAL MORMON/LDS