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POSSIBLE CA EXIT POLLS--LEAKED DATA
Calblog ^ | October 7, 2003 | Armed Prophet

Posted on 10/07/2003 2:47:41 PM PDT by publius1

Apparently Leaked Exit Polling Says... Armed Prophet here, with what I believe is a major scoop, though it may not be entirely surprising.

That is, I'm hearing that early exit polling -- which includes absentees -- already shows the recall and Arnold both with "double digit" leads. (I'm a bit surprised to hear that those numbers are already being tabulated, but this is what I'm told.) Speculation is the race may be called within a few hours of the polls closing.

I obviously can't vouch for it myself -- I'm in DC -- but the source I'm hearing this from is very well-connected in state and national politics; if anybody would know this kind of thing out here, it's this person. So take this information with a bit of caution. But if I'm right, you heard it here first.

(Cross-posted -- sort of -- on Armed Prophet.)


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: exitpolls; recall; rumors
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Don't know what to say, except that this is interesting--and wonderful--if correct.
1 posted on 10/07/2003 2:47:41 PM PDT by publius1
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To: publius1
This was just posted in the live thread

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/996586/posts?page=1024#1024

Just got this from a friend with a DC office:

Our DC office just heard these exit polls. Dem politicos are reporting a low voter turn out in the Bay Area so they are thinking its gonna be a blow out.

Davis' exit polls show:

57% yes on recall
43% no on recall
47% Arnold
34% Bustamonte

Take this for what it's worth, but sounds in line with the polling of late.


1,024 posted on 10/07/2003 5:43 PM EDT by ScottinSacto (www.rtumble.com for all the CA political news)
2 posted on 10/07/2003 2:49:05 PM PDT by finnman69 (!)
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3 posted on 10/07/2003 2:49:33 PM PDT by Support Free Republic (Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
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To: publius1
Speculation is the race may be called within a few hours of the polls closing.

Except that the first dozen court filings to enjoin the announcement will be filed about 20 deconds after the polls close.

4 posted on 10/07/2003 2:49:58 PM PDT by John Jorsett
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To: John Jorsett
Did you say a senior administration official "leaked" this?
5 posted on 10/07/2003 2:50:51 PM PDT by princess leah
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To: John Jorsett
If its a GOP blowout, the Dems won't bother.
6 posted on 10/07/2003 2:51:17 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: publius1
I think it is best for us to not post exit polling data that we cannot confirm as breaking news. Anyone could make anything up at this point. Just ask Coop.

Thanks, AM

7 posted on 10/07/2003 2:52:03 PM PDT by Admin Moderator
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To: publius1
About an hour ago, I called a business in Westlake Village, CA and asked the guy if he had voted yet.

He said, "Not yet, but all the radio stations are saying that turnout is very light".

Yeah, sure...

8 posted on 10/07/2003 2:52:19 PM PDT by snopercod (All Hail the Saffron King!)
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To: John Jorsett
Except that the first dozen court filings to enjoin the announcement will be filed about 20 deconds after the polls close.

There's already another thread reporting the RATS have a prewritten lawsuit ready to file at 1 am tomorrow morning.

9 posted on 10/07/2003 2:52:20 PM PDT by Timesink
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To: finnman69
These exact numbers were reported on KFI AM within the last hour.

If you'd like to here the local SoCal take on the Recall, go here. Bill Handel from now till 4PM then Jon and Ken till 11PM PST. They are reporting exit poll data.

http://www.kfi640.com/interactive/streaming.html

10 posted on 10/07/2003 2:52:33 PM PDT by Stars N Stripes (He's crying? There's no crying in Glory Holing! Right you are Ken. Let's go to our MXC Impact Replay)
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To: finnman69
San Francisco is a Democrat vote gusher. And if they're staying home in droves there, Arnold should easily pass 50% tonight once L.A reports in. That's before the absentee votes are counted. The fat lady has sung. I believe these exit polls. The numbers sound right.
11 posted on 10/07/2003 2:52:50 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
Sure they will.

They'll say the 43% who voted against the recall were disenfranchised by the 57% who voted for it.
12 posted on 10/07/2003 2:53:10 PM PDT by Guillermo ( Proud Infidel)
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To: publius1
A rumor that will send rats into a panic to vote and make GOP lazy.
13 posted on 10/07/2003 2:53:10 PM PDT by VRWC_minion (Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and most are right)
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To: publius1
BTTT!
14 posted on 10/07/2003 2:53:55 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: EggsAckley
Ping!
15 posted on 10/07/2003 2:53:55 PM PDT by annyokie (One good thing about being wrong is the joy it brings to others.)
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To: snopercod
He said, "Not yet, but all the radio stations are saying that turnout is very light".

What's he listening to, The Voice of MEChA?

16 posted on 10/07/2003 2:53:55 PM PDT by John Jorsett
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To: finnman69
bump
17 posted on 10/07/2003 2:54:48 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Men stumble over the truth, but most pick themselves up as if nothing had happened." Churchill)
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To: princess leah
and I hear that she at one point was sent down to castro street in SF to do something under cover...something about yellow cake ( or was it pink? anywho...)
18 posted on 10/07/2003 2:54:56 PM PDT by CasearianDaoist
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To: VRWC_minion
Makes no difference. No one likes Gray Davis. I have yet to meet a Democrat who would put his skin on the line for him - I don't mean the brainless elites, I mean the party's rank and file. It looks like they just want him gone.
19 posted on 10/07/2003 2:55:01 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
Don't you wish everyone had felt that way about clinton ?
20 posted on 10/07/2003 2:55:58 PM PDT by VRWC_minion (Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and most are right)
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