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Arnold Looks to Recover From Dip in Poll
AP ^ | 10/6/03 | DON THOMPSON,

Posted on 10/06/2003 12:16:02 PM PDT by Jean S

Arnold Schwarzenegger struggled to put sexual harassment allegations behind him Monday as a new poll indicated some voters were having second thoughts about recalling Gov. Gray Davis (news - web sites).

Photo
AP Photo


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"The campaign is not losing momentum," Schwarzenegger spokeswoman Karen Hanretty told CBS' "The Early Show." A four-day bus tour of the state that Schwarzenegger concluded in Sacramento on Sunday had drawn thousands of enthusiastic supporters.

A poll of 1,000 registered voters, conducted by Elway-McGuire Research for Knight Ridder from Wednesday through Saturday, found the percentage of people saying they would definitely vote to oust Davis dropped from 52 percent Wednesday to 44 percent Saturday. The poll had an overall margin of error of 3 percentage points, but the margin of error for individual days was not given.

The poll also showed Schwarzenegger's lead over Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante to replace Davis narrowing slightly from an earlier survey.

On Monday, the last full day of campaigning, Schwarzenegger planned campaign stops in San Jose, Huntington Beach and San Bernardino. Davis was to appear in Sacramento, San Francisco and Los Angeles, while Bustamante planned appearances in Los Angeles, Oakland and San Francisco.

The shift in support for the recall followed allegations from 15 women that Schwarzenegger had groped and verbally harassed them during encounters dating to the early 1970s and as recently as 2000.

Schwarzenegger, who has acknowledged and apologized for having "behaved badly" toward women in the past, blamed the allegations on last-minute dirty campaign tricks and said some of them are flatly untrue. He has not discussed most of the allegations specifically and said he won't until after the campaign.

"I can get into all of the specifics and find out what is really going on. But right now, I'm just really occupied with the campaign," he told "Dateline NBC" on Sunday.

He told ABC's "This Week" on Sunday that he couldn't remember many details connected to allegations going back more than 15 years but said they could have been true.

"It doesn't make any sense to go through details here with you. What is important is that I cannot remember what was happening 20 years ago, 15 years ago. But some of the things sound like me, which I was the first one to come out and say, you know, some of the things could have happened, I want to apologize to the people if I have offended anyone because that was not my intention," he said.

"No one ever came to me in my life and said to me that I did anything, that said 'I don't want you to do that. You went over the line, Arnold.'"

Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, who began Monday at a rally in East Los Angeles, said he believed the sexual harassment allegations were hurting Schwarzenegger's campaign.

"I think this is a very serious situation that we have right now and, you know, one surprise after another with this guy. I think we've probably had one too many surprises," he said after addressing a rally of about 100 supporters, including Christine Chavez, the granddaughter of the late United Farmworkers union co-founder Cesar Chavez.

State Sen. Tom McClintock told MSNBC on Monday that he remained skeptical of the allegations because they came so close to the election.

"The conduct that is alleged is reprehensible, and I'm afraid the voters are just going to have to sort through the facts as best they can in the days remaining," he said.

Hanretty didn't answer directly when asked if any of the women had lied. Instead, she accused the Los Angeles Times, which first broke the story of the allegations, of not investigating their claims thoroughly.

"Excuse me, but the L.A. Times failed to investigate a lot of these women," she said, adding that at least one of the women had contributed to independent candidate Arianna Huffington's campaign.

 

On Sunday, Davis demanded that Schwarzenegger give a full explanation of the allegations before Tuesday's vote, and Attorney General Bill Lockyer, a Democrat, said the Republican actor should volunteer for a state investigation whether or not he is elected governor.

Lockyer also noted the one-year statute of limitations for sexual battery has expired on all the complaints.

Schwarzenegger spokesman Rob Stutzman accused Lockyer of engaging in the sort of "puke politics" the attorney general had earlier warned Davis to avoid.

Davis used the power of incumbency to create news Sunday, signing a law making California the largest state to require employer-paid health care for an estimated nearly 1.1 million working Californians currently without job-based coverage.

After the "Dateline" segment aired, two of the women who claim Schwarzenegger harassed them said they were upset the actor said some of the accounts were fictional.

"That incensed me," said Colette Brooks, who claims Schwarzenegger grabbed her buttocks when she was a 23-year-old intern at CNN in the early 1980s. "He's dodging any sort of culpability. He's dodging these allegations."

The Knight Ridder poll that was completed Saturday showed Schwarzenegger leading Bustamante in the race to replace Davis by 36 percent to 29 percent. An earlier poll by the Field Research Corp. put his lead at 36 percent to 26 percent.

Although those definitely planning to vote to oust Davis had slipped to 44 percent, among overall voters surveyed the margin supporting the recall was still 54 percent.

Pollsters surveyed 1,000 registered voters, including 284 people on Wednesday and 200 on Saturday. The margin of error for individual days was not given.

___

Associated Press writers Erica Werner, Beth Fouhy, Paul Chavez and Seth Hettena contributed to this


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: poll
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To: AmericanInTokyo
You can believe anything you like.
41 posted on 10/06/2003 1:26:28 PM PDT by LisaAnne
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To: LisaAnne
The LA Times said they didn't report Davis' behavior because the reports came from "anonymous sources;" that didn't stop them from citing a number of women against Arnold anonymously.
42 posted on 10/06/2003 1:27:27 PM PDT by My2Cents (Well...there you go again.)
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To: chilepepper
Addendum to your point #11 -- Hillary wins California after a turnout of only 1134 voters statewide, since the vast majority of Californians have effectively been turned-off to politics by the slime tactics of the Democrats and the media.
43 posted on 10/06/2003 1:30:00 PM PDT by My2Cents (Well...there you go again.)
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To: My2Cents
Yep! But the media, especially the LASlimes is not biased.
44 posted on 10/06/2003 1:31:24 PM PDT by LisaAnne
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To: LisaAnne
Believe THIS, and from his supporters at that!

Can you spell "H-Y-P-O-C-R-I-S-Y" and DOUBLE STANDARDS by the G.O.P. who went after Bill Clinton for his own immoral, women-hating pecadilloes and wandering hands (even before he was impeached or under accusations of lying under oath)???


45 posted on 10/06/2003 1:33:40 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: JeanS
Oink, oink for Arnold the pig! I hear he'll be talking to another dimwit - Sean Hannity. Sean has got to be one of the most simple minded poeple in a talk show.
46 posted on 10/06/2003 1:37:49 PM PDT by nmh
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Can you spell "H-Y-P-O-C-R-I-S-Y" and DOUBLE STANDARDS by the G.O.P. who went after Bill Clinton for his own immoral, women-hating pecadilloes and wandering hands (even before he was impeached or under accusations of lying under oath)???

So what.
You either support the team, or you are an independant, entitled to your opinion, but to no influence in the Republican party.

So9

47 posted on 10/06/2003 1:38:39 PM PDT by Servant of the 9 (A Goldwater Republican)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Can you spell L-O-S-E-R?
48 posted on 10/06/2003 1:40:32 PM PDT by LisaAnne
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To: LisaAnne
A-R-N-O-L-D....

also C-A-L-I-F-O-R-N-I-A if he or Bustamante win, or if Grey Davis is kept in power.

49 posted on 10/06/2003 1:46:18 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: Servant of the 9
Hey, you bought this defective bill of goods and culticly threw rose petals at his feet, so don't go crying around me.
50 posted on 10/06/2003 1:47:31 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: Saundra Duffy
I'll be glad when tomorrow's over. Sheeeeeeesh.

Well, prepare yourself for what we'll be seeing first thing on Wednesday:


51 posted on 10/06/2003 1:50:25 PM PDT by kevao (Fuques France!)
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To: Howlin
I think you're going to end up with Davis. It's a damn pity, too.


I don't think so.... but who knows.. It's normal for the democrats and all voters to come back to their home as the election nears... But I don't believe it's that close. The electorate has shown dissatifaction with Davis.

There appears to be some 2 million absentee ballots already cast and if they followed the poll trends then they should be at least 56% for the recall.... With some approximately 8 million votes to be cast total [6 million tomorrow] that means that the public has to sway to some 52% NO votes tomorrow to make it a toss up... I don't think that's happening... JMO.

It maybe a couple of weeks or more before we know what the final outcome will be because of vote certifications, etc. So the voting will be over but the results maybe longer coming in...

If Davis was to remain then he will have to produce some fantastic results and turn around or by 04 the electorate will be hacked at the local democrats, imo.
52 posted on 10/06/2003 1:55:46 PM PDT by deport
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To: kevao
That photo is so funny! Yeah, I know, the democrats are going to start suing the pants off of every Republican they can find come Wednesday morning, bright and early. LOL!
53 posted on 10/06/2003 2:04:48 PM PDT by Saundra Duffy (For victory & freedom!!!)
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To: Saundra Duffy
i cant beleive im going to miss all this - I am off to vienna till sunday and when Bozo gets booted they wont have it on CNNEurope - trust me. I'll hafta find a cyber cafe and log in here.
54 posted on 10/06/2003 2:06:57 PM PDT by corkoman
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Arnold, eh? I think Arnold is leading in the polls last time I looked. And tomorrow I expect him to win in a landslide.

The real losers in this recall. Those "holy conservatives" that are backing the loser Mc Clintock. Mc Clintock is going to be finished politically, that is if Arnold doesn't save his a** for him; and "holy conservatives" have marginalized themselves off the right side of the spectrum.

Tell you what, you stay in Tokoyo, and let us Californians decide who we think is best to govern the state. I have seen your opinions, some of them quite vile, and I have nothing more I want to post to you, nor anything else I want to read from you. I'm in a great mood because by Wednesday we are going to have a great guy as governor and we will have thrown out Davis. Arnold is going to do more good for this state in the next 6 months than anyone else could do in 4 years.
55 posted on 10/06/2003 2:11:12 PM PDT by LisaAnne
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To: katana
IMHO, the media saying his poll numbers are dropping will only help him. It reduces the number of fence sitting Republicans...

That occurred to me, too. They must be figuring that the number of Dem voters who will stay home if it looks like Arnold's got it wrapped up is greater than the number of fence sitting Republicans who'll vote for Arnold if it looks like it's going to be tight.

56 posted on 10/06/2003 2:16:08 PM PDT by Yardstick
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To: LisaAnne
Where is Toyoko (sic)? Anywhere near Baenos Aeries? Maybe it is north of Taronto?

Are you another one of those fools who make a comment thinking I am in Japan? Thought so.

57 posted on 10/06/2003 2:20:41 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: LisaAnne
I recognize you as someone who is a great hater of Conservative Tom McClintock. That's OK. You can deal with that in or out of therapy.

LA, if you criticized Bill Clinton on this Conservative Forum 1998-1999 (but I believe you showed up in 2001) as nearly all of us Conservative FReepers did, for his patent immorality, womanizing, disrespect of females, and lack of character, then, if you go on to support Arnold Schwarzenegger simply because he has an (R) after his name and you despise democrats, then there is no hope for you, my friend.

Take solace in these unchanging truths, in the dawn after the Evening of Your Ultimate Betrayal by moderate centrists using conservatives temporarily to support a social libertine who will continue the process just as expected:

"Consistency is the foundation of virtue." -- Francis Bacon

"Look to make your course regular, that men may know beforehand what they may expect." -- Francis Bacon

"Consistency, madam, is the first of Christian duties." -- Charlotte Bronte

"My goal in sailing isn't to be brilliant or flashy in individual races, just to be consistent over the long run." -- Dennis Conner

"A consistent man believes in destiny, a capricious man in chance." -- Benjamin Disraeli

"Let your character be kept up the very end, just as it began, and so be consistent." -- Horace

"A people that values its privileges above its principles soon loses both." - Dwight David Eisenhower

"Honor is like an island, rugged and without shores; we can never re-enter it once we are on the outside." [Fr., L'honneur est comme une ile escarpee et sans bords; On n'y peut plus rentrer des qu'on en est dehors.] - Nicolas Boileau-Despreaux

Enjoy your 'phyrric victory', if need be. You people are no better than the rationalizing, double standard, inconsistent Democrats who covered for Pervert Bill Clinton.

58 posted on 10/06/2003 2:24:57 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: LisaAnne
My Cal. absentee ballot, 'cast' and mailed overseas to Registrar of Voters, via certified express on 22 September, [for TMcC], will cancel out your vote for the groping perverted RINO centrist, Arnold. So put THAT in your pipe and smoke it! :0
59 posted on 10/06/2003 2:35:02 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: LisaAnne
I wonder why they didn't ask Davis about the time he pushed his 60 year old secretary out of the door way, or the time he choked one of his aides?

Because it wouldn't be fair to Davis.

60 posted on 10/06/2003 5:50:21 PM PDT by Victoria Delsoul (Arnold has the conviction and the fighting spirit to lead California into a new age of recovery)
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