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Arnold Looks to Recover From Dip in Poll
AP ^ | 10/6/03 | DON THOMPSON,

Posted on 10/06/2003 12:16:02 PM PDT by Jean S

Arnold Schwarzenegger struggled to put sexual harassment allegations behind him Monday as a new poll indicated some voters were having second thoughts about recalling Gov. Gray Davis (news - web sites).

Photo
AP Photo


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"The campaign is not losing momentum," Schwarzenegger spokeswoman Karen Hanretty told CBS' "The Early Show." A four-day bus tour of the state that Schwarzenegger concluded in Sacramento on Sunday had drawn thousands of enthusiastic supporters.

A poll of 1,000 registered voters, conducted by Elway-McGuire Research for Knight Ridder from Wednesday through Saturday, found the percentage of people saying they would definitely vote to oust Davis dropped from 52 percent Wednesday to 44 percent Saturday. The poll had an overall margin of error of 3 percentage points, but the margin of error for individual days was not given.

The poll also showed Schwarzenegger's lead over Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante to replace Davis narrowing slightly from an earlier survey.

On Monday, the last full day of campaigning, Schwarzenegger planned campaign stops in San Jose, Huntington Beach and San Bernardino. Davis was to appear in Sacramento, San Francisco and Los Angeles, while Bustamante planned appearances in Los Angeles, Oakland and San Francisco.

The shift in support for the recall followed allegations from 15 women that Schwarzenegger had groped and verbally harassed them during encounters dating to the early 1970s and as recently as 2000.

Schwarzenegger, who has acknowledged and apologized for having "behaved badly" toward women in the past, blamed the allegations on last-minute dirty campaign tricks and said some of them are flatly untrue. He has not discussed most of the allegations specifically and said he won't until after the campaign.

"I can get into all of the specifics and find out what is really going on. But right now, I'm just really occupied with the campaign," he told "Dateline NBC" on Sunday.

He told ABC's "This Week" on Sunday that he couldn't remember many details connected to allegations going back more than 15 years but said they could have been true.

"It doesn't make any sense to go through details here with you. What is important is that I cannot remember what was happening 20 years ago, 15 years ago. But some of the things sound like me, which I was the first one to come out and say, you know, some of the things could have happened, I want to apologize to the people if I have offended anyone because that was not my intention," he said.

"No one ever came to me in my life and said to me that I did anything, that said 'I don't want you to do that. You went over the line, Arnold.'"

Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, who began Monday at a rally in East Los Angeles, said he believed the sexual harassment allegations were hurting Schwarzenegger's campaign.

"I think this is a very serious situation that we have right now and, you know, one surprise after another with this guy. I think we've probably had one too many surprises," he said after addressing a rally of about 100 supporters, including Christine Chavez, the granddaughter of the late United Farmworkers union co-founder Cesar Chavez.

State Sen. Tom McClintock told MSNBC on Monday that he remained skeptical of the allegations because they came so close to the election.

"The conduct that is alleged is reprehensible, and I'm afraid the voters are just going to have to sort through the facts as best they can in the days remaining," he said.

Hanretty didn't answer directly when asked if any of the women had lied. Instead, she accused the Los Angeles Times, which first broke the story of the allegations, of not investigating their claims thoroughly.

"Excuse me, but the L.A. Times failed to investigate a lot of these women," she said, adding that at least one of the women had contributed to independent candidate Arianna Huffington's campaign.

 

On Sunday, Davis demanded that Schwarzenegger give a full explanation of the allegations before Tuesday's vote, and Attorney General Bill Lockyer, a Democrat, said the Republican actor should volunteer for a state investigation whether or not he is elected governor.

Lockyer also noted the one-year statute of limitations for sexual battery has expired on all the complaints.

Schwarzenegger spokesman Rob Stutzman accused Lockyer of engaging in the sort of "puke politics" the attorney general had earlier warned Davis to avoid.

Davis used the power of incumbency to create news Sunday, signing a law making California the largest state to require employer-paid health care for an estimated nearly 1.1 million working Californians currently without job-based coverage.

After the "Dateline" segment aired, two of the women who claim Schwarzenegger harassed them said they were upset the actor said some of the accounts were fictional.

"That incensed me," said Colette Brooks, who claims Schwarzenegger grabbed her buttocks when she was a 23-year-old intern at CNN in the early 1980s. "He's dodging any sort of culpability. He's dodging these allegations."

The Knight Ridder poll that was completed Saturday showed Schwarzenegger leading Bustamante in the race to replace Davis by 36 percent to 29 percent. An earlier poll by the Field Research Corp. put his lead at 36 percent to 26 percent.

Although those definitely planning to vote to oust Davis had slipped to 44 percent, among overall voters surveyed the margin supporting the recall was still 54 percent.

Pollsters surveyed 1,000 registered voters, including 284 people on Wednesday and 200 on Saturday. The margin of error for individual days was not given.

___

Associated Press writers Erica Werner, Beth Fouhy, Paul Chavez and Seth Hettena contributed to this


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: poll
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To: Saundra Duffy
I've heard all today on the liberal media WHORE channels that ARHold is tied with GREYOUT, is this true? Can someone from CalliFAWNia inform us here what the true is?
21 posted on 10/06/2003 12:55:05 PM PDT by RoseofTexas (r)
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To: JeanS
The Gropinator trying to recover from his past, present and possibly future indiscretions? The Gropinator is only interested in how quick can a woman spread her legs for him. Remember he admires the Kennedys and so did Clintoon. The Kennedy men are notorious womanizers. The Gropinator, along with his gang bang, now can add coping feels to his illustrious background. Just like Clintoon, his rape and sexual indiscretions. Lest we forget about former Sen. Bob Packwood that raped and had his sexual indiscretions.
22 posted on 10/06/2003 12:55:44 PM PDT by lilylangtree
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To: RoseofTexas
oops...true=TRUTH! :]
23 posted on 10/06/2003 12:55:54 PM PDT by RoseofTexas (r)
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To: ambrose
I just discovered another reason why y'all need to vote to recall Davis and replace him with either Republican. Ms Morford's columns will be simply insane if she has to deal with a pubbie govenor. ESPECIALLY McC, but also Arnie, because I think she's sweet on him. Her columns for the next few years will be a riot to read!
24 posted on 10/06/2003 12:56:58 PM PDT by Warren_Piece (Dont Panic!)
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To: montag813
You sound bitter.
25 posted on 10/06/2003 12:57:13 PM PDT by ambrose
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To: RoseofTexas
If Arnold is "tied" with Davis, then Davis is TOAST. This means that roughly 33-40% of the electorate want to KEEP Davis, while a stunning 60-67% want to OUST Davis. Leave it to the liberal media to spin this as good news for Davis.
26 posted on 10/06/2003 12:57:49 PM PDT by medscribe
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To: montag813
McClintock's presence on the replacement ballot has nothing to do with whether Grayout remains in power.
27 posted on 10/06/2003 12:57:51 PM PDT by ambrose
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To: montag813
Whoever told Arnold to do ANY of these interviews is a complete imbicile. you don't do interviews when you have a lead. It can only hurt you. That is what I tell all my clients. IDIOTS!

Then maybe he doesn't have a lead anymore? I agree with your central point, however. Perhaps a puffball interviewer like Larry King would have been a better idea.

28 posted on 10/06/2003 12:58:58 PM PDT by ambrose
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To: JeanS
Join Us…Your One Thread To All The California Recall News Threads!

Want on our daily or major news ping lists? Freepmail DoctorZin

29 posted on 10/06/2003 1:00:49 PM PDT by DoctorZIn
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To: JeanS
IMHO, the media saying his poll numbers are dropping will only help him. It reduces the number of fence sitting Republicans (some might call them RINO's but I'd prefer the phrase "win at any cost" Republicans) who may have been thinking it safe to pull the lever for McClintock since Arnold had such a seemingly safe lead.

I trust not a word the California press has to say and am highly doubtful that much if any part of last week's lead has been lost. In any case we'll know for sure in about 36 hours.

30 posted on 10/06/2003 1:02:11 PM PDT by katana
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To: RoseofTexas
I'm not sure what is truth or fiction anymore. Gray Davis is behind the smear campaign against Arnold, that's for sure and it may just backfire. The recall of Davis, I'm pretty sure, will be successful. I don't know of one person who is voting NO on the recall, but then, I only hang with conservatives.

I expect that Tom McClintock will do better than expected, maybe even coming in ahead of Bustamante. But from what I can gather, it looks like Arnold will be our next governor, unfortunately. There's a frenzie of adoring fans who just might have taken the time to register to vote. And the Republican "leaders" have sold their souls to the devil and gotten solidly behind Arnold who has never even won a primary.

I have volunteered my time and energy for McClintock, a true blue conservative.
31 posted on 10/06/2003 1:02:49 PM PDT by Saundra Duffy (For victory & freedom!!!)
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To: Saundra Duffy
I think you're going to end up with Davis. It's a damn pity, too.
32 posted on 10/06/2003 1:05:57 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Williams; Tamsey; Tempest; onyx; My2Cents; EggsAckley; Victoria Delsoul; kattracks; PhiKapMom; ...
I wonder why they didn't ask Davis about the time he pushed his 60 year old secretary out of the door way, or the time he choked one of his aides?
33 posted on 10/06/2003 1:11:12 PM PDT by LisaAnne
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To: lilylangtree
"The Gropinator trying to recover from his past, present and possibly future indiscretions? The Gropinator is only interested in how quick can a woman spread her legs for him. Remember he admires the Kennedys and so did Clintoon. The Kennedy men are notorious womanizers. The Gropinator, along with his gang bang, now can add coping feels to his illustrious background. Just like Clintoon, his rape and sexual indiscretions. Lest we forget about former Sen. Bob Packwood that raped and had his sexual indiscretions"

Seems you are working yourself into a heated lather.

Visions of he men dancing in your head?

Better take a cold shower.

34 posted on 10/06/2003 1:11:44 PM PDT by G.Mason (Lessons of life need not be fatal)
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To: lilylangtree
I think you have been watching too many X rated movies, and your imagination has gotten away from you.
35 posted on 10/06/2003 1:13:04 PM PDT by LisaAnne
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To: montag813
(Providing you are supporting A.S.,) if he is a personally immoral man, with low character, and his wife turns out to be another Kennedy Enabling Suffering Spouse With Winning Political Races As Sole Priority, then would you be inclined to drop your support? Or do those things really matter to you?
36 posted on 10/06/2003 1:14:17 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: LisaAnne
Gray Davis is a no good, stinking HYPOCRITE

He ought to just shut up.

Now, on the same issue from a different angle:

I happen to believe Schwarzenegger is not a man of personal integrity and character, with an enabling wife straight from the Kennedy Mold of Enabling, Suffering Spouses, and who is a womanizing libertine and social liberal, maybe not as bad as, but in the immoral column with Bill Clinton (only because he has not lied under oath yet or obstructed justice).

I will call it as I see it. My consistent criticism of Bill Clinton for these things, not only the ILLEGAL things he did, but the IMMORAL things he did even if they were not against the law, earns me a front row center seat to criticize ARNOLD SCHWARZENEGGER as unfit for public office, unrepentant, and a poor choice to lead the GOP in the age of declining PERSONAL CHARACTER for officeholders.

37 posted on 10/06/2003 1:15:18 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (NORTH KOREA is a DANGEROUS CANCER in late stages; we still only meditate and take herbal medicines)
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To: JeanS
Support for Recall has floated back and forth from about 54% to 60% Describing fluctuation in today's climate to anything different than what has been taking place all along is dishonest to say the least. I didn't see these same papers lamenting the decline of Davis' support when the numbers were at 60%. Why are they now championing Schwarzenegger's loss of support? Doesn't this work both ways?

Ah, I hope you realize that was rhetorical? ;-)
38 posted on 10/06/2003 1:20:54 PM PDT by DoughtyOne
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To: ambrose
Hm; hadn't noticed "dogged." I'll start noticing it. I think I've also seen "stunned" and "rocked."

Dan
39 posted on 10/06/2003 1:25:26 PM PDT by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
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To: ambrose
BZZZZZT --- WRONG ANSWER. Here is what the gameplan is...

1. Dems slime Arnie on Black Thursday
2. Polls show reports "seem" to be affecting Arnie/Recall support
3. Newspuppets keep the slime going
4. Newspuppets show the race narrows to "tie"
5. Vote is modestly AGAINST Gray, for the recall
6. Schwarzenegger actually wins, McClintock comes in 3rd
7. The Dems cook the books enough to show that NO actually won
8. Newspuppets declare Davis the winner
9. Newspuppets declare this was expected given trends of #3
10. People grumble but since the "trend" seemed to be going Davis way, they accept the results...

Conclusion: McClintock swung the election to Davis --- Arnie needs the votes McClintock should have thrown his way as *FRAUD INSURANCE*. The result of all this?

11. Hillary Clinton edges out GW Bush in 2004, pushed over the top by taking California in a tremendously bitter and slime ridden campaign the likes of which the US has never seen with numerous instances of blatant voter fraud, particularly in states with entrenched Democrats...

40 posted on 10/06/2003 1:26:07 PM PDT by chilepepper (The map is not the territory -- Alfred Korzybski)
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