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Inside McClintock’s Head - What Could Have Been
National Review ^ | September 29, 2003 | Arnold Steinberg

Posted on 09/29/2003 9:06:32 AM PDT by Recourse

September 29, 2003, 10:07 a.m.

Inside McClintock’s Head What could have been.

By Arnold Steinberg

LOS ANGELES — Republican candidate for California governor Tom McClintock is honorable and principled, intelligent and serious. He can be plainspoken in his eloquence. Now, with the election barely a week away, some may ask plainly: Why is he still running?

McClintock's critics say he is not a team player. But McClintock supporters reply that the Republican team was AWOL last year. That's when McClintock barely lost in the state controller's race to a Democrat who outspent him 5-to-1. Republican kingmakers, according to McClintock partisans, instead funded likely losers.

Was it a chicken-and-egg situation? McClintock is more solitary than collegial. As politicians go, he is a loner. For many conservatives, he is right on the issues. But he also is not a coalition builder, even in his own party. To be more precise, early last decade, McClintock opposed then-Gov. Pete Wilson's tax hike. And neither Wilson nor McClintock have forgiven each other. McClintock acted the role of spoiler last week, when he attacked Wilson as "California's worst governor."

Given McClintock's mastery of the state's budgetary process, this election, at the outset, was his time. But was it? As soon as Arnold Schwarzenegger announced, Republican Congressman David Dreier began to lead a growing coalition of relatively conservative defectors. Were they pragmatic or prescient — or sellouts?

Was McClintock done in by his fellow travelers? Barely a third into this brief campaign, conservative talk-show hosts tilted Schwarzenegger. There were the obligatory kind words for McClintock. But with friends like Sean Hannity...

McClintock became increasingly impatient with talk-show types repeatedly asking when he would quit the race. But didn't McClintock's campaign encourage such questions by its passive retreat? McClintock did not publicly challenge the vulnerable Schwarzenegger on his inconsistencies and flip-flops.

Conservative icon Bruce Herschensohn now has an independent-expenditure radio spot for McClintock. It's funded modestly by the California Republican Assembly (CRA). In it, Herschensohn says that McClintock would be elected, if only true believers voted their conscience. That message comes too late.

McClintock's critics feel he wants revenge on "country-club Republicans." While McClintock is more comfortable with fiscal issues, he sees the Republican party as more than bookkeepers. But even on tax-and-spend matters, he often has differed with major corporations. There is a populist bent to McClintock. That may be another reason why the California Chamber of Commerce took sides, standing with Arnold.

But would McClintock knowingly sabotage the stronger Republican candidate, Arnold Schwarzenegger? This theory supposed that McClintock would draw enough Republican votes so that Democrat Cruz Bustamante would win. After all this recall fuss, we would end up, if that were possible, with someone worse than Davis. And Davis indeed may be California's worst governor.

But, if Gray Davis is recalled, Schwarzenegger could win, even with McClintock in the race. Arnold seemingly maneuvered McClintock to quit; consequently, he looked less like a leader. In private polling, Arnold currently runs about seven points ahead of Bustamante. Democrat strategists have all but given up on the Cruzer. Their only hope is to defeat the recall. They want a final week of epic negativism, sufficient to drive risk-averse voters back to the devil they know. But they should have opened up on Arnold much earlier.

The simple explanation for Arnold's current lead is not Arnold and his campaign. Despite his near-total name recognition, overwhelming media coverage, and massive ad campaign, Schwarzenegger had stalled until the last few days. But Schwarzenegger has lucked out on many counts, including the failure of Democrats to define him early. Also, Cruz Bustamante's inept campaign has focused solely on nonwhite Democrats. His TV commercials show reaction shots only of ethnics. Not very smart, when the governor just signed controversial legislation giving driver's licenses to illegal aliens. And Bustamante's profound campaign theme runs something like this, "I know it will be hard to find my name on the ballot."

And, ironically, Tom McClintock's campaign has pretty much let Arnold off the hook. Schwarzenegger's high profile was an early gift to McClintock, but his campaign didn't know what to do. If the state senator had confronted Arnold daily, a dozen cameras would have covered him. Here was the perfect storm for an indigent candidate like McClintock who could barely afford paid media: unlimited free media.

Perhaps the turning point was the Great Debate last week. This was McClintock's final opportunity to turn the corner. For reasons that only he knows, Tom McClintock did not engage Arnold Schwarzenegger.

— Arnold Steinberg is a California-based political strategist.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: mcclintock; mcwampum; recall; schwarzenegger; shitforbrains
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Tom's going down with the ship. No reason to do, unless he never plans to run for office again. Why, Tom, why? Does it just grate on you that you've been in office for 20 years fighting for conservative principles, and a ne'er-do-well with no experience has come in to steal your thunder?
1 posted on 09/29/2003 9:06:34 AM PDT by Recourse
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To: Recourse
Join Us…Your One Thread To All The California Recall News Threads!

Want on our daily or major news ping lists? Freepmail DoctorZin

2 posted on 09/29/2003 9:11:56 AM PDT by DoctorZIn
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To: Recourse; BibChr; onyx; PhiKapMom; Tamsey; redlipstick; habs4ever; My2Cents; South40; ...
I think Tom must have a death wish.
3 posted on 09/29/2003 9:15:32 AM PDT by EggsAckley (..........................I report...THEY decide.....................)
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To: Recourse
Tom needs to stay in and be ready to pick up the frontrunner spot as the slime on Arnold gets released this week.
4 posted on 09/29/2003 9:15:53 AM PDT by Spiff (Have you committed one random act of thoughtcrime today?)
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To: Recourse
Tom kind of sounds like Weasley Clark. The republicans didn't return Weasley's call and the republicans didn't give ole Tom enough money.......

Therefore........

5 posted on 09/29/2003 9:16:18 AM PDT by OldFriend (DEMS INHABIT A PARALLEL UNIVERSE)
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To: Recourse
I'll tell you what's in Tom's head - the voice of Mr. Conservative, Rush Limbaugh, criticizing Arnold every day, dismissing pragmatists who realize the party needs to unite, and telling good old Tom that sinking the ship is somehow not his fault, it's his true blue conservative destiny. Further, Limbaugh is a coward who has done all this without endorsing Mclintock. Just tells people every day that Arnold is no conservative. Yet Rush covers his bases by saying Mclintock "may not be the right (conservative) messenger." Then he dismisses the pragmatists and makes clear it is NOT worth electing Arnold just to win. Idiots like that make me sick, as they smugly hand people over to the likes of Cruz Bustamante.
6 posted on 09/29/2003 9:17:41 AM PDT by Williams
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To: Recourse
IMHO, Tom is a good guy with good ideas. He is just unlikeable. I can't put my finger on it, but he comes off as holier-than-thou and most people don't like that.

My 70 year old mother despises him, but agrees with his principles. "He just looks mean", she told me yesterday.
7 posted on 09/29/2003 9:19:16 AM PDT by annyokie (One good thing about being wrong is the joy it brings to others.)
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To: Recourse
I heard an analyst point out that if Tom were to drop out up to half his supporters might just stay home, which could tip the recall to a no vote. Since Arnold seems to be ahead even with Tom in the race, it may be better for him not to drop out.
8 posted on 09/29/2003 9:22:51 AM PDT by Hugin
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To: Recourse
I dare say Tom is NOT going down with the ship!! The Republican party as it is now, has defected and is now in the process of becoming the Liberal Republican Party. There will be a conservative uprising, a new party will soon develop and the Liberal Republican Party will lose more than half its support!!! Watch it !! GO TOM GO.........I admire Tom greatly for STANDING FAST!!!

You same Republican " Arnold-lites" who are yelling at Tom for not compromising, are the SAME defectors that are SCREAMING at the Washington Republicans who did not take the inititave in the Estrada case, or continually cave to the Democrats on issue after issue!!! Now you are asking Tom to do it. This is total hypocracy!!! WAKE UP!!! TOM CAN MAKE IT. WE JUST HAVE TO BE THERE FOR HIM and NOT WAVER!!

9 posted on 09/29/2003 9:25:52 AM PDT by pollywog
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To: EggsAckley; Recourse; PhiKapMom; Poohbah; FairOpinion; Tamsey; BibChr; CheneyChick
Conservative icon Bruce Herschensohn now has an independent-expenditure radio spot for McClintock. It's funded modestly by the California Republican Assembly (CRA). In it, Herschensohn says that McClintock would be elected, if only true believers voted their conscience. That message comes too late.

WRONG! Listen to the ads --- at their conclusions they state they are paid for by CRA AND "the Morengo Mission Band INDIANS."

10 posted on 09/29/2003 9:27:37 AM PDT by onyx (Vote Arnold Schwarzenegger for Governor of Calley-for-nee-a)
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To: Williams
It takes courage to stand up for what is right!! At the end of all this, you who have sold your soul for Arnold, will have to answer for your actions. I am ashamed to even be a California Republican these days.
11 posted on 09/29/2003 9:29:06 AM PDT by pollywog
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To: onyx
The ads are being financed by the California Republican Assemblies and the Morengo Indian Tribes -- you are 100% correct and they show up on the donations for the Recall for McClintock!
12 posted on 09/29/2003 9:30:08 AM PDT by PhiKapMom (Alpha Omnicron Pi Mom too! -- Visit http://www.georgewbush.com!)
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To: pollywog
So re-register with the Constitution Party - that's what McClintock needs to do.

I prefer the CP myself, and if Virginia looks safe for Bush next year I might just vote that way.
13 posted on 09/29/2003 9:33:38 AM PDT by nina0113 (You don't have to thank me for not smoking)
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To: Recourse
Also, Cruz Bustamante's inept campaign has focused solely on nonwhite Democrats.

That's what hispanic supremicists do.

14 posted on 09/29/2003 9:33:43 AM PDT by South40 (Vote Mcclintock, elect bustamante)
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Comment #15 Removed by Moderator

To: onyx
WRONG! Listen to the ads --- at their conclusions they state they are paid for by CRA AND "the Morengo Mission Band INDIANS."

Wow... a teeny but so important detail.

Unbelievable.

16 posted on 09/29/2003 9:36:15 AM PDT by Tamzee ("Big government sounds too much like sluggish socialism."......Arnold Schwarzenegger)
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To: EggsAckley
It's a weird death-wish. I'll agree with the observation that McC could have been WORSE on Schwarzenegger than he was, and that gave me hope.

Then right after, he's back to slamming. That killed the hope.

It IS like he's trying to self-destruct... yet.... Well, it's strange.

Dan
17 posted on 09/29/2003 9:38:41 AM PDT by BibChr ("...behold, they have rejected the word of the LORD, so what wisdom is in them?" [Jer. 8:9])
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To: pollywog
Thanks for all of the exclamation points. But all kidding aside, I agree with you that Frist should have pushed Estrada harder and should have forced a real filibuster. That's a battle that could have been won. Unfortunately for McC, he cannot win this battle. It is obvious to everyone.

18 posted on 09/29/2003 9:46:55 AM PDT by Recourse
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To: Williams
Excellent observation.
19 posted on 09/29/2003 9:48:49 AM PDT by habs4ever
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To: Spiff
Tom needs to stay in and be ready to pick up the frontrunner spot as the slime on Arnold gets released this week.

Which "slime" would that be?

The drug use?

The womanizing?

The nude photos?

The moderate to liberal policy views?

All of this is old news now.

The Dems, through der Slickmeister and the Hildebeast, spent eight years indoctrinating the average voter into not caring about "character" or "personal" issues. And, now that they did, they've effectively innoculated Arnold against similar charges by them.

And, when you consider that California is probably more tolerant of this sort of thing than the rest of America, unless they have footage of Arnold raping a goat, McClintock is nothing but either a spoiler or a footnote at this point.

20 posted on 09/29/2003 9:50:14 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
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