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New Chamber of Commerce Poll: Recall leading 53-41%, Arnold 35%, Cruz 31%, Tom 17%
http://www.calchamber.com/news/index.cfm?id=67&action=detail&navid=270 ^ | 9-27 | Chamber of Commerce Poll

Posted on 09/27/2003 8:37:49 PM PDT by ambrose

New Chamber of Commerce Poll: Recall leading 53-41%, Arnold 35%, Cruz 31%, Tom 17%



TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: bustamante; california; mcclintock; recall; schwarzenegger
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Press Releases

Chamber Releases Recall Poll - Results Indicate that Schwarzenegger Makes Significant Gains after Wednesday Debate

SACRAMENTO - The California Chamber of Commerce today released a poll regarding the recall election, showing Arnold Schwarzenegger has made significant gains over the last two weeks. The poll includes voter interviews taken after the Wednesday, September 24 debate in Sacramento, California and shows that if the election were held today, Mr. Schwarzenegger would lead Lt. Governor Cruz Bustamante and all the replacement candidates in the race.

 

“Earlier this month, the California Chamber of Commerce Board of Directors voted to endorse Arnold Schwarzenegger for Governor on the second question of the recall ballot. This poll shows Mr. Schwarzenegger making significant gains and is still the most competitive of the pro-jobs candidates on the ballot,” said Allan Zaremberg, President, California Chamber of Commerce.

 

The poll was conducted by Baselice & Associates, Inc., September 24-25, 2003 among N=804 likely voters. The results carry a margin of error of +/-3.5% at the .95 test level.

 

“In the second part of the recall election, voters now prefer Arnold Schwarzenegger (35%) over Cruz Bustamante (31%). Following the two frontrunners are Tom McClintock at 17%, Peter Miguel Camejo at 4%, Arianna Huffington at 3% and Larry Flynt 1%. These results included respondents who are in leaning in favor of a candidate,” said Mike Baselice, Baselice & Associates.

View a briefing document on the poll.

 

The California Chamber is the largest broad-based business advocate to government in California.  Membership represents one-quarter of the private sectors jobs in California and includes firms of all sizes and companies from every industry within the state.  Leveraging our front-line knowledge of laws and regulations, we provide products and services to help businesses comply with both federal and state law.  The California Chamber, a not-for-profit organization, promotes international trade and investment in order to stimulate California's economy and create jobs.  Please visit our website at www.calchamber.com.

 

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Related Articles

California Chamber of Commerce Announces Support for Arnold Schwarzenegger for Governor

California Chamber of Commerce Releases Recall Poll


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1 posted on 09/27/2003 8:37:49 PM PDT by ambrose
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To: ambrose
Tom's at 17%?

Still "surging" I see.

2 posted on 09/27/2003 8:38:43 PM PDT by South40 (Vote Mcclintock, elect bustamante)
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To: South40
Tom went from 12% to 17% since the Chamber of Commerce's last poll on Sept 1-4. Arnold has gone from 33% to 35%.
3 posted on 09/27/2003 8:40:29 PM PDT by ambrose (Make October 7th the Official "Hug-a-RINO Day")
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To: South40
Also... the Chamber of Commerce has endorsed Arnold.
4 posted on 09/27/2003 8:40:49 PM PDT by ambrose (Make October 7th the Official "Hug-a-RINO Day")
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To: ambrose
thats technically a surge.... I guess using a very loose version of the term.
5 posted on 09/27/2003 8:41:42 PM PDT by Pikamax
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To: ambrose
Arnold made a mistake when he turned down Davis' debate challenge. A debate would make the political faultline clearer.
6 posted on 09/27/2003 8:42:07 PM PDT by BikerNYC
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To: All
This has 9% undecided or with others. And Larry Flynt with 1%! Maybe they were Bustamonte supporters in previous polls!
7 posted on 09/27/2003 8:43:48 PM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: South40; Registered
Arnold and Cruz are in dead heat, within the poll's error margin, Arnold still has twice as much as McClintock.

McClintock voters can still put Bustamante into the governor's office.


8 posted on 09/27/2003 8:44:05 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: ambrose
Once again. If only half the people planning to vote for Schwarzenegger think McClintock is a better choice and more conservative, voting for McClintock would put him over the top.

McClintock can win.

9 posted on 09/27/2003 8:44:35 PM PDT by tallhappy
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To: ambrose
Also... the Chamber of Commerce has endorsed Arnold.

So what. So did the Lincoln Club of Orange County, and their poll had Tom at 18%.

What's your point?

10 posted on 09/27/2003 8:45:44 PM PDT by South40 (Vote Mcclintock, elect bustamante)
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To: ambrose
Tom's has less than half of Arnie's support, and is 18% away from him, just over a week away from the election. Busty-the-friendly-hispanic-racist-monte is within the margin of error of Arnie.

By any sane measure, it's well past time for Tom to get out and back the party's best shot. But Tom, despite his excellent stands on important issues, is not quite sane, I'm sorry to say....

11 posted on 09/27/2003 8:46:43 PM PDT by Yossarian
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To: Yossarian
Arnold has to earn votes. This is an election, not a coronation.
12 posted on 09/27/2003 8:48:00 PM PDT by ambrose (Make October 7th the Official "Hug-a-RINO Day")
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To: ambrose
I'm going to be gone all week. I don't know if I'm going to miss FR or if I discover I can actually have a life outside of FR...
13 posted on 09/27/2003 8:50:02 PM PDT by tubebender (FReeRepublic...How bad have you got it...)
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Comment #14 Removed by Moderator

To: ambrose
Tom McClintock keeps advancing, even without $8,000,000 big ones. Arnie keeps flushing his donations down the toilet, in the hopes of convincing enough McClintock supporters he cares about the issues that concern them. Problem is, McClintock supporters have been waiting almost two months for Arnie to address the concerns of conservative Republicans and so far, only silence from Arnie. Chances are, even if Arnie is fortunate enough to win the recall election, as governor he's gonna care even less about the issues of concern to conservative Republicans.

If Arnie loses, he only has himself to blame. Arnie has run a pathetic campaign and is hoodwinking the people of California.

15 posted on 09/27/2003 8:51:01 PM PDT by Reagan Man (The few, the proud, the conservatives.)
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To: Yossarian
Don Quixote McClintock
16 posted on 09/27/2003 8:51:49 PM PDT by Choose Ye This Day (Moving to Turkmenistan, where all the jobs are.)
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To: ambrose
Tom went from 12% to 17% since the Chamber of Commerce's last poll on Sept 1-4. Arnold has gone from 33% to 35%.

LOL! At this rate Tom should beat Arnold any moment now.

17 posted on 09/27/2003 8:52:53 PM PDT by Victoria Delsoul (Arnold has the conviction and the fighting spirit to lead California into a new age of recovery)
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To: tallhappy
"McClintock can win. "

The self delusion of McClitockites is astounding.

If Arnold weren't in the race and all Republican voted for McC, he would have 35% tops.

A good fraction of Arnold's voters are Dems and Independents who would never vote for McC, they would vote for Bustamante, which would be at least 10-15%. You add that to Cruz's current 31%, that's :

Bustamante 41 or 45% to
McClintock's 35%.

McClintock cannot win under any scenarios.

But McClintock voters CAN elect Bustamante.

18 posted on 09/27/2003 8:54:16 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: Victoria Delsoul
You seem to miss the point. Arnold and Bustamante are both stalled out. They have been ever since the post Tonight Show euphoria faded. Only McClintock has shown growth in his numbers. And it is anyone's guess as to where the undecideds will break...
19 posted on 09/27/2003 8:55:04 PM PDT by ambrose (Make October 7th the Official "Hug-a-RINO Day")
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To: tallhappy
McClintock can win in

Mississippi
Louisana
Georgia
South Carolina
Nebraska
Oklahoma

BUT NOT A STATEWIDE OFFICE IN CALIFORNIA

A VOTE FOR TOMMY MCKLINTOCK IS A VOTE WITH BUSTAMANTE
20 posted on 09/27/2003 8:57:12 PM PDT by FRgal4u
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