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To: tallhappy
"McClintock can win. "

The self delusion of McClitockites is astounding.

If Arnold weren't in the race and all Republican voted for McC, he would have 35% tops.

A good fraction of Arnold's voters are Dems and Independents who would never vote for McC, they would vote for Bustamante, which would be at least 10-15%. You add that to Cruz's current 31%, that's :

Bustamante 41 or 45% to
McClintock's 35%.

McClintock cannot win under any scenarios.

But McClintock voters CAN elect Bustamante.

18 posted on 09/27/2003 8:54:16 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion
McClintock cannot win under any scenarios

Again, no. Do the math.

In a three way race if 50% of Schwarzenegger's voters are conservatives and they decide to vote for a conservative instead od Schwarzenegger, McClintock beats both Bustamante and Scwarzenegger.

The math is there.

32 posted on 09/27/2003 9:13:10 PM PDT by tallhappy
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To: FairOpinion
If Arnold weren't in the race and all Republican voted for McC, he would have 35% tops.

Bull$hit!

He'd have 35% of the total vote only if EVERY SINGLE VOTER REGISTERED IN CALIFORNIA TURNED OUT and voted strictly party line.

You're either a liar, or so politically inept your opinion has no merit.

The vote is based on who turns out to vote, not the percentages of who is registered to vote.

If every republican in the state and 1 democrat turned out, voted strictly along party lines, Tom gets a lot more than 35% of the vote, even though you state in this case he's only get 35% of the vote, since every republican voted for him.

So which is it? You a liar trying to purposely mislead people, or is it you just don't know what you're talking about.

which would be at least 10-15%.

Got anything to back that up, or are you just making a guess?

Hb

304 posted on 09/28/2003 12:55:12 AM PDT by Hoverbug
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