SACRAMENTO - The California Chamber of Commerce today released a poll regarding the recall election, showing Arnold Schwarzenegger has made significant gains over the last two weeks. The poll includes voter interviews taken after the Wednesday, September 24 debate in Sacramento, California and shows that if the election were held today, Mr. Schwarzenegger would lead Lt. Governor Cruz Bustamante and all the replacement candidates in the race.
“Earlier this month, the California Chamber of Commerce Board of Directors voted to endorse Arnold Schwarzenegger for Governor on the second question of the recall ballot. This poll shows Mr. Schwarzenegger making significant gains and is still the most competitive of the pro-jobs candidates on the ballot,” said Allan Zaremberg, President, California Chamber of Commerce.
The poll was conducted by Baselice & Associates, Inc., September 24-25, 2003 among N=804 likely voters. The results carry a margin of error of +/-3.5% at the .95 test level.
“In the second part of the recall election, voters now prefer Arnold Schwarzenegger (35%) over Cruz Bustamante (31%). Following the two frontrunners are Tom McClintock at 17%, Peter Miguel Camejo at 4%, Arianna Huffington at 3% and Larry Flynt 1%. These results included respondents who are in leaning in favor of a candidate,” said Mike Baselice, Baselice & Associates.
View a briefing document on the poll.
The California Chamber is the largest broad-based business advocate to government in California. Membership represents one-quarter of the private sectors jobs in California and includes firms of all sizes and companies from every industry within the state. Leveraging our front-line knowledge of laws and regulations, we provide products and services to help businesses comply with both federal and state law. The California Chamber, a not-for-profit organization, promotes international trade and investment in order to stimulate California's economy and create jobs. Please visit our website at www.calchamber.com.
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Still "surging" I see.
McClintock can win.
By any sane measure, it's well past time for Tom to get out and back the party's best shot. But Tom, despite his excellent stands on important issues, is not quite sane, I'm sorry to say....
If Arnie loses, he only has himself to blame. Arnie has run a pathetic campaign and is hoodwinking the people of California.
As of a couple of minutes ago, the numbers looked like this:
After the big debate, have you changed your mind about who you support for Governor of California?
Still with McClintock
708 votes (37.84%)
Still with Schwarzenegger
783 votes (41.85%)
Changed to McClintock
133 votes (7.11%)
Changed to Schwarzenegger
168 votes (8.98%)
Other
79 votes (4.22%)
1,871 votes total
So it looks like among "voting" FReepers (granted, non-Californians are voting, too), Arnold is leading Tom. If Tom can't outpoll Arnold in this non-scientific, very right-biased sampling, where under God's yellow sun can he?
It is not surprising that Tom is getting support or at least favorable words from such odd quarters as Indian Tribes, Ralph Nader, and even Bustamonte. Tom needs to do the right thing, and withdraw. It would be in his own best interests to do so; he can't win, and if he causes the election of Bustamonte, he'll be dead politically forever. My guess is he'll do just that, and live to fight another day, perhaps against Boxer in '04.
But why is it that California needs a new Governor?
Why not just secede from the U.S.?
Maybe Vincente Fox will take you in.
Hopefully before you slide into the sea.
Just kidding. Arnold is your best hope for salvation, IMHO.
Gallup/CNN 09/28/2003 Recall Davis 63% Keep Davis 35% Schwarzenegger 40% Cruz 25% McClintock 18% Camejo 5% Arianna 2% MOE 4%