From my experience with balloting, and reading the literature on that, I'm ready to wager right here and now that at least 50,000 ballots -- more than the number that the three-judge panel got their knickers in a twist over -- will make the following error: They will vote for one candidate per page or nearly every page.
All those ballots will be counted on the recall, but will be "spoiled ballots" for the replacement election. It will be such an obvious mistake that observers afterwards will say "How did they make that dumb move?" There will be calls for "better ballots" etc. There will be litigation.
H.L. Mencken once wrote, "No one ever went broke underestimating the taste of the average American." I add this, "No one ever missed a bet, underestimating the reading ability of the average American voter."
I now expect that what the press will headline as "THE UNDERVOTE" will be at least 8%. That's how much smaller the counted vote for replacement will be than the vote on the recall. But that will include tens of thousands who do not vote at all on the replacement. (The right NOT TO VOTE is also constitutionally protected.) And it will include all the dummies who ignore the plain, repeated instruction to "Vote for one candidate," and vote for two or more anyway.
Mark my words on this.
Congressman Billybob
The important part is the ballot about the recall itself. Does No mean No Davis? or No Recall? How does that particular question read? Does anyone know? I think Clinton kept stressing NO!!