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Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"
NHC
| 9-17-03
| My Favorite Headache
Posted on 09/17/2003 8:14:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache
Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003
...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.
Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.
There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Avila
TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneisabel; isabel; landfall
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To: Howlin
I wouldn't say cold...upper 60's.
To: mykdsmom
As long as you, yours and your kitten stay dry and safe (and the house stays standing),....
622
posted on
09/18/2003 8:18:52 AM PDT
by
steveegg
(I have one thing to say to the big spenders; BLIZZARD OF RECALL TOUR!)
To: mykdsmom
Thank God my son found our little stray kitten that has adopted us and brought her in the garage. She looked like a drowned rat.
God bless your son for not forgetting a little helpless cat at such a time. Well-raised boy there.
To: Jackie-O
Raleigh areas are losing power on and off.
To: blam
I'm not sure about that; Constitution Day down in Rocky Mount left work a little bit ago to go to his parents' house; he's has no access there.
625
posted on
09/18/2003 8:19:36 AM PDT
by
Howlin
To: ShakeNJake
No prob. We're dug in here riding it out.
626
posted on
09/18/2003 8:20:08 AM PDT
by
Jonah Hex
(kittens are only dangerous if you're a 'Rat.)
To: blam
Do we have any FReepers who are cut-off because of power outages? I don't know, blam. Count the FReepers who didn't answer you...
To: EternalVigilance
Well, I should have said cold for this time of year.
I just think it's odd that it's so cool before the storm. Usually you can "smell" the tropics!
628
posted on
09/18/2003 8:20:29 AM PDT
by
Howlin
To: Slip18
LOL!!!!
I just was IMing with a friend in KC - I finally told him good bye as I was a bit too busy to keep being interupted by him telling me things I knew yesterday.
He just couldn't seem to get it through his head I didn't need "moral support" from someone who can not comprehend the idea of living on the coast........
He has no concept of the "FReeper Family."
629
posted on
09/18/2003 8:20:54 AM PDT
by
Gabz
(anti-smokers - personification of everything wrong in this country.)
To: iceskater
I think you are right about SOP for hospitals. But, that leaves my mother home all alone. My brother lives over near Craddock High School and his area was designated for evacuation also. If she needed help, I don't think he could get to her.
There are a couple of big, old oak trees right up near the house and I am worried that one of them might come down. When we moved in there in 1960, they were rather small at the time, about 9 inches across. They are really huge now after 40 years of growth. Hopefully, neither of them has any weakened brittle branches that will come off onto the house.
To: Jonah Hex
Power here blinking off and on.
631
posted on
09/18/2003 8:21:39 AM PDT
by
Jonah Hex
(kittens are only dangerous if you're a 'Rat.)
To: Howlin
I hadn't thought about that but you're right. It been very "fallish" all week. Nice temps, low humidity, nice blue skies. Even up until yesterday afternoon.
To: dennis1x
people in texas and oklahoma call a storm with 85kt winds a spring shower...!! There are undoubtedly people losing their homes, property and even lives as we type.
But, hey, you just keep doing your happy dance, okay?
To: Howlin
What is it about guys that they won't CALL?????????? It's a genetic thing, and there's nothing you can do about it. Sorry!
To: Interesting Times
oh the drama...
actually no....85kt winds wont cause structural damage...and noone is losing their lives right now.
a spring shower i tell you.
To: Howlin
I just think it's odd that it's so cool before the storm. Usually you can "smell" the tropics! I don't know what to expect. I'm a total newbie at this. Now, if we were out in tornado country, I could be of some use. ;-)
To: Howlin
I just think it's odd that it's so cool before the storm. Usually you can "smell" the tropics! I don't know what to expect. I'm a total newbie at this. Now, if we were out in tornado country, I could be of some use. ;-)
To: iceskater
The major problem here in C-ville will be, as always, flooding, downed trees and no power.
Many housing developments over the last decade have gone up in rural portions of the county. Consequently, roads and power lines to these areas were put in that did not take into consideration heavy rains or snows. Rural roads get flooded and power lines come down around here extremely easily due to falling tree limbs. I heard the power company has brought in "loaned" personnel from other states to take care of 'anticipated' outages.
To: ShakeNJake
Oh dear. No wonder you're worried. Are there neighbors who can help? Mr. iceskater was going to check on our neighbor today and make sure she's ok. She also lives alone and we often help her out with yard stuff. I hope your mom has someone like that close by.
To: Jonah Hex
Hope you either have a UPS (surge protector isn't good enough) or a generator.
Stay safe.
640
posted on
09/18/2003 8:24:17 AM PDT
by
steveegg
(I have one thing to say to the big spenders; BLIZZARD OF RECALL TOUR!)
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