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Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"
NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

Posted on 09/17/2003 8:14:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache

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To: xsmommy
Good news is having daylight now as she moves ashore.
341 posted on 09/18/2003 4:40:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
did you hear the nut that they had on F&F that owns the bar down on Ocracoke island, that is hanging tough there?
342 posted on 09/18/2003 4:42:10 AM PDT by xsmommy
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To: DollyCali; Rebelbase
I looked first :o)
343 posted on 09/18/2003 4:42:29 AM PDT by glock rocks (prayers for family and friends in Isabel's path)
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To: Hillarys Gate Cult
ROFL! Some of those are too funny! Love the plywood flying off the shelves at Home Depot. The storm with knife and fork is great too.
344 posted on 09/18/2003 4:43:59 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: xsmommy
Hurricane Isabel Intermediate Advisory Number 49a

Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on September 18, 2003

 

...Isabel continues toward the Outer Banks...winds decrease
slightly...

 
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina
to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle
sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area...generally within 24 hours.

 
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect north of Chincoteague to
Moriches Inlet New York...including Delaware Bay.  A Tropical Storm
Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River
South Carolina...for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point
northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

 
At 8 am EDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located
near latitude 33.7 north...longitude  75.2 west or about 110 miles
south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.  This is also
about 95 miles southeast of Cape Lookout North Carolina.

 
Isabel is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph...and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On the
forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall
in eastern North Carolina early this afternoon.  However...
conditions are deteriorating over a large area well before the
center reaches the coast. Hurricane conditions are begining to
spread onto the coast in the Hurricane Warning area. Wind gusts to
hurricane-force could also extend inland up to 150 miles along the
path of Isabel.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph...with higher gusts. This
is just above the category two wind speed threshold of the
Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Only small changes in strength are
likely prior to landfall...and weakening is expected after
landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 345
miles.  

A gust of 63 mph was recently observed at Atlantic Beach North
Carolina.  A gust of 60 mph was observed at Elizabeth City North
Carolina.

 
The most recent minimum central pressure measured by a hurricane
hunter aircraft was  957 mb...28.26 inches.  

 
Storm surge flooding of 5 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...
along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is
expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the
coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels
is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent
rivers.

 
Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher
amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

 
There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North
Carolina and southeastern Virginia today

 
repeating the 8 am EDT position...33.7 N... 75.2 W.  Movement
toward...northwest near 15 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...100 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 957 mb.

 
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office and statements from
local emergency management officials.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.

 
Forecaster Franklin

345 posted on 09/18/2003 4:46:55 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Howlin
WITHOUT FAIL, put BEER/LIQUOR first. And then guns.

"Be wary of strong drink. It can make you shoot at tax collectors ... and miss." Robert A. Heinlein

346 posted on 09/18/2003 4:47:21 AM PDT by strela ("Piffle, dear, I don't have morals, just customs." Hilda Burroughs)
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To: xsmommy
Great news--wind speeds, storm surge down.
347 posted on 09/18/2003 4:50:03 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
Looks like they brought the max. winds down. Some good news.
348 posted on 09/18/2003 4:50:48 AM PDT by NittanyLion (Go Tom Go!)
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To: NautiNurse
that is good. also, wasn't it predicted to hit land sooner than this?
349 posted on 09/18/2003 4:51:14 AM PDT by xsmommy
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To: My Favorite Headache
Back at work here in downtown Durham. Breezy and light rain. Expecting a little stronger winds after lunch along with heavier rains but the chance of losing power is pretty good. Old neighborhood, old trees hanging over powerlines...
350 posted on 09/18/2003 4:51:41 AM PDT by Hatteras (where the Gulf Stream meets the Labrador Current...)
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To: xsmommy
Can't count on the predictions for time, wind speed or location of landfall--ever. We had one arrive 14 hours before prediction.
351 posted on 09/18/2003 4:53:31 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
that makes sense, but i was just thinking that it is taking longer to get here than i thought.
352 posted on 09/18/2003 4:55:00 AM PDT by xsmommy
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To: Hillarys Gate Cult
Sorry for the bandwidth, I had to post this:


353 posted on 09/18/2003 4:56:03 AM PDT by Petronski (I'm not always cranky.)
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To: Petronski
Supplies flying off the shelves at Home Depot
354 posted on 09/18/2003 4:59:07 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
FNC reporting that D.C. is essentially shut down.

I consider that good news!!!!

At least something good is coming from this beast!!!

355 posted on 09/18/2003 5:01:29 AM PDT by Gabz (anti-smokers - personification of everything wrong in this country.)
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To: Petronski
lol!
356 posted on 09/18/2003 5:02:12 AM PDT by firewalk
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To: Gabz
Have to agree with you there!

Isabel preparing to dine on the east coast

357 posted on 09/18/2003 5:02:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Petronski
What is that in the lower right hand corner of your picture?
Looks like another one. Good pic.
358 posted on 09/18/2003 5:06:58 AM PDT by briarbey b
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To: NautiNurse
ROFLMAO!!!!!
359 posted on 09/18/2003 5:08:14 AM PDT by Gabz (anti-smokers - personification of everything wrong in this country.)
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To: All
Good Morning from VA Beach. It's going to be a very interesting day. Winds are up and it's rained most of the night. Expected to get worse as the morning wears on. I'm kind of surprised at the storm surge that we're expecting on the bay and oceanfront, but the good news is that the storm seems to have slowed so the we'lll miss a surge at high tide.

Everyone expects to see alot of trees come down, I lost mine to Bertha but my neighbor has several tall pines that I'm warily eying. There was a large tree that came down last night in the Lake Smith area...ony a 15-20 mph wind at the time. Crap.

BTW, has anyone seem Mike Seidel on TWC? He's in VA Beach and his body language is hilarious. I expect to see him blow away!

360 posted on 09/18/2003 5:08:25 AM PDT by pgkdan
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